Overview
This week the NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway in Loudon, New Hampshire. The track called the “Magic Mile” is a 1.058 mile slightly banked asphalt oval track. NHMS is similar to Richmond and Phoenix Raceways as far as characteristics go. Last years winner Christopher Bell led 42 laps. He was one of three drivers to lead 40+ laps (Kurt Busch, 40 and Martin Truex, 172). All three drivers started within the top five so nailing the dominator/early dominator gives a big edge.
On Sunday the drivers will go 318.46 miles, 301 laps giving us a lot of dominator points up for grabs, similar to last week. Taking into account that over the last two races the majority of the laps have been led by five drivers, nailing the dominators in this race will be a major advantage.
Most comparable tracks: Phoenix Raceway, Richmond Raceway
*Note: all pricing is DraftKings focused
Dominators
These are the drivers that we can typically expect to, you guessed it, dominate the race. When we think dominator we are looking for guys that will be in a position to lead a hefty amount of laps as well as be able to turn over fastest laps.
Christopher Bell ($11,200), Starting on the Pole
Bell won this race last year leading 42 laps in his third career race there. It was his second career top-five there and he has always fared well at like-tracks Phoenix and Richmond. Starting from the pole, Bell should be an early contender to dominate but it will be a costly price tag.
Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,100), Starting 2nd
Truex is the other contender in my eyes to leads laps early in this race. He’ll start second here and has finished in the top-four in two of his last three races. Over his career Truex has eight top-fives here and 14 top-10’s while leading 83 or more laps on seven occasions. Like Bell, Truex is in a Gibbs car and I would expect both to be strong in this event.
Joey Logano ($9,200), Starting 4th
Logano could be considered a tournament dominator as he may need some good fortune to lead a substantial amount of laps. However, Logano has won here twice in 24 starts with 8 top-five finishes. However he’s led 25 or more laps just twice (the other time was when he led 73).
Also consider:
Tyler Reddick ($8,400), Starting 6th
William Byron ($9,900), Starting 7th
Place Differential Targets
The drivers that are starting farther back in the field than where they could be expected to finish. A lot of times due to a variety of qualifying situations some top drivers could start farther back in the field and make their way up through the field in a short period of time.
Ty Gibbs ($7,600), Starting 36th; Ross Chastain ($8,800), Starting 31st
These two guys should be pretty chalky as far as P.D. goes and I can’t argue with either. Look for both to make their way in the top 15 pretty quickly and set a solid floor for your lineups.
Denny Hamlin ($10,900), Starting 20th
Hamlin is a potential winner here with the success he’s had here over the years, despite starting 20th. Hamlin has won here three times in 29 races and has an average finish of 9th over that span.
Also consider
Chris Buescher ($7,300), Starting 26th
Brad Keselowski ($8,600), Starting 9th
Chase Elliott ($10,200), Starting 18th
Erik Jones ($6,400), Starting 30th
Todd Gilliland ($4,800), Starting 23rd
Cole Custer ($5,000), Starting 34th