Sunday Dongers Club – 5/28

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Sunday – 8 main slate games to enjoy.  No afternoon article later today, but will cover the full Memorial Day slate of games in a big way on Monday. WEATHER No issues, all games will play. 10+ MPH winds blowing IN at Camden Yards Minnesota has the best hitting weather boost once again, which is just weird   TOP ARM The premier game today in terms of pitching is Darvish (9700) vs Cole (11500) and as you can tell the pricing on both could sway ownership somewhat. Darvish isn’t throwing 100 pitches, Cole will probably throw 110, but Cole needs to throw around 105-110 and get 8 strikeouts against the Padres — something he should do, pending what lineup they decide to roll out today — to justify his usage. San Diego comes in with Tatis and Soto both hitting well, but the key bat here is Bogaerts and if he sits again then Cole is all clear in my mind. So the answer here is Gerrit Cole, but by a very slim margin over just taking two mid range arms, which to me is not going to kill you so long as we get some offense today.   SP2 OPTIONS Alex Cobb (DK $8000, FD: $9300) Cobb is going to be 10%+ or more owned today, he has to be.  So he’s really not a sleeper candidate and he has a primary pitch that should murder Milwaukee with his splitter.  The Brewers offense usually does well on Sunday’s at home for whatever reason, however their ISO in this split is just .111, they have a 25% strikeout rate over the last 10 days and Cobb delivered with a 31.8 FPTS performance against them on May 6th in San Francisco. In case you are wondering how teams do facing a SP the second time in a season, the data overall shows about a 5% drop for the pitcher at most, so its there, but not significant and a 25 point performance today will do just fine. Drew Smyly (DK: $7900, FD: $8700) This should be the safe/easy one — always famous last words when it comes to fantasy sports.  Wind blowing in at Wrigley and while the Reds jumped on Justin Steele on Friday, I still would be fine attacking them with a LHP. The Reds do hit sinkers well, which they should see a lot of, but Smyly’s allowing RHH…...

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