DAILY-AMBUSH · May 21, 2022

The Dongers Club – May 21st – Early

If at any point you enjoyed last night then you either just randomly picked some shit out of thin air or are a freak.  And I mean that as a compliment to be honest, because it has little to do with getting players or teams or anything right versus wrong and everything to do with the lack of quality Baseball last night. And by last night I of course mean, most of this season as at some point we have to maybe call a spade a spade and say that these guys just aren’t that good.

No, this isn’t going to turn into some long rant about how back in my day Baseball was filled with guys who played the right way or yada yada yada, someone go grab me another Lemonade because it’s hot out.

No, I’m just saying look, these guys just can’t fucking hit.

It’s not the weather.  It shouldn’t be the humidors (*although I am quickly working on a conspiracy related to this*) and it’s not spider tack or velocities being too high.  Nope. These guys just fucking suck at hitting.   Can someone please explain to me why the Philadelphia Phillies cannot hit or score in a good offensive park in the National League?  What the hell is going on there?

If the offense doesn’t wake up soon then I am not sure it will all season.

Today is a busy day for Baseball DFS with the two rain outs making a bigger early slate on DraftKings.  I was originally planning to just cover tonight’s MAIN slate but I’ll break down both the Early and Main slates with two articles.

This one is obviously the Early slate article.

Remember to use our new and improved Daily Lineups page for information on starting lineups and a quick snapshot of the match-ups.

MLB Lineups Page – Daily Ambush

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WEATHER

White Sox at Yankees

No issues after last nights rain out.

Diamondbacks at Cubs

Light rain gradually coming into play during the game.  My guess is that they will manage to play through it and I would also bank on them having a few less homers in this game today with the wind blowing in at 10 mph.

Reds at Blue Jays

Roof could be open this afternoon up in Toronto

Mets at Rockies

It’s cold but no snow during the game.

Padres at Giants

1PM Local start and bright clear Sunny Baseball

Mariners at Red Sox

82 degrees with by far the highest dew point on the slate.  The dew point factor with MLB and the new Baseballs is huge right now and Boston has continued to have a high Dew Point all season.

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ALEK MANOA

I cannot think of an easier write-up I will have all season long.

Toronto is going to murder Cincinnati today and Manoah’s only down side is that they might pull him after 6 innings with a comfortable lead which doesn’t allow him to get his 11th, 12th and 13th strike-outs.

GERMAN MARQUEZ

A cold game in Coors with a Ground Ball pitcher.  Give me the value of Marquez today and take the stack options down below from hitting.  I think there is a decent chance we see the Mets roll out a B lineup for the first game of their double-header today and Marquez is coming off two back to back 6 inning, 3 ER starts.  He can beat that today.

NESTOR CORTES

Nestor was going to be #1 on the article last night before the rain out, so he gets a nod back in today among the Starting Pitchers for today’s afternoon short slate.  One of my traditions is taking the under on Yankee Saturday afternoon home games and that just further adds to my desire to use Nestor as a primary pitcher today.

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MARINERS at RED SOX

   

Unless you tell me that Randy Johnson and Pedro Martinez are going to show up and pitch this game I am not playing without 5+ hitters from Fenway Pawk today.

Seattle has the luxury of likely seeing 4+ Innings from Boston’s bulpen as Whitlock is still capped out at 80-85 pitches and he hasn’t gone past 5 innings all season long.  Unfortunately for the Mariners they aren’t really a good sinker ball hitting lineup outside of Jesse Winker who is an absolute must own in my mind.

Mariners:   Jesse Winker, Mike Ford

Boston could be without Xander Bogaerts today but that’s alright since he hasn’t been hitting Change-Up’s very well and that is Flexen’s only out pitch vs RHB. For the Sox, Devers and Mr. Saturday Club Trevor Story, who is white hot are core plays.  If Xander does sit though we’ll want to see what they do with the lineup adjustments.

Red Sox:   Rafael Devers, Trevor Story, Alex Verdugo

BLUE JAYS

Vlad Guerrero Jr had a 15 game hitting streak snapped with an 0-4 night last night.  In that streak he had a grand total of three extra base hits, two of which came back on May the 3rd against the Yankees.  For the entire month of May he has two doubles and 1 home run.  That’s it.

A big reason why his production and other Jays production is down slightly is due to them seeing far less 4-seamers this season.  Well, good news.  That’s about all Hunter Greene is set to throw at them today.  So if Toronto can avoid getting behind in counts this is going to be a blood bath.

Vlad Guerrero Jr

George Springer

Bo Bichette

Lourdes Gurriel Jr – Nursing an injury

Danny Jansen – Little fun fact, Danny Jansen once caught Hunter Greene at the futures game.

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CATCHER

  1. Yan Gomes
  2. Danny Jansen / Alejandro Kirk

FIRST BASE

  1. Vlad Guerrero Jr
  2. Mike Ford

SECOND BASE

  1. Trevor Story
  2. Ketel Marte

THIRD BASE

  1. Rafael Devers
  2. Eugenio Suarez

SHORTSTOP

  1. Bo Bichette
  2. JP Crawford

OUTFIELD – Mt Rushmore

  1. George Springer Dinger
  2. Jesse Winker
  3. Alex Verdugo
  4. Joey Gallo

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  1. Vlad Guerrero Jr – 1B – Blue Jays – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Jesse Winker – OF – Mariners
  3. Rafael Devers – 3B – Red Sox
  4. George Springer – OF – Blue Jays
  5. Yan Gomes – C – Cubs

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CORE PLAYS

SP1:  Alek Manoah

SP2:  German Marquez

C:  Yan Gomes

1B:  Vladdy G

OF:  Winker, Springer

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OWNERSHIP BREAKDOWN

I suspect ownership will be on Coors, but it might be the dumbest DFS play all season.  Or atleast that is my opinion.

Yankees chalk

Jays get overlooked

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BETTING PLAYS

Saturday “They Aint Losin” Money Line Parlay

Toronto Blue Jays + Anaheim Angels + Houston Astros + Milwaukee Brewers

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