Couple things to note before we get into the first four days of the tournament as these are my feelings on teams/conferences in general.
- The Big 12 is the conference that people are sleeping on and it is better than the Big 10 top to bottom/
- The ACC sucks
- Not as many upsets day 1 and 2, but HUGE chance of upsets on day 3 and 4 (The round 32)
Games that I have very little interest in today
- Drexel vs Illinois
- Utah State vs Texas Tech
- Oregon State vs Tennessee … Tempting but just two slow teams not worth it on big slate. Good on a small 4 game slate though to game stack
- Hartford vs Baylor … Will be over 10 mins in
- Cleveland State vs Houston
- North Texas vs Purdue
- Morehead St vs WVU … WVU is always jeckyl and hyde but for now I’ll pass
- Rutgers vs Clemson
So there, we crossed off 8 of the games to consider if we’re building 1-10 lineups today… Now let’s cover the best game stack spots out there
Tier 1 Games
Colgate vs Arkansas: The slate begins with a massive paced match-up and this one will be popular for sure.
- Colgate: Value is on Colgate side, but I honestly think Arkansas can cover the -8.5
- Jordan Burns: This game is not going over without him having a huge game
- Keegan Records: Should hit value off rebounding alone
- Arkansas:
- Moses Moody
- Justin Smith
- Davonte Davis
- Jalen Tate – The wild card here, I wouldn’t mind playing him naked in this game.
Oral Roberts vs Ohio State: Upset alert of the day. Oral Roberts keeps this one close.
- Oral Roberts:
- Max Abmas
- Kevin Obanor
- Ohio State
- EJ Lidell
- CJ Walker
- Duane Washington – Will be lower owned, nice pivot off Lidell for Ohio State exposure as in a close game he would have to see usage go up.
Virginia Tech vs Florida: Might be one of my favorite games today. High chance of OT in this one
- Virginia Tech: They have a small rotation and good pricing.
- Tyrese Radford
- Keve Aluma: Has chance to break the slate, but pricey. Not a main lineup play but in the GPP Upside category
- Justyn Mutts
- Florida
- Tre Mann
- Tyree Appleby
Tier 2 Games
Liberty vs Oklahoma State: Liberty is a sneaky draw against Okie State, the problem here is Cade is 10k which is tough outside of a game stack
- Liberty:
- Darius McGhee
- Kyle Rode
- Elijah Cuffee
- Oklahoma State
- Cade – 10k, tough for main lineup
- Avery Anderson III – Love his price
- Moncreiffe
Wisconsin vs North Carolina: UNC bigs could have a big game here, but they rotate so much it’s hard to lock one in
- Wisconsin
- D’Mitric Trice
- North Carolina
- Garrison Brooks – Only $5600! Great discount for their veteran big.
Winthrop vs Villanova: Nova plays zero defense this year, and also has a limited rotation themselves.
- Winthrop
- Chandler Vaudrin
- Villanova
- JRE – Will be 5% owned at best and has to drop 35+ for them to win.
- Jermaine Samuels
- Justin Moore
Tier 3 Spots
Georgia Tech: With Moses Wright out we see a potential risky value in Rodney Howard ($3900) open up and I would expect Jordan Usher to hit value.
Loyola-Illinois: Cam Krutwig could go off with no interior D on Georgia Tech
Syracuse: Buddy Boeheim
San Diego State: Nathan Mensah, Matt Michell, Jordan Shackel
FAVORITE PLAYS
Max Abams – Oral Roberts
D’Mtric Trice – Wisconsin
Tyrese Radford – Virginia Tech
Moses Moody – Arkansas … This whole game is obviously the chalk.
Avery Anderson III – Oklahoma State
FAVORITE VALUE
This is where the slate kind of lacks IMO, if you take some value darts on a heavy favorite then good luck to you on that. The winning formula in the tournament in years past is to get a balanced CORE lineup. So stay in the 6k to 7k range for most players and then pick your one pay up.
Kyle Rode, Keegan Records, Austin Williams, Thomas Bell