I was certainly not expecting Jameson Taillon to shut down anyone and I definitely was not expecting an 11 game ‘Main’ slate on DraftKings today which starts at 1:00 pm. FanDuel did what I expected them to do and will have their ‘Main’ slate roll at 4pm. The games that are DK only include Cubs/Yankees, Jays/Tigers, Cardinals/White Sox, Orioles/Twins WEATHER Royals at Guardians … This one has PPD risk, they should be able to get it in though. And since today is not a Friday night “popular” slate, we have accurate pricing on pitchers with three guys in the five figure range on DK. MY THREE PITCHERS Kevin Gausman (DK: $11,500) It’s the Tigers, they are not good and Gausman is good. That’s the dynamite analysis you need to know my friends. Gausman has the best xWOBA projected advantage today, he’s coming off a regular amount of rest and should be able to have a great outing to justify paying for him. Tyler Wells (DK: $9000) I suspect we’ll get another low scoring Orioles/Twins game today and while Sonny Gray is likely to give up fewer hits/walks, it’s Wells who has the better statistical advantage in terms of strikeouts. He also does not have the disadvantage of having just faced the Twins where as Gray saw Baltimore a week ago and that usually leans towards the hitters in the second meeting. Brady Singer (FD: $6600) & Gavin Williams (DK: $7000, FD: $8500) For FanDuel users, Brady Singer is in play because you do not have options of Gausman & Cole and he is a viable bargain at $6,600. On DraftKings, trust in Gavin Williams a little bit more since the Royals are whiffing a ton and even though they’ve got a prior history with him a couple weeks ago I don’t think they’re gonna go off today because they cannot string together long innings. OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS I suspect you’ll see a decent amount of G.Cole & K.Gausman lineups paired together. Each is likely to be 40%~ owned if I took a rough guess and maybe 15% of those have both since there are 11 games to optimize/punt around some cheap sub 3k hitters today. It’s not a horrible strategy but I also don’t sense a dominant Cole outing. Chalky mid tier arms are likely Matt Manning, Miles Mikolas and Gavin Williams. Alex Wood is what DraftKings…...
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