Eleven (11) games today, following the two early, and two turbo pairings. A great balance on this full Tuesday post the CBB National Championship game. While the Masters takes off this week and NBA/NHL playoffs begin, it’s truly MLB season now that we had a Julio Teheran appearance and today, that same team who used Julio is going to roll out Adrian Houser. Shit… They won too!
We continue to see pitchers dropping with elbow injuries and my “something doesn’t smell right” senses are going off. Specifically today Nick Pivetta and Josiah Gray are going on the IL which means Gray himself is scratched tonight – so congrats to the Giants on the ass whooping they will give Joan Adon instead. I’ll reserve my rant on these elbow injuries for now, but again, I’m not necessarily buying that what we are hearing is what is actually happening.
WEATHER
No PPD risks
TYLER GLASNOW (DK: $10.1k, FD: $10k) … Elite match-up as long as his arm does not fall off. Hey-ooo. Pay it and move on IMO.
NATE EOVALDI (DK: $8800, FD: $9500) … This definitely feels like a pay up pitching slate and I suspect that someone like Nate Eovaldi for 8800 on DK is going to be a chalky play. Yeah, he has a projected 40% strikeout rate here and a K prop of 7.5 with a SO prediction of 9.2. Really hard to ignore those kind of numbers. My model is something I use as a guide and a way to quickly analyze the slate. Eovaldi being the 10th ranked SP is concerning to me, but I really don’t see any reason to avoid that strikeout upside. If the Athletics go off, we chalk this one up to my brain with lots of coffee (when I do the coding) being smarter than my brain without lots of coffee (me doing this article right now).
ZACK WHEELER (DK: $9600, FD: $10.6k) … A big park for Wheeler and a cold Cardinals lineup. He won’t have the strikeouts Nate and Tyler will have, but he might go longer into the game (7 innings) and should win.
KYLE HARRISON (DK: $7600, FD: $7900) … If dumpster diving for value tonight you will be thin in your selections. This is more of a FanDuel play to go cheaper but I wouldn’t expect more than 5 2/3 IP from Harrison, which reduces that QS upside on FD.
GIANTS … Hoo-Lee, Chapman, Soler/Conforto
Quick change on SP usually means we get a no hitter or we get a 7 run first inning and I’ll be damned if Joan Adon throws a no hitter. SF is not hitting RHP very well but that has to change soon and Jung-Hoo Lee is the table setter before the boppers knock him in.
YANKEES … Torres, Stanton
Damnit, they’re back on the MAIN slate in a home game. A.J. Puk managed to double his innings last start but is still walking way too many guys & Giancarlo Stanton has found his hot streak right now. This could be a B1 grand slam and goodnight Marlins kinda spot — but does that translate into a full Yankee stack going off? Might not. Should you just completely ignore them though? Hell no.
DIAMONDBACKS … Carroll, Pederson, Walker
I would like Arizona against Cal Quantrill if they were playing on the Titanic tonight. So yes, we go back to the Coors Field night two experience.
CATCHER
- Gabriel Moreno … A good catcher batting second in Coors Field. I mean, we’re gonna see 20-30% ownership here in my mind and it’s not stupid.
- Logan O’Hoppe
- JT Realmuto
FIRST BASE
- Vlad Guerrero Jr.
- Christian Walker
- LaMonte Wade Jr.
SECOND BASE
- Gleyber Torres
- Mookie Betts
- Marcus Semien
THIRD BASE
- Matt Chapman … Let’s try this again
- Jake Burger
- Ryan McMahon
- Josh H Smith … 3B is pretty loaded today but on a night where a cheap bat could really open things up he is a top option.
SHORTSTOP
- Dansby Swanson
- JP Crawford
- Ezequiel Tovar
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Giancarlo Stanton
- Joc Pederson
- Wyatt Langford
- Julio Rodriguez
- Giancarlo Stanton – OF – NY Yankees – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Dansby Swanson – SS – Cubs
- Vlad Guerrero Jr – 1B – Blue Jays
- Matt Chapman – 3B – Giants
- Joc Jamz – OF – Diamondbacks
- Julio Rodriguez – OF – Mariners
- Nolan Jones – OF – Rockies
- Gabriel Moreno – C – Diamondbacks
TOP BETS
Mariners ML
Rays ML
Mets/Braves UNDER 9.5
Phillies/Cardinals under 7.5
Cubs Padres UNDER 8