Happy Friday! A near full Main slate, with 3 games in the early Turbo window tonight. Tonight is the night. It’s going to come out and hit us like a ton of bricks. One year ago (around this time) we had a Friday night slate where it felt like there were about 6 HR per game. Today could be that day for the 2023 season because we have a combination of three important factors. #1. Some bad SP. #2. Some Bullpens falling apart and #3. Some increased Humidity tonight around the league. We also have mostly non divisional series this weekend as well, which is always a nice boost too. It’s about to get very warm and the balls are gonna be flying my friends. WEATHER It’s not hot. But the humidity numbers do catch my eye everywhere. No PPD risk today. There really isn’t one guy who gets the top arm slot above everyone else. On DraftKings there is just one pitcher who is above 10k (Joe Ryan) and a total of 12 pitchers between 7k and 9k with most of the ones who have the best K% upside also having some bad SLG risk (Kikuchi, Miller, Detmers) TOP ARM Anthony DeSclafani (DK: $8700, FD: $9100) … The Italian was not good to us the last time we went with him as he had a rough first inning before settling in. That’s not a concern vs the Marlins who are near the bottom in 1st run production and do not have Jazz Chisholm either. We should also be able to get a 90+ pitch performance here after only throwing 77 in his last start. Gimme the Italian on a late Friday night to put away the dead bodies after dark. SP2 OPTIONS Reid Detmers (DK: $7900, FD: $8100) … A few mid range options here are lefties who have risk, comparable options such as Ranger Suarez and Martin Perez are not able to offset that risk with strikeouts like Detmers should manage to do. Get through without screwing up against Farmer/Polanco part of the order and it’s smooth sailing after that 6-9 junk. Matthew Boyd (DK: $7100) … This is who Matt Boyd is, he follows up disaster start (55 pitches, 1.1 IP, 5 H, 4 BB, 5 ER) with a game where he has 6 strikeouts through 3 innings before racking that pitch count up…...
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