Nothing like four more games on Monday/Tuesday and some HUGE contests for the two game slates today and I would assume the same tomorrow. Let’s look at the two games individually and then figure out what our CORE build is for this two game slate.
Las Vegas at Cleveland
I believe that this game will have a good amount of offense in it even with Cleveland being down both their top two Quarterbacks. Look for Derek Carr to exceed expectations and he is my favorite all around Quarterback on this slate and would have been my #1 guy on the Saturday slate when this game was originally in that spot. While Hunter Renfroe is playing like a WR1, we should strongly consider Bryan Edwards here as well and if you are deep diving for TE value then Foster Moreau should continue to warrant consideration against a middle of the road defense vs TE. I love the Raiders passing game.
For Cleveland there is zero point playing this slate without Nick Chubb. He should have an increased usage and will still be riding behind a good enough offensive line (and by good enough I mean they’re going to have to control the game for Cleveland).
Must owns: Bryan Edwards and Nick Chubb
Top Raiders: Carr, Edwards, Renfroe
Top Browns: Chubb, D.Johnson, Donovan Peoples-Jones
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Bets:
- Over 40.5
- Derek Carr OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Nick Chubb OVER 79.5 rushing yards
- Bryan Edwards Over 24.5 receiving yards
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Minnesota at Chicago
Think back to a year ago when late in the season David Montgomery was used extremely heavily and we should get that boost here again down the stretch while they continue to balance between letting Justin Fields shine and keeping him from shooting himself in the foot too much. The Vikings rush defense can be ran on and Montgomery is someone I strongly have to think we like.
For the Vikings you will need to consider Dalvin Cook or Justin Jefferson with both Theilen being questionable (doubtful really) and Alexander Mattison out as well. Any desire to use K.J. Osborne is either as him naked or with Cousins in a stack where you prefer to drink heavily and hope that Mr. I can’t win on Monday night finally shines.
Must owns: David Montgomery, Cole Kmet and either Jefferson or Dalvin Cook
Top Vikings: Jefferson, Cook
Top Bears: Montgomery, Kmet, Mooney
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Bets:
- Bears +6.5
- Kirk Cousins OVER 0.5 INT (+120)
- Cole Kmet OVER 2.5 receptions
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The Chalk Lineup
Justin Fields
Dalvin Cook
David Montgomery
Justin Jefferson
Hunter Renfroe
WR3
Cole Kmet
Foster Moreau
DEF
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AMBUSH Plays
#1. Derek Carr with Bryan Edwards
#2. Fade one of Dalvin Cook or Justin Jefferson. I am fading Cook as of now.
#3. Bears Defense
#4. Raiders/Browns game stack is the higher scoring play