The Dongers Club – April 3rd

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

Life was too easy back on Opening Day a little over a week ago when both FanDuel and DraftKings has the exact same MAIN slate on an afternoon for watching Baseball.  Now, we have FanDuel up to their old tricks not recognizing the schedule setup for today with more teams having their home openers and so lets just say I’m not even gonna bother with FanDuel slate analysis.  This is breaking down the 10 game main DraftKings slate.   WEATHER No PPD concerns today IMO but it’s really cold up in Minnesota (shocker) with light precip chances throughout the game.  If there was one that they might PPD it would be that one, but I doubt they do.   MacKenzie Gore (DK: $8800) & Brady Singer (DK: $7600) Ladies and Gentlemen, we call this a ‘Wild Things’ matchup and while this is most definitely a classic movie reference it is not one that features Charlie Sheen.  Having MacKenzie Gore and Brady Singer face off in a roof closed Amazon Warehouse (formerly known as COSTCO West) down in Texas is like watching Neve Campbell and Denise Richards for the first time. The Reds are the immediate side to pick on with only TJ Friedl looking like he could touch Gore today & to simplify your choices, taking Singer in a park that does help limit homers when the roof is closed isn’t the worst idea ever. Michael King (DK: $8200) Boston always hits well at home and last year was a fantastic home 1st inning team, but right now the offense isn’t doing anything of consistency.  This starts and ends with Roman Anthony’s first AB.  If he gets out and King has a 1-2-3, this is gonna be a cruise to 23 FPTS game for him. ALSO DONT MIND Framber Valdez:  His ground ball consistency is going to help him big time today with the wind carrying out to left.   DETROIT TIGERS Back in Comerica with the wind blowing out and a low strikeout opp SP in Michael McGreevy, this Tigers lineup should produce early and often. Kevin McGonigle Colt Keith Kerry Carpenter Riley Greene L.A. DODGERS I feel like I mentioned this already, but Freddie Freeman should be batting 2nd — not Kyle Tucker — I might mention this 100x more until Freeman homers, but then he does fucking own the Nationals, so hard to not take a  bite…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in