ONE TEAM STAYING ON THE ROAD IN BETWEEN GAMES … Sorry, it’s on Thursday
Maybe a second? (Dallas?)
OVER UNDERS:
Four games in the 50’s: 55, 52, 51, 51
Four games in the upper 40’s: 49, 48, 47, 47
Three games in the mid 40’s: 45, 45, 45
Two games in the low 40’s: 43, 43
THURSDAY
New England
at LA Rams
No clue.
Patriots stayed over in LA.
MAIN SLATE
Minnesota at
Tampa Bay
OU: 51.5
Think this is going to be one sided.
Dont see Minnesota being able to hold ground.
Gotta like Mike Evans. How do you not like Mike Evans to score.
Brady has reportire going with Godwin, gotta like Evans.
Lots will recommend Tampa passing stack. Brady-Evans-Godwin/Brown
Dont see how Minnesota keeps it going to make it worth the while.
Dont see how Minnesota comes back on other side
Would pick Thielen over Jefferson this week
Not digging Minnesota at all.
Tampa still gets in the upper 20’s.
Brady definitely throws 2 and possibly a 3rd.
Quick out the gate and then just die.
Tampa wins easily.
Tampa (Brady mostly) is going to realize that him coming out and throwing 350 and 4 TD to “get right” isn’t “getting right”. Theyre going to POUND Jones AND Fournette. Both of them. It’s a matter of can you trust one of them to be the one to get 2 touchdowns. They will both score one on the ground. They will total 175 yards rushing as a duo and Brady will throw 2 touchdown passes minimum.
The temptation is to LOCK in Brady and passing game. But the RB do just as much work and so out of Jones-Fournette-Brown-Evans-Godwin you are stuck without a funnel to one player and a tough DFS spot to feel comfortable with. So stack Tampa six different ways and become an MME player or just avoid it outside of putting your balls down with Ronald Jones and praying for the best.
Tampa defense scores
Justin Jefferson won’t do jack shit
Theilen has 9 catches, DK consideration. I assume he’s pricey.
This is Tampa thumping them, lock and load. 35-10.
Tampa defense DEFINITELY scores.
Arizona
at NY Giants
OU: 45
Is this game fools gold?
Everybody is going to default … ohh, ohh, I hope its low but its not, its 54?
Doesn’t matter if Daniel Jones plays.
Wayne Gallman is a must start in this game.
Wow. He is the perfect back on how to beat Arizona
Obviously DeAndre Hopkins is screaming to me on the other side, but is that fools gold? Are people going to get suckered into playing Kyler and Hopkins on the road vs a secondary that can be exploited on the road needing a win for the playoffs.
Arizona – Who are they? Not team that started season.
Wayne Gallman pick #1.
Do like DeAndre Hopkins a lot here.
Gotta be careful.
Game goes under, completely underwhelms
Arizona done, Giants wrap up division.
Arizona continues on current trend shoulder really bothers him.
Wayne Gallman – Wayne Gallman – Wayne Gallman
120 and 2 touchdowns.
Arizona wins. This is good offense against good defense and bad offense against bad defense, but Arizona’s offense does more than the Giants offense to win this game.
I see Hopkins destroying Bradberry. I love me some Nuk. Think about this for a second…
Nuk has faced Howard, White, Gilmore and Ramsey in 4 of his last 5 with a 2nd meeting vs Seattle mixed in there in a game Kyler had a bum shoulder. I know Bradberry is a decent CB, but Howard/White/Gilmore/Ramsey is a brutal stretch and how he comes down to Bradberry. Holy fuck he is going to feel like he is facing a middle schooler out there and I don’t see any reason why he’ll be more than 5% owned.
He’s $8,200. Get back to feeding Hopkins all game long. 12 catches, 146 yards and definitely one touchdown. He’s getting over 20 fantasy points.
This is Hopkins and move on.
Not investing in anything on the Giants side even with Daniel Jones maybe back.
Which could be silly, maybe Shep if he is cheap? Maybe???
Love NUK. LOVE NUK.
Kansas City
at Miami
OU: 48.5
Chiefs win … Miami’s little run here is broken
Think the game underwhelms
It’s not Tyreek, it’s not Mecole Hardman
Sammy Watkins could have something, he scores.
Kelce also scores. Miami wont have an answer. Not a must own?
CEH runs one in as well.
Chiefs cover.
When it’s all done 34-24 Chiefs. KC distributes it too much to invest.
Miami does show up. Struggling to see how they score besides Gisecki.
One KC miscue in this game is Miami Defensive score.
Nobody will pick it. Jakeem Grant could be the guy.
Not going here.
Mecole Hardman and Sammy Watkins are going to eat up the Dolphins.
Travis Kelce once again has 10 catches, why not.
I do not see a Chiefs fireworks game. Shit.
Clyde the glide has a 70-80 yard rushing game. Just enough for a floor.
I do not see investing into this game.
Tua sucks.
Houston
at Chicago
OU: 45.5
This could have been something.
Love Trubisky to Allen Robinson this game. Who is going to stop him?
Jimmy Graham scores
Kermit the Frog not scoring again.
Wouldn’t be shocked if Anthony Miller scores too.
Weather aside really like Bears offense and air attack
Not sure what Texans comes back with to keep it going? DeShaun running?
David Johnson’s gonna catch 8 balls easily.
Would have to be Brandin Cooks game. If he plays.
Keke Coutee is not going to do shit in this game.
3 TD for Trubisky assuming weather is not an impact.
Bears Defense
This game has DFS flop and DFS trap city written all over it.
Bears coming off a horrible loss, that’s it, mail it in. They’re done. Coach getting fired.
Do not touch Allen Robinson.
Do not touch David Montgomery even though he has to make the most sense.
I mean. David Montgomery makes lots of sense. Ronald Jones beats him.
Tennessee
at Jacksonville
OU: 52.5
Henry will do well, and it’s a safe play. Don’t think it’s a must own.
Not scoring 3 TD with 130 yards and should have had a fourth.
Not competitive. Watch for TEN defensive score. Pride issue.
Definitely will step up in this game.
Final score will be 27-3.
Game will lean towards the under.
DST for Tennessee scores, not convinced what Jacksonville can do … wait a minute he says…. he stands corrected.
There is a play in this game. Price/$, better than Henry.
James Robinson. J-Rob will keep Jags alive in this game.
Is AJ Brown alive?
I only ask because if he is alive then Derrick Henry might stay under 300 yards rushing.
Might….
It’s close.
I mean, that one pass to AJ Brown could be the difference between 283 and 317 yards for Henry. Gonna be a tight one.
Yeah, ok, thanks. Next. This is fucking simple. Don’t get cute.
Play Henry.
Dallas
at Cincinnati
OU: 43.5
Andy Dalton revenge game.
Rarr.
Actually, don’t laugh but even on a short week I do like Dallas’ passing game.
You gotta like CeeDee Lamb, no?
When the hell is Bro Mixon coming back?
He probably smashes in his second game back though.
Lots of good games this week. No reason to like two shitty teams.
Denver
at Carolina
OU: 47
Feel like Carolina hasnt played football in four weeks
This is a blah. Is Drew Lock back?
Dont have any thoughts on this game. Weird matchup.
Not fearful that it will bite me.
Yes – CMC is contrarian play but has Mike Davis wiggled his way to enough of a contribution/timeshare in the backfield that it removes CMC ceiling games. Thats the question on Carolina.
Here’s the kickoff….
….
….
And this game is over. 10-9 is your final score ladies and gentlemen.
Nice come from behind win for the Panthers.
I jokingly say this knowing that Lock is an every other week guy, but cmon, no.
4PM SLATE
NY Jets
at Seattle
OU: 47
First thought popped into head (FEAR, not a thought)
Is this … a high spread game that people go away from fearing that Seattle will just be running out the clock in the second half and it pans out from a DFS perspective.
Had ya gone Wilson-Lockett-whatever you’d be sitting pretty
Does Seattle still come through.
Feeling that they might.
As good as seattle ground game can be, cannot go Carson.
Running Carlos Hyde too much.
Dont invest there (Carson)
Will Dissly is going to score. Lockett is scoring.
Who the hell is going to cover Metcalf?
Fred Swain is going to score too.
Is Russell Worth it?
Is Wilson worth it?
Dissly-Lockett-Swain, they cover the 13 and win by 20.
Safest play on the board — Tease Seahawks down to 3.
If anyone on the Jets – Perriman.
Predict Jammal Adams stat line?
3 sacks, one INT, one forced fumble, one touchdown?
Can I roster Jammal Adams?
Well yes, I can, the Seattle defense.
Ahh, sooo. Lets chat about DK Metcalf and his touchdown.
Lets chat about Freddie Swain and his touchdown.
And do you just play Russell Wilson and move on? I say no actually.
The Jets are going to do ZILCH on offense to keep up. ZILCH.
Game might be 28-0 at the half with one Metcalf, one Swain, one Adams and one Carlos Hyde or some bullshit like that from the RB.
Chris Carson winds up with 75 yards rushing
Dom is right on him being babied as they dont need to work him too hard here.
Seattle defense on radar.
Indianapolis
at Las Vegas
OU: 51.5
Rodrigo Blankenship
Jordan Wilkins scores if you have the balls to play him.
Nyheim Hines game but he can’t do it.
Is Mo Allie-Cox the #1 TE? Trey Burton! Trey Burton scores.
That’s it.
Out of no where Devontae Booker gets 110 combined yards and a score
Would be a sneaky as balls play. Do not like Raiders WR, no Waller.
Maybe one of the WR scores but its irrelevant. Agholor could score with 4 for 40 and a TD
** D.Booker out of nowhere and produce. **
No Jacobs kills this game. KILLS it…
Devontae Booker bounce back at home after shitty chalk last week? Except he sucks.
Nyheem Hines is worth consideration on DK if still affordable.
I like him to catch a bunch of passes.
I really don’t like the Colts much though. Pittman going to be mentioned as a bounce back, but I think Raiders can handle him. If he’s cheap, could be worth using.
Close/middle of the road game. Not sure how Raiders win without Jacobs.
Somehow this game has to find a way to go under. Raiders home games have been high scoring though have they not?
Atlanta
at LA Chargers
OU: 49.5
Not getting the same feeling as Raiders-Jets from last week.
Level of investment to be had? Yes.
Justin Herbert bounce back? Fuck yes.
Does Austin Ekeler eat? Fuck yes.
Keenan Allen also scores. Very safe play. 8-100-1.
Trying to discern the other side. Is this a game where it could be a shootout but it’s not the primary players. Finally stacked the game and it’s completely the other guys?!?!? Dom is thinking Zachheus score?
Zaccheus and Hurst?
Hurst is probably the primary guy over there. No Ridley outside of Atlanta but this is also a dome. Something about Alabama WR doing well.
Gimme Hurst
Gimme Allen as a safe play.
Gimme Ekeler
Nobody has a ceiling game but all do really well
Justin Herbert at the top of QB list this week.
Dont know who else it is on Atlanta side?
Could see myself fading this game and the points come from a secondary players and it’s key to list that.
Julio Jones does have his heart in it this year.
QB1?
And I don’t necessarily mean Justin Herbert
Mike Williams. Who is going to guard Mike Williams?
Keenan Allen. Who is going to guard Keenan Allen?
Neither team has any running game success. So this is a perfect game stack spot.
Ryan is not going to have a shitty game here. Matt Ryan is the key, I think he has a very good game and with no running game and knowing Herbert just had his welcome to the NFL bitch game he’ll do better this week too, its setting up as a fucking glorious shootout in that echo chamber of a stadium.
I am not pulling any value plays. I am also not pulling any tight ends, so while nobody can guard Mike Williams and Keenan Allen and Calvin Ridley, they will atleast try too which means …. Hunter Henry and Hayden Hurst. Have there ever been two TE’s with the initials H.H. that went off in the same game? Has that ever happened?
If the game is good then Austin Ekeler should have a huge game, right???
Washington
at San Francisco (In AZ)
OU: 43.5
Deebo
Is this a Tevin Coleman game?
But I know who does score. Kendrick Bourne.
Revenge game – Jordan Reed
Reed definitely scores.
Washington big let down, post win, short week, travel game.
Dont be shocked if Terry McLaurin has double digit catches.
10 for 130 yards and a score.
Bourne/Reed/Deebo has end around touchdown.
Too many other solid games. I’ll pass.
But really like San Francisco to win.
McKissic high volume game if Gibson is out
San Francisco has their way, wins the game.
Nick Mullens????
New Orleans
at Philadelphia
OU: 45
Yeah this is not a good spot for New Orleans
Get in and get the fuck out.
I will not tout it in DFS but this game screams Saints white TE’s. If it’s Brees, its Josh Hill, if it’s Taysom it’s Trautman. But I won’t tout it again.
I mean if Slay is out then you have to trust the game to flow through Michael Thomas.
But for whatever reason I see a heavy volume of Latavius Murray for the sole intent of trying to stay in third and short, chew up the clock, have long drives.
I feel like at 5:30 we’re gonna be sitting there wondering why the hell are we watching this clusterfuck when there are so many other good games going on?
DFS notes I do not like this game at all. Nothing.
Absolutely nothing outside of Saints defense.
Marcus Williams pick 6.
Green Bay
at Detroit
OU: 55.5
Rodgers is the one I like – not Stafford.
Favorite play in this game is Allan Lazard, no doubt about it.
Lazard scores once, maybe twice.
Love Marvin Jones on the other side. Never had an answer for him, and pray Golladay plays. Alexander does not shadow.
Gotta love Rodgers
It’s Rodgers. First thought gravitated to Rodgers.
Jammal Williams screen pass for a touchdown.
HOCKENSON
HOCKENSON
Completely forgot about HOCKENSON
Praying Swift is playing, if he plays it really opens the game up.
A-A-Ron…. Adams had 2, Jones long one.
Do we have ourselves, fantasy gold?
Chargers vs Falcons or Packers vs Lions
Which game you want?
My initial thought was this one. Immediately thought Stafford again.
You get Golladay back and you get Swift back and you have Hockenson rolling.
Lions are going to put up points on Green Bay and nobody will see it coming.
I know its in Detroit, but …
We know Packers are gonna score right?? Everyone’s gonna want Aaron Jones and nah, no thanks…. Its a Rodgers vs Stafford game.
Stafford-Golladay-Lazard. Only not playing Adams because of Nuk love.