MLB · July 19, 2023

The Dongers Club – July 19th

How about all that offense last night?  A little too much?  Just right?  Yeah, so, the Baseballs love the heat, we kinda knew this last year but the combination of that and some pitchers who hadn’t thrown in a while and aren’t very good lead to the perfect science of a record breaking offensive output last night.

Expect some more of that but not as wide spread today.

 

WEATHER

No major concerns.

 

MY THREE PITCHERS

JUSTIN VERLANDER (DK: $8800, FD: $9500)

Verlander is holding opposing RHH to a .283 wOBA and as long as Tim Anderson remains in the game that should hopefully be 3 strikeouts right there.  Sub 10k price here in a big park with not extreme temps and Verlander should avoid the walk issues he had last outing vs the Dodgers tonight allowing him to posisbly even go into the 8th inning.

KENTA MAEDA (DK: $7800, FD: $7200)

What can I say, I am a sucker for punishment?  Going back to the Asians on the west coast well here with Maeda who was GOD AWFUL against Oakland and now I want to pray he pitches well in the great Northwest against the Mariners and their 28% strikeout rate vs RHP over the last week.

TREVOR WILLIAMS (DK: $6500)

Williams last threw on July 7th, he tossed 110 pitches against the Rangers and went 6 full innings but still dot not break 10 DK FPTS.  The guy isn’t good but the wind should help him tremendously today.

 

ALSO LIKE

  • Yu Darvish

 

FAVORITE CORES …

D’BACKS and BRAVES

ARI:  Carroll, Gurriel

ATL:  Olson, Rosario

Arizona is a great curve-ball team, something that we obviously know Uncle Charles is going to lean on no matter what.  They didn’t hit him earlier back in June at home and he had a whopping 37% CSW rate in that game.  But I’ll go right back to the spot that had 29 runs last night and expect it to at least get into the double digits again today.  Tough to go full one team or another but the four guys mentioned above are the top options.

 

REDS / GIANTS

CIN: De La Cruz, Stephenson, Benson, India

SF:  Bailey, Pederson

Cincinnati’s cold streak ends tonight, which has to come from their bullpen locking down finally because the offense will explode here.  The De La Cruz transition to the lead off role hasn’t been an immediate transition which is not shocking at all, but tonight he breaks out with a lead off homer to start the bottom of the first and I like a wrap-around build of Stephenson/Benson/De La Cruz to be a little contrarian.

 

YANKEES

Peraza, Stanton, Torres

Worst offense in Baseball right now will score 5+ tonight out of nowhere.

 

CATCHER

  1. Patrick Bailey
  2. Chad Wallach

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Matt Olson
  2. Spencer Torkelson
  3. Joey Votto

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Jonathan India
  2. Andy Ibanez
  3. Ketel Marte

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Austin Riley
  2. CES
  3. Maikel Garcia

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Elly De La Cruz
  2. Francisco Lindor

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Lourdes Gurriel Jr
  2. Corbin Carroll
  3. Marcell Ozuna
  4. Jake Fraley

 

 

  1. Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds – Chairman of The Dongers Club

TODAY’S BETTING ANALYSIS

Good Over Upside — Meaning these have best potential to go way over…

  • Yankees/Angels
  • Giants/Reds
  • DBacks/Braves
  • Tigers/Royals

 

Good Under Upside — Meaning best potential to be a 2-1 or 5-2 type game.

  • Padres/Jays

 

ML Targets

  • Reds
  • Tigers

 

 

 

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