WEATHER All clear. Looking around the US weather — yes, I’m old — its going to get very very warm, very very quickly this upcoming weekend. Key thing to note is which teams bullpens start to get tired now because someone’s about to have a 3 HR day in the next 10 days off a bad pen and then a shitty positional player. This is a mid range pitching slate tonight. Across the 10 games I wouldn’t put any one player as a ‘Strong’ this guy should be 40% owned ace. Yamamoto and McClanahan might be two of the more talented plays but neither is in the right spot today to give that label for. Jack Flaherty (DK: $7300) We could see ownership on the other SP here as for some reason Freddy Peralta is always the darling — probably the optimizer logic on his metrics & price pushing him to the top. But with Peralta you always have one of his first three innings where he has to face 6 batters and gives up 2 runs. Flaherty’s chances of going 1st to 6th inning with limited damage is better, and I prefer the lack of risk of facing the Mets than the Tigers. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (DK: $9500) Had to throw him up here. He’s just too good to not think he won’t be in the top 3 tonight. Eury Perez (DK: $8100) Perez has not been as clean away from Miami, but he does get the benefit of an improved catcher behind the plate to limit base runners if he gives up some hits. The Twins are middle of the pack in strikeout % this season, so its mostly a neutral spot but I expect them to get worse as the season moves along. OTHER THOUGHTS I think both Colin Rea and Grant Holmes should be looked at as options. They’re each viable to give up 2 HR but more likely to get you a 14 getting into the 6th inning in a game that’s got lots of good metrics and likely finishes 4-2 in favor of the team people my age grew up watching pre-MLB streaming packages…. (in other words… i have no fucking clue who wins this game but its going under). My slight lean here is actually on Rea. MacKenzie Gore vs Zac Gallen: Gallen’s just not been consistent enough & something is off…...
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