A nearly full Friday night slate with no Wrigley afternoon game unfortunately and two turbo slate 5pm/6pm window games as we lose the Athletics and Marlins (bummer man!) and the Brewers and Reds — which feels like a series that has a million runs in a warm Cincinnati weekend. All in all we have summer like conditions today with a ton of big name pitchers going as well tonight. We also have ‘remember me”s’ going on this weekend with the new series. Moose Tacos back in Kansas City (hey, how about that….) Jesse Winker back in Cincinnati (hey, how about that….) Schwarber, Harper and Turner back in Washington (hey, how about that…..) WEATHER Hot with storms and rain in a few spots. Tampa Bay at Boston – This one does not look good. High PPD risk. Cleveland at Minnesota – Storms before and early in the game, they should be able to play. Roof open in Arizona As mentioned above a lot of big name pitchers going such as Ohtani, Kershaw, Framber, Wheeler, Webb, Verlander, Glasnow, Castillo (!!!), Severino, two of the Grays (Jon and Josiah) as well as Michael Wacha, Bailey Ober, Aaron Civale and Dean Kremer, which is honestly the closest grouping to some 50’s all male band we have going today. Oh yeah, Chase Anderson is going tonight as well, fun times. However, a lot of the ‘Good’ pitchers are facing good teams or in weather spots which are really good for hitting, and conversely the bad pitchers are facing some bad teams. Like Jordan Lyles vs Colorado. TOP ARMS Shohei Ohtani (DK: 10.7k, 10.8k) He has had some huge games against Houston in his career, which stands out given the fact that most pitchers do not have success vs the Astros. The home/road splits are still a negative for Ohtani, his production away from Anaheim just isn’t the same, but the Astros aren’t what I would consider a hot offense at the moment with Tucker struggling and Altuve/Abreu/Bregman/Pena not hitting RHP much if at all. SP2 CHOICES Zack Wheeler (DK: $9200, FD: $10900) Look for back to back solid A+ starts from Wheeler, he can be streaky and the Nationals are returning from a west coast trip tonight, are probably a little groggy and should whiff more than they normally do. Mike Clevinger (DK: $6600) I can see Clevinger doing well vs Detroit…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
