NFL · December 12, 2021

NFL DFS: Sunday Night Football Showdown – Week 14 – Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

NOTE: All pricing references pertain to DraftKings

Showdown Strategy

When Showdown slates first became available I was not a big fan simply because I don’t often like change. When these slates were designed we hadn’t ever seen anything like them in the DFS world. Come to realize a few years later I really enjoy them. On a normal slate with multiple games, I would typically describe myself as a cash game player primarily. That’s where my focus typically lies; cash games/single entry tournaments and from there I’ll build lineups for multi-entry GPP contests. For me, the cash game/single entry strategy kind of goes out the window as I’ll hardly if ever play double-ups and single-entry contests in showdown. Instead, I’ll take a core of players, more than often three to four players in the game that I want in virtually every lineup, typically 20 or so, that I build. The core will usually include both quarterbacks and one to two skill players that I have to have. Like much of fantasy football volume is king but it comes with a price. The wrinkle is the captain’s spot in showdown lineups. The captain’s spot generates 1.5 times the amount of fantasy points scored however a player’s salary goes up in the captain’s spot obviously. Locking in a core and deciding on a captain is how I’ll start building lineups. From there I’ll fill in the rest of the spots with correlation and value plays. Don’t be afraid to get a little weird with these lineups because virtually anything goes!

Core Plays

Chicago Bears: QB Justin Fields

Green Bay Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Davante Adams

*NOTE: All plays above are obviously “Captain” viable

Captain Plays

RB Aaron Jones (GB)

  • While looking at Jones you see A.J. Dillon on his tail looking to take touches away which will be the case in this game with Dillon getting what I expect will be 10 to 12 touches. With that being said, Jones should get enough volume and be efficient enough in the captain’s spot. He was eased back in last week in his return but against the Bears earlier this season Jones had 13 carries and four receptions on four targets with a receiving touchdown.

RB David Montgomery (CHI)

  • Montgomery is the clear workhorse here for the Bears handling 29 and 21 touches over the last two weeks. Montgomery was heavily involved in the passing game last week which proved to be productive as he turned eight receptions into 51 yards on nine targets. With the Bears having a severe lack of production at the wider receiver position overall and Jaier Alexander expected back in the secondary for the Packers, it would make sense for Fields to look Montgomery’s way in the passing game.

Flex Plays

  • WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB)
  • TE Cole Kmet (CHI)
  • WR Darnell Mooney (CHI)
  • RB A.J. Dillon (GB)
  • WR Damiere Byrd (CHI)
  • K Mason Crosby (GB)

Prop Bets

A.J. Dillon – OVER rushing yards (51.5, -115)

A.J. Dillon – OVER receiving yards (12.5, -110)

Justin Fields – OVER passing yards (184.5, -115)

David Montgomery – OVER receiving yards (18.5, -110)

GOOD LUCK!

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