DAILY-AMBUSH · October 1, 2020

NFL Notes – Week 4

NFL Week 4 Notes

Dom Steve
Broncos at Jets – No Fans
  • 13-6 … dunno who wins. 13-6
  • Jets win
  • Sam Darnold looks respectable.  280 yards passing, 2 TD, 30 yards rushing.
  • I couldn’t name any Jets skill players besides the White Berrios, so White Berrios it is.
  • Broncos … Maybe Jeudy?  Maybe?  I have no idea.  I’ll just play Baseball DFS.
MAIN SLATE
Saints at Lions (OU: 50.5) – No Fans
  • Saints defense scores
  • Deonte Harris scores
  • Deonte Harris catches a touchdown from Taysom Hill
  • Also see Taysom having a long run, dont know if he gets in.
  • Latavius Murray has 80 yards rushing
  • Kenny Golladay catches a big one, no doubt about it.  Gotta look at Golladay
  • Dom thinks the Lions defense scores too
  • Marvin Jones has similar yardage game for Lions.  80-85 receiving
  • I do not believe Thomas is playing or a factor if he does play.
  • Cam Jordan gets a sack.   This is a bigger deal than you realize.
  • Saints D is always better after week 3 and will right the ship, forces two turnovers.
  • Manny Sanders will definitely score again.  The trust is there.
  • Brees will look good, not great though because they’ll be balanced.  Throws 2 TD, no 300 yard game though.  He is so cheap though that he’s a cash game recommendation.
  • TreQuan likely scores too, but it’s on a busted play following a DET turnover if he does
  • None of the Saints WR are must owns in DFS, but I think you can take a gamble on Sanders or TreQuan on DK if they’re still cheap.
  • If Thomas sits you have to consider AK on DK simply due to volume of catches.
  • One of the Lions WR catches a bomb.  Good luck figuring out which one.
  • I’d rather avoid this game personally.  Its not a shootout and is bad chalk unless it’s a cheap Kamara and Thomas is sitting.
  • HOWEVER….
  • HOWEVER…
  • IF Hockenson has a strong game then we HAVE to accept that the Saints (Anzalone/Jenkins) are BAD against Tight Ends again.  I think a lot of this is due to Jenkins being so aggressive compared to the conservative Von Bell.  This might be a real thing.  We HAVE to monitor this.
  • Adam Trautman has 4 or 5 catches to show signs that he is going to be the TE1 by mid season for the Saints.  His run blocking is good enough and Cook is done.
  • IF we have NO Tight Ends this week, Hock in the Box could be the play again.
Chargers at Buccaneers (OU: 44.5) – Supposedly Fans
  • Like Chargers side of the ball, dont know why yet
  • Scotty Miller scores for Tampa
  • Godwin has a HIGH volume catch game, not anything down field.
  • This is a dud game for Mike Evans, do not play him.
  • Don’t like the Tampa side.
  • Mr. Bosa makes his presence known to Mr. Brady.  Several sacks for Chargers.
  • Dom has a defense complex this week.
  • Could be 80 yard rushing day for Josh Kelly and ball control on Chargers side.
  • Hunter Henry 12 yard touchdown but that’s it.  Not a must own.
  • Sneaky Defense Weak
  • I really like the Chargers defense to play well.
  • Herbert showed me some toughness yesterday.  He was horrible, got hurt, immediately got back in the game.  He might be a “gamer” who plays up in the big spot and down in the quiet games.  I seem to recall this being the case at Oregon.
  • Gotta respect Chargers defense.  Brady tried to get everyone their TD in easy game vs Broncos (Godwin scored, Evans scored, Gronk almost had a TD)
  • Can’t do that this week.  Back to Scotty Miller catching 6-8 passes.  Whole world might hype up Evans or Godwin (*might*), but Miller does the work.
  • Great is this the mid range boring WR week?
  • Oh hey Keenan Allen.  Lots of volume for Keenan and Ekeler.
  • Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler game.  Chargers are a sneaky stack on DK.
  • I’m not worried about early game for Chargers.
Jaguars at Bengals (OU: 49) – Fans
  • … *clears throat* …
  • Jaguars win the game
  • But explain to me how Joe Mixon doesn’t get 120 and 2 TD?
  • Because it’s gonna happen.  120 total yards and 2 touchdowns.
  • Like this game for scoring.  A.J. Green scores and if dirt cheap he is on radar.
  • 5-60-1 for AJ Green
  • But Jacksonville wins
  • Shenault scores
  • Dede Westbrook scores
  • James Robinson scores off a screen pass, catches a screen to the house.
  • Gardner Minshew neeeds to be on your radar – hate to say that, sorry.
  • Gonna have a 27-24 Jacksonville final.  Higher scoring.
  • Joe Mixon is the must own.
  • Well, I don’t like teams coming off a TIE
  • If Minshew really is Winston 2.0/Tampa then he shows it here with a 350+ yard game and a few scores.  Minshew no doubt is a popular recommendation this week.  Has to be?
  • Shenault game.  Was overhyped last Thursday.  Shenault, Shenault, Shenault.
  • As great as the 2 TD game from Higgins was, you saw his lack of speed as an issue for him being a star in the NFL.  But man AJ green looked old.
  • BRO
  • BRO ….   Bro Mixon!   Why did Bro Mixon not leap out to me?  Oh man this is an easy Bro Mixon game is it not?   Minshew-Shenault-Mixon
  • Tyler Boyd should catch 7 passes easily.
  • I feel like there’s a little bit of underwhelm here, but I could be overthinking it.
Vikings at Texans (OU: 52) Fans
  • Brandin Cooks sighting, scores a 30 yarder
  • Texans win this game, going to describe some things but not sure the fireworks.
  • Cooks 30 yarder,  but not more than 70 yards.
  • Also think David Johnson gets 124 combined yards, not sure he scores.
  • If DJ is a RB he wont burn you, but a backup RB for Texans gets one (Duke Johnson)
  • David Johnson racks up a ton of yards.  DJ has as many through air as ground, could be a great DK play this week if cheap enough.   Texans win.
  • No doubt Kyle Rudolph scores a 4 yard TD….   ohhh shit he says.
  • Darren Fells scores for Texans.  22 yard TD — Dom’s strongest opinion on game.
  • No doubt about mind that Theilen has 6 catches minimum.
  • 28-17 Texans.
  • I need help here.  This game could be 52-49, but I dont see it
  • 16-9, Texans win.   Texans have played 3 good teams and lost.  Texans are WAY BETTER, no?
  • David Johnson gets over 100 all purpose yards and the lone Texans touchdown.  He scores on the opening drive and then they pull the plug on this game by halftime.
  • David Johnson is a top safe play this week.
  • Next….   No wait … Brandin Cooks catches a 40 yard bomb
  • 23-9, Texans win.
  • I just don’t see how the Vikings do much offensively.
  • Houston isn’t that shootout team this year.
  • David Johnson
Seahawks at Dolphins (OU: 54.5) – Fans – Typical Florida Weather
  • Dom likes Miami side of this game.  Let down spot for Seattle, doesn’t mean they lose.
  • Would not be shocked if Russell Wilson still gets 3 touchdowns total (ceiling)
  • Is Jacob Hollister on the team still?
  • Hollister scores a touchdown or Will Dissly might score – like the TE
  • Third receiver could score.  Metcalf could get a bullshit.
  • Third WR – support WR.  If he throws a 3rd its 2nd TE or Metcalf bullshit TD
  • Which still means Wilson has a safe cash game floor
  • Offensive opportunity on Miami side.  Like Fitzmagic & Parker (TD)
  • Gisecki no doubt scores.  Not Preston.
  • Seattle defense has a let down, could be Gaskin.
  • Definitely like offense in this game, Fitzmagic side (Parker/Gisecki/Hollister/David Moore or some third WR douchebag).   Do not like the running games.
  • Wilson does what he does, leads a late comeback charge for Seattle.
  • Jacob Hollister and Moore or Freddie Swain scores for the Seahawks and you might say man I wish I had Jacob Hollister as my TE this week.
  • I can definitely see DK Metcalf scoring here as well but it’s spread around.   No Lockett.
  • Carlos Hyde touchdown?
  • I am assuming Jamal Adams sits but Fitzmagic won’t do it again.
  • I really dont like anything on the Dolphins side ever.
  • Parker with a ton of catches?
  • I want to cross this game off but Seattle games shouldn’t be crossed off.
Steelers at Titans (OU: 47.5) – Fans
  • Steelers win
  • If Deonte Johnson plays he will score
  • James Washington may score or Darius Heyward-Bey
  • This game is a cross off
  • Dom has no clue who the chalkiest player of the week is??????
  • Fuck Henry
  • AJ Brown?  If he plays he will get Minkah’d.
  • Dom never plays James Conner
  • Cross this game off please.
  • Steelers win the game 19-13.
  • I can’t get Ju-Ju Smith Schuster out of my mind.
  • Gimme JuJu for 140 yards and a TD.
  • Chase Claypool is chalk.  MEGA Chalk
  • Not Derrick Henry, not without Taylor Lewan if he is out.
  • If Lewan is out Steelers Defense could be an optimal play.
  • Love the Steelers to win easily and wouldn’t be shocked if James Conner has a solid game but oddly enough they’re not overworking him.
Browns at Cowboys (OU: 54) – Fans
  • This will be an entertaining game and you will need a couple pieces in this game.
  • Cleveland side:  Absolutely LOVE Jarvis Landry, think he has a big day, 150, 6 catches and a touchdown.  Hoping he gets in twice.  Think he has a GREAT day.
  • Irrelevant, Austin Hooper sighting.  He scores 8 yard out, but not playing him.
  • Nothing else on Cleveland side of the ball.  Baker 3 TD, 3 INT
  • Love Jarvis
  • Dallas wins the game & the win the game because Zeke runs for 180 and 2 TD
  • They ground and pound and he just tears it up
  • Amari Cooper has a very good catch game – Safe cash game play.
  • No other WR.  Zeke game.  All Zeke.
  • Come home, 1-2.  Settle things down and ground/pound w/ Zeke
  • All the Zeke.
  • Found RB1.  Zeke over Kamara.
  • Zeke Elliott domination game.  McCarthy has NEVER been a guy to solely commit to the run, but it will be so easy here he has no choice.  Start lineups with Zeke and Zeke.
  • But play the Zeke.
  • Gotta love OBJ for Cleveland and that pains me to say.  Like him and Kareem Hunt.
  • Landry and OBJ both give Dallas fits here.
  • Baker.  Baker-Landry-OBJ-Zeke.
  • BAKER IS NEVER A DFS QUARTERBACK
  • Zeke runs it down their throats, then Baker comes out and goes pew-pew-pew down the field.
  • Back to Zeke, chug, chug, chug.
  • Baker, pew-pew-pew.
  • It’s not a 70 point final score because Zeke is chewing up clock, but it has points.
  • Love this game.
Cardinals at Panthers (OU: 51.5) – FANS
  • Not seeing any  must owns in this game, but seeing pieces.
  • Fitz will score in this game, no doubt about it.   4-40 and a touchdown is not a must own.
  • Kenyan Drake scores on a screen pass
  • Kenyan Drake scores on a screen pass in this game
  • Kyler Murray has a better game, manages the game.  Playing from ahead.
  • Robbie Anderson will catch a long TD for Carolina
  • Arizona wins this game 23-13, maybe 26-16.
  • Arizona wins and rebounds off home loss.
  • Kyler is recommended cash game play, more of a game manager.
  • Not DJ Moore, not Mike Davis.  That’s it.
  • Larry Fitzgerald, 7 yard slant.   Somewhere on the field.
  • 7 yard slant for Fitz.
  • Drake for 20 yards.
  • 7 yard slant to Fitz.
  • Kenyan Drake high volume game, scores twice.
  • Cardinals defense plays extremely well.
  • Arizona has Carolina demons, but otherwise I expect them to win
  • 34-13
Colts at Bears (OU: 44.5) – No Fans
  • Circle as if you get this wrong and it goes opposite, your weekend could be over.
  • Dom wants Jonathan Taylor – not sure why – cant get him out of his head.
  • If you look on paper, David Montgomery should be the play, via ground attack.
  • Not TY on Grass.
  • Jonathan Taylor & Colts to win the game.
  • Jonathan Taylor gets 120 rushing yards and a touchdown – even Todd Gurley!
  • Adrian Peterson had 5 or 6 YPC in week one.
  • Colts outside weapons are neutralized, TE are a no vs Bears.
  • It’s Jonathan Taylor, Colts are a good team.
  • No Bears.
  • The Colts win.  Lock of the week.  Colts win.
  • Jonathan Taylor baby.   Woah, I’m liking plenty of road running backs this week.
  • Not a heavy DFS game though.   But lots of Jonathan Taylor on grass in the midwest.  Colts have no WR left.  Jonathan Taylor ground and pound outdoors in the midwest.
  • Seems right?
  • Doyle or Mo Cox
  • That’s all folks.
Ravens at Washington (OU: 45.5) – No Fans
  • Feel bad for the Skins, not because of Ravens defense.
  • Get right – get back game for Lamar.
  • Everything through the air.
  • Either Mark Andrews gets 2 TD and Hollywood 1 or vice versa.
  • Leaning Andrews 2, Brown 1.
  • That makes Mark Andrews ??? He is upset after dropping TD.
  • Lamar goes up big, 28-7 at the half and then ride it out.
  • Lamar naked, there’s your QB.  RGIII trick play just for shits and grins?
  • Lamar hits Brown for a big TD.  Snead hauls in 4 or 5 passes.
  • Lamar does most the damage.
  • Ravens win, but not a blowout.  Still a let down off geting whooped last night.
  • Ravens defense has to bail them out because Haskins fucking blows.
  • next question.
AFTERNOON SLATE – THREE GAMES
Giants at Rams (OU: 47.5)
  • Stadium and the marine air thing has gone away.
  • Looking at the two teams in the match-up, its gonna be Rams running game – who do you trust?
  • Rams want to get the game over with as quick as possible.
  • Not a Kupp game?  Could it be a TE, yes but not investing.
  • As long as Everett is healthy, cannot buy into Higbee.  35 yards?
  • Ram running game.
  • Giants don’t get blown out like everyone will be predicting.
  • Golden Tate has a nice game w/ Danny Dimes.  I could even see Danny Dimes being your 4PM Quarterback.  Dimes-Tate-Slayton.
  • Who is going to guard Cooper Kupp?
  • Who is going to guard Tyler Higbee?
  • I think this is a fairly good game, but so far games in LA have been underwhelming if you know what I mean.
Patriots at Chiefs (OU: 47.5)

(22% Fans)

  • Chiefs side of the ball.  Mr Edwards-Helaire is the guy to own for KC.
  • High volume game for CEH.
  • 15-18 carries and catches 4 or 5 out of backfield and think he scores.
  • Mahomes finds another way to win this game, wont be able to air it out, no reek and bracket kelce.
  • Kelce will score, not a must own, but he will score.
  • Sammy Watkins 8 yard button hook touchdown, back shoulder.
  • Coming out party for N’Keal Harry.  He has a good game.
  • Cam highly caught after chalk QB.
  • If James White plays, James White will score.
  • Ew.  Ew.  Ew.   No, I do not like this game.
  • Major major major let down for the Chiefs.
  • Patriots put together long, time consuming drives to eat the clock and give the Chiefs a test.
  • Chiefs win though, 22-18.
  • Harrison Butker drills 5 field goals.
Bills at Raiders (OU: 49.5)
  • Historically Buffalo is bad in Oakland — oh wait it’s Vegas.
  • Don’t see how John Brown doesn’t score.
  • Oakland wins the game, with a heavy heavy dose of Josh Jacobs, not sure he explodes like Zeke
  • Control the clock – short passing
  • Bryon Edwards scores for Oakland
  • Waller gets in the box but he’s not on radar.
  • Stack Raiders & John Brown if touch the game.
  • We have Zay Jones revenge game ladies and gentlemen, get excited!!
  • Josh Allen throws a pick 6.  Vegas mystique.  Raiders D is banged up but they do get a pick 6.
  • I don’t want to touch Josh Allen.  He is this weeks fade of the week.  Unless his second half is a major comeback
  • Carr to Zay Jones.  Carr to second someone for TD.  Jacobs?
  • This game could shootout
PRIMETIME
Eagles at 49ers
  • oh dear.
Falcons at Packers
  • I just sharted myself.

 

 

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