Six night games tonight. The final Saturday before the All-Star break, including Gerrit Cole vs Zack Greinke — hooo boy.
WEATHER
Rain in Wrigley, probably plays though.
Walker Buehler
The fact that the Dodgers lost to the Diamondbacks last night makes me love Buehler even more tonight because he’ll go 6 innings, get the win and should have a 7-8 strikeout performance tonight and there is a part of me expecting to see him flirt with a no-no tonight the match-up and his diversity in pitches lately is that good of a spot.
Joe Musgrove
I know Musgrove has started to slow down off his hot start but the Rockies offense on the road is not dangerous and this is a nice bounce back spot right before the ASB. For $7,700 you are basically getting a low risk/high upside SP2 against one of the worst road offenses in the league.
I can see German Marquez, Freddy Peralta and Patrick Sandoval being popular on this short slate, but give me the two above.
There really isnt one team tonight that stands out as a must play but with a short slate I wouldn’t avoid going all in on one team as it gives you the highest upside by far. Here are the primary teams I would focus on.
Seattle
Seattle is the best leverage spot on this slate. Patrick Sandoval has been getting good results this season and likely is going to draw high ownership tonight but he shouldn’t. Warm weather out in Seattle to give that park a boost tonight with the roof likely open. This is the highest scoring game tonight and not because it has an 8.5 total, which it’s going over.
Milwaukee
Cincy/Milwaukee is the second best game to like both sides on today. Load up on Yelich and the Brewers who have been the better team prior to a quiet night last night.
LA Dodgers
Hard to expect Dodgers to not hit again and against Caleb Smith. Heart of the order (Turner/Pujols) look good today.
Houston
With only six games tonight I am looking to ride a main stack and build one offs around it. The hype of Cole returning to Houston to face his former team is enough, I am sold.
CATCHER
- Will Smith
- Luis Torrens
FIRST BASE
- Paul Goldschmidt
- Joey Votto
- Rowdy Tellez
SECOND BASE
- Jose Altuve
- Dylan Moore
- Chris Taylor
THIRD BASE
- Justin Turner
- DJ LeMahieu
SHORTSTOP
This is a really thin position today. JP Crawford isnt one of the Mariners to love but if they get into the bullpen and he is leading off then he should find a way to produce.
- Willy Adames
- JP Crawford
- Nando Tatis
OUTFIELD – Mt Rushmore
- Christian Yelich
- Mitch Haniger
- Mookie Betts
- Christian Yelich
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Avisail Garcia
- Trent Grisham
OUTFIELD – Value
- Michael Brantley
The Dongers Club
Christian Yelich – OF – Brewers – Chairman of the Dongers Club
HR PARLAY
Yelich – Haniger – Turner
BETS
Angels/Mariners OVER 8.5
LINEUP CONSTRUCTION THOUGHTS
The Mariners are really good leverage and the Padres are probably the good team getting overlooked tonight. Win with a 4-5 man stack on a single team and it’s a good night to have 2 lineups in with two 5 man stacks.
Stack 1: Milwaukee
Stack 2: Seattle