at Falcons

OU:  50

• Not going to be Atlanta air explosion game, just not.
• Hayden Hurst could score.  Brian Hill scores.
• Favorite two plays might be Atlanta Defense and Phillip Lindsay in the passing game.
• Really like Lindsay to catch 5 or 6 balls.
• Atlanta Defense
• Drew Lock makes many errors this week.
• Game goes under and with limited available targets
• Jeudy had his game last week, Fant not doing much.
• Lock throws 3 INT.  And they score.

• Jerry Jeudy season.  He gets that one big catch and run to justify him being in the mix, so he’s going to finish between 13 and 17 fantasy points but I lean heavy towards the lower side on that.
• Drew Lock’s gotta be looked at because if Melvin Gordon sucks that bad then how else do they move the ball?  It should be Melvin Gordon, but I assume its a 50/50 split with Lindsay being fully cleared all week now.
• I wanted to say No to Fant, but yeah, he’ll score.  So Drew Lock is throwing 2 TD.
• I’m not sure Atlanta does enough on offense to sustain drives.
• Denver wins time of possession in this game.  Denver wins 24-23.
• Julio finishes over 100 yards receiving though.  Good volume game.
• I could be poo-poo’ing this game a little bit, but it’s not a shootout game.

at Bills

OU:  54

• How do you not lock button Josh Allen
• He’s ready, he’s due and much like a pitcher that gets shelled, then 5 inning then 7 inning, then shutout.
• He’s ready for the shutout.
• Gotta love Diggs, has a real connection with Diggs
• Allen runs one in…
• Diggs has 120 yards, touchdown and 8 catches
• Dawson Knox gets in the BOX
• Someone else not named John Brown, Cole Beasley.  Not a good matchup for Cole Beasley
• Lockett will score, think he only has 65 yards.
• Hollister scores, but the biggest benefactor could be Chris Carson.
• This could be a Chris Carson game.
• Could be a very nice spot for Chris Carson.
• Like the TE in this game.
• Locket TD, Metcalf shutdown
• Does Allen get a 4th Touchdown, third in the air?  Rush, Diggs, TE, ??
• Bills win the game by double digits.
• 34-21 or 31-21

• Pew-Pew, Pew-Pew, Pew-Pew sounds.
• Remember that Seattle has still be running it on the road this year despite the “Let Russ Cook” narrative being tossed around all the time.
• Hi, my name is Steve and I would like an order of chalk with a side of chalk and can you top it off with a little more chalk.
• Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs — all the ch… oh my god.
• I just got an erection
• Josh Allen.
• Josh Allen.
• This week we find out if mobile QB versus Seattle applies to WHITE mobile QB vs Seattle.
• Josh Allen.
• Josh Allen naaaaaaaaaked if there’s plenty of other WR this weekend.
• Not picking up enough on the Seattle side of the ball.  Bills getting carved up over the middle still, so it’s gotta be Lockett if he can get away from White.  Wilson hits someone for a check down touchdown.  Could be Dissly.  Locket will have 7 catches, no doubt.  Metcalf will have 5.  One of them scores, that’s it.   Russ runs one in.  Russ does enough but Allllllllllllllllllllllllen is the guy.
• Josh Allen 250+ passing yards, 60+ rushing yards and 3 scores.
• 30-27 Bills win.  Bills get up for this game big time.
• I gotta have someone or some things in this game.  2 Players minimum, three players preferred.

at Colts

OU: 45

• Baltimore defense steps up even without Hump.
• Michael Pittman Jr is scoring in this game
• Like Mark Andrews on the Baltimore side.
• Andrews definitely scores, 89 receiving yards.
• Dummy things back down for Lamar.
• Baltimore winning 27-13.
• Dont know how Indy does anything.
• Lamar has a decent day, not suckered into it.
• Mark Andrews.  Want to like Hollywood Brown but not feeling it.
• Snead not good enough to do it two games in a row.

• Oh no
• How are the Colts going to move the ball?
• Marquise Brown squeeky wheel, gets fed on a trick play pass from Willie Snead.
• Baltimore ground game has a great day, Brown gets fed but all the Ravens on turf hype for the speed guys is a trap because it’s Mark Andrews time to eat.
• Colts have TNF coming up, will flop this week hard.  Ravens destroy them.
• Mark Andrews, 7 for 115 and a touchdown.  Big Mark Andrews game.
• Hollywood Brown scores, but not on a pass from Lamar.
• Dobbins probably takes one in as well.  Defense could scoop and score.
• Not much on the Colts side.  Ravens win running away in the second half.
• Ravens 33, Colts 17 and it’s not that close.

Jaguars

OU: 51

• David Johnson to catch a touchdown and game runs through him.
• He has success and Houston wins this game pretty easily.
• Assuming no dramatic trades today, gotta like Houston defense too?
• DJ Chark has a Tyler Lockett game, 50-60 and a touchdown, dont need him.
• Pretty blah game.
• Don’t want to rush this, though.
• Watson will play well, does not need to play great.
• Could have a Kenny Stills touchdown.
• 18-20 for DeShaun Watson, 250 yards, 2 TD…
• DJ, Houston Def, nothing for Jacksonville.

• DeShaun Watson will carve up Jacksonville again but I would only play him naked.
• James Robinson heavy volume game for the Jaguars, I do think they can move the ball some.
• Shenault gets a few more touches as well, they come out of the bye and force it to him.
• I got nothing in this game which leaps out to me as a must own though.
• It’s a fade for me due to the quality of other games.
• I want to play good teams right now.

Chiefs

OU: 53

• Three names:  Robbie Anderson, DeMarcus Robinson, LeVeon Bell
• Anderson has a high catch volume game, he probably scores, they will have to throw and he is better than Moore here.
• Robinson catches a bullshit one that nobody see’s coming.  He catches a 20 yard touchdown that you dont need
• Like LeVeon Bell, he patiently runs right up the middle of the field, but worried about the share between Bell and CEH.
• Strong strong feeling on Bell and definitely looking into this.
• Robbie high catch game, he scores.
• Chiefs win in a close one, closer than they expected.
• Final score 23-20, not going to be a shootout.
• Chiefs are not good home favorites and Jets don’t count in my mind.
• Not a shootout for Carolina to cover.
• Tease up Carolina

• 27-23, Panthers win.
• Matt Rhule pulls off the upset of the year.
• Why do I feel like the Carolina zone defense will slow the Chiefs down enough?
• Just expecting a flat game from Kansas City.  Lots of CEH hype in this game and teams really are not playing fantastic going into their BYE week lately, which they are.
• Sweet mercy Robby Anderson
• Give me all the Robby Anderson.  Robby Anderson will have 100 yards receiving.
• I love so many WR this week but Anderson is someone I really love.
• My assumption is that CMC is back and plays but isn’t used 100%.  CMC back helps Teddy because they won’t be able to blitz him as much and he’ll find Robby A.
• Panthers upset would not shock me.  So if Panthers are going to move the ball on offense then running it back Kelce/Tyreek come into play but Tyreek isn’t the guy — he got that 2 TD game last week.  I can see Kelce having to catch a ton but initially prefer Andrews.
• Secondary WR for the Chiefs do well

Vikings (-4)

OU: 53

• Kenny Golladay being out SUCKS.  SUCKS.  SUCKS.
• TJ Hockenson has another good week, not confident in scoring.
• 70 or 80 yards receiving for the Hock
• Other side hooked on a Theilen, 6-7 receptions, touchdown.
• Like Detroit to win this game.
• Stafford puts team on back to win, Swift catches touchdown, Hall catches a long one for a touchdown.
• 26-23 Lions, maybe 26-19, some weird score.
• Lions win the game & had Lions beat the Colts Packers would be sweating right now.
• I don’t think Dalvin Cook does it.  There’s truth to the improvement of the Detroit run defense over the last three to four weeks.
• Does he do something, 80 to 90 yards and a score for his price?
• Stafford has a winning day, not a DFS need day.

• This has a ton of firework potential in it.  But it also has a path to being a dud.
• The path to being a dud is Adrian Peterson / DeAndre Swift getting the ball too much.
• Cousins to Theilen twice.
• Adam Theilen is going to carve up the Lions defense.
• Whole world is going to ignore Cousins off the Cook game last week.
• Cousins beats Stafford and I assume he is cheap.
• Problem is there’s nothing on the Lions side of the ball I want to touch.
• Adam Theilen and Robby Anderson WR #1 and WR #2 so far outside of Lockett/Diggs
• Looks like I am using 4 WR this week.

Titans

OU: 46.5

• Dom wants Jimmy Graham / David Montgomery day
• Jimmy Graham 4-35-1
• Dom likes David Montgomery to score
• David Montgomery gets 100 total all purpose yards
• AJ Brown has a good catch game, not in the EZ.
• Balls to the walls call.  Darrynton Evans scores for TEN
  • The pride of App State is on IR though
• Dom thinks Bears are the great Henry neutralizer
• Non Derrick Henry RB will score.
• Dom says Henry gets banged up
• Bears to win, wouldnt think Tennessee loses two in a row
• Not much in this game to look towards, considering Brown as contrarian play because he is the one who produces.

• Derrick Henry
• Next
• Titans also have TNF game coming up.
• Off bad Tannehill outing, come out and protect everything, gash the Bears up the middle with Henry so much that he just needs to fall into endzone once and you won’t be upset using him.
• Not worth going to the Titans passing game at all to get cute.  Give the ball to Henry the entire game, roll a little play action to keep them honest, then keep wearing down the Bears.
• Titans defense will clean things up and shut down the Bears offense.  Do not like Robinson at all, do not like Montgomery.  Titans win the game in the trenches.
• Derrick Henry, front and center, plug him in and move along.
• Only concern here is that the Titans play on TNF after this game.

Washington

OU: 43

• Antonio Gibson scores via the air, may also score via ground
• 80 yards rushing, 40 yards receiving, Antonio Gibson.
• Dontrelle Inman also scores.  Eight yard back shoulder/pylon throw
• Washington wins the game.  24-20 score.
• Slayton catches a 40 yarder, but not sure much else.
• Engram continues to play better, doesn’t do anything.

• Crossing it off, there’s nothing in this game that I want to get cute with.
• If you like it, then you stack Jones-Slayton-McLaurin and move on
• Slayton will catch a 60 yard touchdown, blows past them over the top.
• Jones puts up stats but Redskins Defense also gets a turnover or two, few sacks.

4PM ONLY GAMES

THREE GAME SLATE

Chargers

OU: 54

• Dom likes the Raiders to romp.
• But holy Darren Waller.  Dom found his Tight End, he is done.
• Got it.  Darren Waller, 108 yards receiving, 1 maybe 2 tuddies.
• Henry Ruggs ?? 70 yard TD pass ??
• Keenan Allen will have 8 catches for 72 yards and that’s it.
• Justin Herbert has a bad game, pick off a pass or two.
• 31-13 Oakland wins.
• Does Ruggs get the long one?
• Carr?
• All the Waller, Waller, Waller…

• Great, another WR.
• Keenan Allen, this weeks Robert Woods?  Only better PPR?
• Keenan Allen is a chalky guy to get.  Just play him.
• Play Keenan, but when is Ekeler back?  Chargers ground game is a mess to me.
• But what to do on the Raiders side of the ball
• Something about Josh Jacobs is calling to me.
• Low owned divisional RB that nobody has against a team who is giving up more points than people realize.

Cardinals

OU: 47.5

• Game of fundamentals
• Arizona will play mistake free football, win the game.
• Nothing on Arizona that you absolutely need.
• 27-20 Arizona victory.
• Both Drake and Edmonds score via air and ground.
• Andy Isabella scores the third one, two FG.
• Murray has a decent day, mistake free football, dont need him
• Tua will struggle a little bit
• Conservative on MIA, throws INT.
• Do wee Mike Gisecki scoring.  Jordan Howard not doing it.

• Nothing in this game feels safe
• Nothing in this game feels confident
• Nothing here for me
• This does not mean this game isn’t a good one.  But I’m not selling anything on it.
• I do not need Kyler or Tua
• I do not need to figure out Chase Edmonds
• I do not think that the Cardinals WR are great plays
• I do not want to force Davante Parker against PP
• I do not want to chase Mike Gisecki even though the lock of the millenium is Dom recommending him as the 7th thing he says on this game.  Probably some bullshit like a 7 yard catch going right to left in the top corner of the endzone with 3:23 remaining in the third quarter.
• Just not going here.  Close the roof.

Cowboys

OU: TBD

• Pittsburgh has a let down
• Chuck from El-Paso plays well…  Ran a two second BIO on him and thought that he could probably air it out, million errors.
• Pittsburgh won’t see it coming.
• CeeDee Lamb is going to have a good game with a touchdown
• Everything points to James Conner should eat
• Let down drives them away from the run game sooner than it should
• Chase Claypool catches a bomb and he is going to be highly recommended
• Dallas loses but covers for the first game of the season.
• Claypool is going to tear Dallas up
• Lamb and Claypool, going back and forth
• You gotta like Chase Claypool and Conner will get 100 yards rushing
• People are gonna look at Conner and say oh my, 150 and 3.
• He will let people down because Dallas is staying in the game.
• 28-24 Pittsburgh

• Whole world is going to want to play Steelers defense
• Zeke Elliot’s price is criminal on DK even though he has not done it and if you think Dallas tries to not get whooped here and feeds him the ball a ton then take the free square and move on.
• Pittsburgh has been run on lately but the Dallas O-Line is trash so Zeke is ONLY a DraftKings play due to his price and hoping that he catches 5 passes
• We’ve used far worse value players in bad spots before and it’s a shitty RB week so Zeke should be used.  Wouldn’t be opposed to playing him with the Steelers D who always gets points.
• For Pittsburgh.  Ben’s going to be recommended.  If I keep saying JuJu scores its going to happen.
• I got so many other WR1 I like though that I’d prefer the RB in this game.
• James Conner sucks, gets 85 yards and a touchdown.
• Zeke Elliott sucks, catches a ton of balls and hits DK value.
• Here’s what this game and this week is…   Tons of scoring early and people think they will be able to catch up with the 4PM slate and they fall short.  This game dies because the Steelers defense is too good to let Dallas force a shootout and Pittsburgh comes in, gets the win and gets out and everyone who thought they would get 12 more second half points from their Ben+WR stacks are upset when they fall short of the adequate to high scoring early slate…

Bucs

OU: 54.5

• Hopefully it does not rain…
• TreQuan Smith will score a touchdown over the middle, 16 yarder.
• If this game shoots out then TreQuan is a 2 TD play
• Alvin Kamara is good at football
• If this game is shooting out the Brees-Brady hype is what makes it happen
• Both them spread it around.  Get both of them in your showdown lineups.
• No kickers.  No defenses (although KR for TD in Tampa is a Saints thing).
• That might be how Saints have to win (Harris kick return for TD)
• Tampa RB kill the Saints out of the backfield in this game.

Jets

• Contrarian take — this game has just as many points as SNF
• Neither defense does much to slow the other offense down enough.
• Sam Darnold does NOT see ghosts this time.  Sam Darnold throws 3 TD