| Dom |
Steve |
| Bucs at Bears (44) |
- Dom thinks Chicago could win this game
- David Montgomery runs well, catches screen for a TD, 30-40 recv, 60-70 rushing
- Bears defense scores
- Bears to win, defense, Montgomery and Anthony miller score.
- Not projecting Allen Robinson game.
- Total comes right at — estimate 43 or 45 and it probably comes right at 44
- Not sure on Tampa side. Downhill like Jones could do well, not seeing it.
- Godwin has to make impact if he is playing.
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- The Bucs are almost the Patriots. Completely random on offense.
- Bucs defense scores or sets up an easy score, which limits what they do on offense.
- I am not good at showdown so who cares, but sure, Allen Robinson makes sense.
- Patterson gets a screen pass TD for Bears. Screen or a PA check down. Some bullshit.
- This game could set the tone for the week, do we finally see more holding calls as we get into the middle of the season and thus games have worse flow to them?
- I mean, wouldnt make sense with no fans in stands, but I can see it coming in a few weeks, but we’ll see…
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| MAIN SLATE |
| Panthers at Falcons (51) |
- Dom thinks there will be fireworks in this game and was impressed w/ how Carolina played. Definitely see D.J. Moore popping on the scene, every two week player.
- Moore: 80-90 yards and a score, 6 catches so he can be considered on DK
- Man if Julio plays, he eats Carolina on that turf, long distant memory.
- If Dan Quinn is going to get fired he’s going to go out w/ his best players.
- Julio week big time. Could be Julio week big time.
- Matt Ryan 2 TD minimum. Play the Ryan TD prop.
- Brian Hill 80 yards rushing right up the middle, scores
- Matt Ryan – cash game recommendation, doesn’t explode (has 2)
- Dom loves Julio. Thinking Ryan gets third.
- 6-140-2 scores.
- Of course if he doesn’t play you might want to throw the game out the window.
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- This game won’t shoot the moon, I expect Atlanta to get some defensive players back.
- I may have read Mike Davis completely wrong, but I’ll gladly take an L If he does it here. Atlanta is too quick for him to break off something on the ground or even as a pass catcher.
- Curtis Samuel on the other hand is going to cause a problem for Atlanta. High volume game for Curtis Samuel, has ability to break a big play.
- Teddy two gloves will be hyped up and he has an “Adequate” game. Just okay.
- You don’t want him.
- Atlanta wins this game. Temporary hold on saving job for Dan Quinn.
- Brian Hill scores. I don’t think Ryan is the guy in DFS but he’ll be good, ends up with a 19 or a 20 score, spreads the ball around.
- Ah yes, Hayden Hurst has a solid game, don’t see how he wont wind up with 5 catches for 60 yards. They took a deep shot to Hurst for some unknown reason against the Packers. I think Hurst starts to become Ryan’s guy.
- Curtis Samuel and Hayden Hurst.
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| Raiders at Chiefs (57) |
- Dammit. Dammit. Dammit.
- Dom doesn’t like thoughts here, if we get this wrong we are dead in water right away
- Carr could outperform Mahomes. Like Waller a lot.
- Waller outperforms Kelce
- Doesn’t mean the Raiders win.
- Chiefs pull this out at the end and possibly win on field goal.
- Raiders definitely cover. 31-28 Chiefs at the gun.
- Carr gets 2 touchdowns
- Jacobs catches 1, Waller catches 1. High volume game.
- Waller > Kelce … Dom knows Kelce history vs Raiders
- KC … Everyone thought Watkins was play – love Watkins to score
- 8-80, great catch game for Watkins. CEH runs one in, has good catch game
- No Reek. Not Kelce. Not breaking slate. Waller could, Carr could. Watkins could.
- CEH a nice cash game play
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- Raiders play well – Chiefs have TNF game coming up and Raiders have a BYE coming up. This is another lackluster game for the Chiefs as they go through a lull stretch right now.
- Have to imagine Jon Gruden is going to rely upon his studs Jacobs and Waller.
- 20+ carries for Jacobs with the BYE looming. Jacobs volume alone is squarely making him in play because if he gets a touchdown he’ll have flames above his name. Yards and catches will be there.
- 80 yards receiving for Darren Waller
- Dont buy into any noise if Raiders young WR are available.
- Its Jacobs-Waller and Hunter Renfrow on grass $$$$.
- So yeah, I think Raiders could steal this game, if nothing else they cover.
- Mahomes probably winds up with 300 yards passing because he has two 75 yard drives in the fourth quarter that are 100% passing to lead a comeback.
- He’ll be good like Wilson was last week, not dominant like Dak.
- Not Tyreek, Not Watkins, Not Kelce, Not CEH … Mecole Hardman? They got some other random guy who can score here? Backup TE?
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| Cardinals at Jets (46.5) – All indications are Cardinals went home. |
- Don’t see how Cardinals can possibly lose this game.
- Kyler Murray plays much better and is solidly in cash game discussion – people look past him and next thing you know 3 TD (1 rush). 27-13 he accounts for all TD and threw for 250, running for 60 yards.
- And oh shit wish I had Kyler.
- Fitz catches one in NY
- Nothing on the Jets side of the ball, they have no bell cow running back.
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- I mean, the Jets are just bad.
- Kyler gets hurt! Jimmy Hoffa turf monster strikes again.
- DeAndre Hopkins has to get his 12+ targets this week, no matter who throws him the ball.
- This should be an ugly game. One in which I want to cross it off, but a WR vs Jets sounds right.
- Nobody will expect Arizona to lose third game in a row, but back to back east coast games and facing a team coming off extra rest.
- At some point this year we will get that one Adam Gase desperation game.
- Chris Herndon Touchdown
- I should cross this game off. Lets go COVID!
- This is the second game of three straight road east coast games for Arizona, the third one is a MNF game next week.
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| Eagles at Steelers (47.5) |
- Pitt WR & Miles Sanders is what this game comes down too
- Dom said after Eagles settled waters next game would be offensive juggernaut
- Can’t be that because of injuries even if Carson plays out of mind.
- Don’t be shocked if DJax and Alshon both play this week
- Could open up lanes for Miles Sanders. Miles only thing on Philly side.
- Don’t know which Pittsburgh WR… One of em catches bomb
- Gun to head JJSS has 8-100 yards & plays well
- James Washington catches the bomb (he is where he shouldnt be on model)
- Steve thinks Washington is DK only
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- I know he is big and hard to bring down – but how do the Steelers not walk away with 5 sacks of Wentz? Who the hell is going to be open for him to throw the ball too?
- Greg Ward touchdown for Philly. A bomb from Wentz.
- This is a physical, defensive struggle, because I don’t see how Philly is capable of scoring 30 points. I don’t see how Philly is capable of scoring 20 points actually.
- I have this game not being DFS relevant. It’s a game you either go all in with a full game stack at 2% ownership or you move on. Rest of slate dictates this one being relevant.
- Steelers Defense. Pittsburgh is not an offensive team.
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| Rams at Redskins (46)
Major look ahead spot for Rams … MAJOR |
- Washington will look back and be like damnit we are missing out on opportunity
- Probably a Robert Woods PPR game
- Mark Andrews was anomaly, they’re decent vs TE. Not feeling Higbee/Kupp
- Like a catch game for Woods, don’t know if you need him.
- 6-81 for Woods on grass on the east coast
- Washington will regret because if they had a TE or a big back they could do well
- Dud of a game.
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- Lots of travel for the Rams going east three out of four weeks and they have a HUGE game next weekend. But McVay versus his former team is a major factor here to prevent them from having a letdown I think. Something has to give. Maybe a sneaky shootout.
- Rams O-Line is playing extremely well in passing game, but this should be a test.
- Tyler Higbee / Gerald Everett both involved. Everett fumbled last week, got a TD on a gimmick end around. It’s Higbee alot for me.
- Bad Goff game? Is that how Washington scores?
- Antonio Gibson, not someone you can trust, but Antonio Gibson breaks 15 points on DraftKings.
- Robert Woods on grass, sure. Woods & Higbee for Rams, Gibson Skins.
- That’s all. This game is better than advertised. At some point Washington is going to turn the corner. I feel like they’ve had a tough schedule and at some point I still think they rally around Rivera but the lack of depth just makes it hard with these tough games.
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| Bengals at Ravens (51.5) |
- Think this could be a surprisingly good game
- Dom likes Joe Burrow in this game
- WE AGREE, WE CANNOT FUCK THIS UP — STEVE (RAMS/SAINTS)
- Does A.J. Green finally get on track — he loves Baltimore
- Someone down field burns Baltimore. Could be Higgins? Ross has been out
- Someone burns Baltimore downfield.
- Joe Burrow accounts for 3 touchdowns by the time this game is over.
- Problem is the other side of the ball? Dom doesnt like what he likes for Baltimore.
- All the electricity is centered around Joe Burrow.
- Ravens special teams returns a kick again (Duvernay?)
- J.K. Dobbins has a rushing touchdown, but that backfield is a fucking mess.
- Mark Ingram…. One play great, washed the next.
- Gus Edwards is 3rd/4th quarter closer… cant trust
- Dobbins is sprinkled in, in between
- Ravens ST scores. Electricity around Burrow, Higgins feels good but someone down field.
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- JK Dobbins, welcome to the NFL, not enough confidence in him getting volume to justify playing him outside of FLEX value on DK. I think I have him locked in though.
- JK Dobbins scores, probably a 60 yard run too
- HEY!!! AJ GREEN GAME!
- Burrow is either going to throw 2 pick sixes or be a baller here and this is a 60+ point game to load up on the over in. Shit, I think this is a baller game.
- If you believe in Burrow this is the game of the day.
- Lamar scores.
- Hollywood Brown highest touted WR of the week? Didn’t he just miss a TD vs Skins?
- Lamar-Brown-Dobbins account for touchdowns, multiple touchdowns.
- Could have a Devin Duvernay sighting as well.
- AJ Green scores. Tee Higgins aint doing shit. Either Mike Thomas or Auden Tate catch a Burrow touchdown and I wouldn’t be shocked if Burrow wound up with 50 yards rushing himself and a touchdown. Burrow has to make plays to keep them in this game
- I think the Burrow magic is enough to justify going heavy on the Ravens, but I don’t know if you’ll trust which Bengal to lock in.
- Ravens cover, but it feels closer and it’s definitely going over.
- Ravens had get right game last week, they explode this week, but Joe does Joe things too.
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| Jaguars at Texans (54) |
- James Robinson has a very good game for Jacksonville
- Cash game recommendation. Gotta like Robinson, he’s gonna win seasonal leagues
- Game is solved on the ground
- Watson rushes for 60 yards, game plan in his hands.
- He fucks up a ton, game is lower scoring than anticipated.
- Ball controlled on the ground
- Houston D plays better
- Minshew sucks
- Robinson does really well
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- Gotta like Lamar Miller. Andre Johnson too.
- Should be a good Maurice Jones-Drew spot as the Jags always play well in Houston.
- Seem to recall the road team doing well here.
- Oh Blake Bortles!
- GET THIS SHIT OFF MY SCREEN.
- …
- Houston suffers from the empty dome syndrome. It’s a thing. Think about it.
- Houston has been a dud four out of four weeks so far and there’s no reason to expect it to change just because folks want it to change. Call me when the Texans have a TNF game.
- I see this game getting all the hype and then you are watching red zone and like, hey, where’s this game? Is it on? Are they COVID positive? Whats happening? Where’s BOB? Is BILL O BRIEN STILL THERE? WHERE IS THE GAME?
- But sure, Dede Westbrook scores. Sure. Tyler Eifert scores. The wheels on the fucking Texans bus are about to fall the fuck off. 31-10 Jags.
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| AFTERNOON SLATE
FOUR GAMES |
| Dolphins at 49ers |
- Can’t like anything on the Dolphins side.
- If the 49ers had a RB it would be this game
- Moestert if he plays.
- 49ers defense.
- Not sure how Fitzmagic doesnt throw 3 INT
- 49ers defense has to be squarely on radar.
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- Aww man. This would have been a Tevin Coleman game.
- Instead Deebo Samuel will score on a 17 yard end around.
- San Francisco is going to run the ball 50 times and get this game over with. In fact, that shitty Jaguars/Texans game might still be going on in overtime as both teams settle for a TIE while this game is at halftime.
- Miami will gladly agree.
- 15-3, 49ers win.
- San Francisco defense despite all their injuries looks good again as their offense is a complete mess. San Francisco is in trouble.
- Oh and it’s Tua time in Miami.
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| Colts at Browns (47) |
- Matchup of opposites
- Interesting
- One person in entire game is right back to Jarvis Landry well, 7 or 8 catches
- Mo Allie or Jack Doyle? Maybe? Maybe Doyle
- This is a blah
- This is another low scoring game, maybe Browns win at buzzer, 16-14
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- T.Y. Hilton touchdown
- Thanks for coming
- Crossing it off outside of 4PM only.
- TY Hilton touchdown happens.
- Kareem Hunt is a bad play this week, but going forward he will be a top RB.
- Not sure how this game gets to 47 points. Im liking a lot of unders this week.
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| Giants at Cowboys (54) |
- How does Zeke not get 25 carries?
- After what happened last week, ball control the shit out of it.
- He has to get 25 carries
- Like Evan Engram a lot, he eats, he is on the radar. Darius Slayton scores on 40 yard touchdown pass. Left to right across the radio dial. Which puts Danny Dimes on radar, right?
- Does Golden Tate catch a short one. He does well in Dallas.
- No way this shoots the moon like last week.
- Everything points to Giants offense in the air
- Nothing in the air for the Cowboys. No Lamb. Maybe Gallup catches a 25 yarder
- Zeke Elliott says enough fucking around. 2 TD and 25 carries.
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- Golden Tate if he isn’t suspended has to be liked. Slayton I’m sure is popular.
- Lots of hype coming on the Giants this week. I can hear the Jones-Slayton-Engram stacks
- Oh fuck.
- Ginger revenge game. So between this game and the Jags-Texans game which one is more trustworthy. Has to be this game, no? How the fuck are the Giants going to play good defensively two weeks in a row? They’re not.
- Dallas wins
- 4PM game. That’s big here. Dallas shitty games vs Falcons/Browns have been 1PM home games. This is a home 4PM game. They’re not losing it. They’re not going to let Garrett come in and tear them up. What are Zeke’s numbers vs Giants? I know he scores on Skins and Eagles, what about Giants?
- Total here should be around 53, if it is closer to 57 then alright game stack it. Dallas 35-17 is the final score. Elliott scores twice unless Pollard gets another bullshit TD. Cowboys Defense scores. Dak accounts for 2 minimum. Dak should be highest priced QB on both sites, if he isnt, then fire everyone. Gallup? Cooper? I’m not clear there, not sure it matters.
- Henry-Zeke-Dobbins RB trifecta
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| PRIMETIME |
| Vikings at Seahawks (58) |
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- Damn this looks like a shootout. Something about Cousins leaping out at me.
- Gotta have Cousins in showdown. What the fuck? Primetime road Cousins?
- Wilson-Metcalf account for 10 touchdowns. Ok, maybe 2.
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| Chargers at Saints
Saints going into BYE |
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- It has to be Keenan Allen for the Chargers. 40% target share with Herbert and I just see the Saints doing lots of zone/confusing looks on defense and he winds up with a couple catch and run plays. Gets 6 catches for 85 yards minimums.
- After the Cam Jordan sack the Saints went on their run. Defense plays another good game here. Arguably their best of the season (which isn’t saying much)
- I hope Thomas plays to integrate him back into the offense slowly.
- Josh Hill has a touchdown coming. This week or next week.
- I have a STRONG feeling Payton is trying to get Kamara a touchdown record this year. He should not have had any against the Lions and he almost had two.
- Payton is also forcing Taysom out there. There will be three or four Taysom plays and he’s slowly going through some growing pains.
- Taysom will throw a pass. No doubt. If Thomas is playing it will be to Sanders. If Thomas is out it will be to Harris.
- Ah.
- Ah!!
- Ahhh!!!!
- All the Wil Lutz baby!
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