Another Saturday split slate with DraftKings taking the lead on a quality DFS experience as they have the full 1PM & 4PM window of games combined together.
WEATHER
Braves at Pirates: Storms and Rain throughout the day here could cause a PPD in this spot or at minimum a long delay.
Two of my favorite pitchers are going today, both on the road, in Brady Singer and Logan Gilbert, and wouldn’t you know it, both of them are at the top of the MODEL projections as of this morning. Unfortunately though, that’s more to do with the rest of the group of arms that are behind them today.
BRADY SINGER (DK: $9300)
Singer is the top arm, because he does well historically at getting whiffs against lefties and Tampa is likely to roll out the Lowe’s, Aranda and some crappy lefties behind them. Furthermore, neither Yandy Diaz or Randy Arozarena are hitting much of anything right now – so I don’t see Singer having any struggles pitching in the stadium closest to where he grew up.
JOSE BERRIOS (DK: $8100, FD: $9200)
This is an option (and the best one) on FanDuel & a mediocre SP2 option at best on DraftKings. A lot like Singer, Berrios is able to get more whiffs against the lefties and Greene/Carpenter are probably the most dangerous bats in the Detroit lineup, although one could argue Javier Baez is dangerous for fans because the bat could go flying out of his hand as he swings at everything with his eyes closed.
Guys that I do not mind, but won’t rank ahead of those two
- Logan Gilbert – Ball could carry here in Nats park today and the Nats K% isn’t high enough to trust him to ‘go off’
- Reese Olson
- Michael Lorenzen
RANGERS
If you have been paying attention to baseball this month then you know that the stud hitters who have gotten ‘hot’ have stayed hot for a while. Exhibit A: Kyle Tucker. Another guy who is white hot and has all the reason to stay hot today is Corey Seager.
Love the Texas bats to wake up today
- Corey Seager – SS
- Marcus Semien – 2B
- Nate Lowe – 1B
- Josh Smith – 3B
RED SOX
For some reason folks were on Boston last night, mostly due to the mythical implied run total statistic. Some luck boxed their asses into a Dominic Smith homer and a cheap David Hamilton RBI. Congrats. Today the Sox core guys are more likely to wake up and in the case of Tyler O’Neill, simply getting to the ballpark would be a good first step today as he hasn’t done shit all week. That’s about to change.
- Tyler O’Neill – OF
- Rafael Devers – 3B
- Wilyer Abreu – OF
CATCHER
- Mitch Garver … Much cheaper than Salvy and w/ the better matchup against Trevor Williams. Obviously not as consistent, but this is the route to go today IMO.
- Salvador Perez
- Shea Langeliers
FIRST BASE
- Matt Olson … Loves facing Keller
- Ryan O’Hearn
- Vlad Guerrero Jr.
SECOND BASE
- Marcus Semien
- Jose Altuve
- David Hamilton
THIRD BASE
- Rafael Devers
- Matt Chapman
- Maikel Garcia
SHORTSTOP
There’s no good value here and three hot studs.
Meanwhile Oneil Cruz has been great on Saturday home games and is showing HR due signs.
- Corey Seager
- Bobby Witt Jr.
- Gunnar Henderson
- Oneil Cruz
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Christian Yelich
- Tyler O’Neill … Nothing says play him, except for my gut.
- Cedric Mullins
- JJ Bleday
OUTFIELD – Value
- Dominic Canzone
- Joey Gallo
- Nelson Velasquez
Chairman of The Dongers Club: Mitch Garver – C/DH – Seattle Mariners
Chalk / Seems Obvious Homers: Rafael Devers, Corey Seager, Christian Yelich
Contrarian Home Runs: Oneil Cruz
Value Home Run Call: Joey Gallo
TOP BETS
Jays/Tigers under 8
Rangers ML +110
Brewers/Red Sox over 9
PROPS
Brady Singer over 4.5 strikeouts
Trevor Williams over 3.5 strikeouts