WEATHER
- Phillies @ Nationals (6:45 PM): Possible rain delays – monitor closer to game time
- Braves @ Mets (7:10 PM): Rain moving in around first pitch – likely late start but will play clean
- Diamondbacks @ Rockies (8:40 PM): Clear skies in Denver – perfect Coors conditions
Jesus Luzardo (PHI) – $8,400 DK / $10,100 FD
The clear ace play tonight. Luzardo has elite strikeout upside against a weak Nationals lineup that strikes out 26-27% vs both sides. Washington’s offense has been anemic (.228 avg vs RHP, 7 HRs in 10 days). His splits show dominance vs lefties (.200 avg, 40% K rate, 0.0% HR rate). The Phillies are massive -215 favorites, giving him great win equity. Only concern is his 9.6% walk rate vs righties, but the upside far outweighs the risk.
Edward Cabrera (MIA) – $8,700 DK / $8,900 FD
Solid GPP pivot with strikeout upside (25%+ K rates vs both sides). Cleveland’s offense has been inconsistent (.262 avg vs RHP but only 8 HRs in 10 days). His recent form is encouraging (36.2% CSW vs NYY, 27.70 DK points). The Guardians can be exploited by quality arms, and Cabrera’s changeup/curveball combo should play well.
Kodai Senga (NYM) – $8,900 DK / $8,200 FD
Bounce-back spot for the talented righty. Atlanta’s offense has power but also strikes out (20-29% K rates). His splitter can be devastating when working, and the Mets are solid home favorites. Risk/reward play given his recent struggles, but the talent is undeniable.
ROCKIES
Coors Field + terrible lefty = offensive explosion. Rodriguez has been brutal (5 ER in his last Coors start, .590 SLG vs lefties). The 12.0 O/U screams offense.
- Primary: Ezequiel Tovar ($3,700), Hunter Goodman ($5,000), Jordan Beck ($4,200)
- Leverage: Brenton Doyle ($3,500), Kyle Farmer ($3,400)
PHILLIES
Elite offense against a vulnerable pitcher. Lord allows .374 SLG to lefties, and Philly’s left-handed bats should feast.
- Primary: Kyle Schwarber ($6,000), Bryce Harper ($5,400), Brandon Marsh ($3,000)
- Leverage: Max Kepler ($3,400), Bryson Stott ($3,700)
METS
Elder has been getting crushed (.520 SLG vs RHB, 4.5% HR rate). Mets have multiple elite bats ready to capitalize.
- Francisco Lindor ($5,500), Pete Alonso ($5,500), Juan Soto ($5,800)
- Brandon Nimmo ($4,700), Jeff McNeil ($2,900)
CATCHER
- Hunter Goodman
- Agustin Ramirez
- Riley Adams
FIRST BASE
- Pete Alonso
- Matt Olson
- Kyle Manzardo
SECOND BASE
- Ketel Marte
- Francisco Lindor
- Gleyber Torres
THIRD BASE
- Jose Ramirez
- Blaze Alexander
SHORTSTOP
- Ezequiel Tovar
- CJ Abrams
- Geraldo Perdomo
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Kyle Stowers
- Juan Soto
- Corbin Carroll
- Jordan Beck
- Kyle Stowers – OF – Miami Marlins – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Jordan Beck – OF – Colorado
- James McCann – C – Diamondbacks
- Brandon Nimmo – OF – Mets
- Ketel Marte – 2B – Diamondbacks
BETS
- PHILLIES ML
- Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 12.0