TH-SAT

DOM

STEVE

at Raiders (TNF)

OU: 54.5

• Raiders are gonna crush em.
• Josh Jacobs, 2 TD, 110 on the ground.
• Herbert has one long one to Guyton
• Complete control by the Raiders.
• Couple sacks too.

• This is clearly a good game, everything points to it going over again.
• Only way it wouldn’t is if the Raiders defense has a great game and they’re too thin.
• Herbert > Carr.  Have to go Keenan Allen.
• Hunter Henry as well.
• Not drawing a ton on the Raider side, has to be Josh Jacobs & Darren Waller game and that’s it.
• Ah yes.  Gimme a Hunter Renfrow 7 yard touchdown.

at Broncos (Sat)

OU:  50

• Boring all over it.
• Final score 26-10 Bills.
• Allen gets one TD pass to a non Stefon Diggs guy
• Singletary or Moss probably run one in each.

• The Gabe Davis hype train continues.  See another touchdown for him.  Big play.
• I think there’s a lot of 3 and outs and bomb touchdowns in this game.  Game features plenty of big plays.
• You want to say Denver has to do it on the ground, but is Lindsay the sneaky play for Denver and not Gordon?
• Natural feeling is a let down spot for Buffalo off two big prime time wins.
• Like Denver to cover if the spread is something like Buffalo -5?
• But also prefer the under.

at Packers (Sat)

OU: 51

• Mike Davis would be sneaky if CMC plays.
• Besides Davis, its a very evenly distributed.
• See DJ Moore scoring on a 12 yarder.
• How do you not like Aaron Jones
• Aaron Jones best play on Saturday slate.
• Packers D as well
• High scoring game.

• This game has juice.  This game has lots of juice.
• Robby Anderson is a must start.  He just fits nicely.
• Adams has 11 catches, 130 yards, 0 touchdowns.
• Aaron Jones gets in the box.
• TE gets in the box.
• Carolina keeps up though.  CMC and Davis have a really good game.
• Carolina comes out and hits them with motion and running plays all over the place.
• Carolina sustains drives.
• Game is close. Game is high scoring.

MAIN

DOM

STEVE

at Colts

OU: 52.5

• Texans cover
• This game doesn’t scream at Dom at all.
• Texans cover, probably lower scoring game, they play better.
• Not sure what if anything on the Indianapolis side, people will run to Jonathan Taylor, just dont see it.  Dont see it two weeks in a row.
• Wouldnt be suprised if Houston shocks them.
• TY Hilton?   Dont see it.
• Michael Pittman probably scores.
• DeShaun gets two – good cash game recommendation this week.

• All I can envision is Watson’s revenge.  This is a bad spot for the Colts in my mind.
• I like Watson alot if he has Cooks back.  If Cooks remains out, it’s a defensive game only.
• If Brandin Cooks suits up, he will have 110 yards on 5 catches and 1 or 2 touchdowns.
• DeShaun Watson just LEAPED out at me in this and it might be old time revisionist history.
• Watson rushes one in.  Watson throws one to Cooks.  Watson hits Duke Johnson for a TD.
• I really like Duke Johnson.  I should never like Duke Johnson but under 5k on DK (if he is), then I kind of like a Duke Johnson value game.
• Depends on Cooks though.
• Otherwise this is playing a team twice in three weeks and you take 20% off of everything that happened positive for one team (Colts) and give it to the other team and see how it plays out.
• Jonathan Taylor will be … the chalk
• Watson and the Texans doing well can take the Colts RB out of the game plan.
• I still cant say that I trust him or the Colts.  He’s all about his price which I assume is up there so I think you can fade him and honestly not loving a ton on the Colts side of the ball because Michael Pittman has burned me way too much.
• And yeah, TY … got it.
• This is obviously a 1PM only lineup play, I don’t think its a 60 point spot but maybe 24-20, not shocked if Houston pulls off a big upset.
• Watson 3 TD if Cooks is in.

at Titans

OU:

• Recommendations for D-Henry through the roof, not going to bite.
• They will rest Henry.  Blowout for Tennessee.
• If Stafford is not there, you have a fired coach working with a backup QB
• Not going to work.
• Not as bad as Kendall Hinton, but its not good.
• Not buying anything.
• Detroit run game if they are all touching the ball.
• Game is not calling to me.

• Henry will finish over 100 yards rushing, won’t catch more than 3 balls and has a 2 TD ceiling.
• Is that worth it?   Probably not honestly.
• If Stafford is out just cross the game off.
• If Stafford is IN and good to go then love Hockenson and Marvin Jones.
• Stafford in = Final score of this game is 30-27 Titans.
• Stafford out = Final score of this game is 13-6 Titans.
• In a higher scoring game I would like Tannehill and Khalif Raymond.
• Initial gut was I loved this game.  Second thoughts and Stafford banged up I don’t love it as much.

at Vikings

OU:  46.5

• If Dalvin is under 10k, I’ll buy.  There’s the contrarian play.
• Trubisky does not do it 2 weeks in a row, good luck with that.
• People will flock to A-RobII following last week, I won’t.  I’m good.
• Secondary WR for Chicago could do decently.
• Could be sold on Bears #2 WR or Minnesota Defense.
• Or Dalvin.

• Vikings D?  This is a series the home team deeeeestroys in right?
• Gotta believe Trubisky-Montgomery-Robinson is fools good trap of the week.
• Do not take Mitch Trubisky.  Do not take Allen (getting hurt this week) Robinson.
• Do not touch David Montgomery.
• 19-3 final score.
• Not sure how the Vikings get to 19.  Maybe Don Beebe’s son…
• I want to throw this game out.

at Washington

OU:  44.5

• This could be your buy.
• WR on both sides…  Is Alex Smith healthy?
• If Smith plays, might stack this game.
• Stack the game with Alex-Terry and Lockett or Metcalf.
• There is something here, like both sides, not as much the Wilson side, but prefer Alex Smith.

• You want to say Terry McLaurin has a monster day, but lets give Pete Carroll a little credit here, no?
• This is basically a playoff preview right now and I honestly would not want to be a team facing Washington in the first round.   Second round?  They get destroyed.   First round, no thanks.
• I think its 7 catches for Lockett, 6 catches for Metcalf kind of game with 5 catches for David Moore as well.
• Final score is 26-23 range.  Im going with Seattle, wouldnt be shocked to see Washington win though.  But Seattle wins this game 26-23.  Good game.

at Dolphins

OU:  41.5

• Definitely take the under in this game because Cam Newton will not be able to pass on the Miami secondary.
• If KC struggled, this game is over by 3:15.
• Questionable elements on the Miami side?
• Nothing I want in this game.
• Parker/Gaskin/Harris keep popping into head.
• Wouldnt be shocked if Harris has a really really good game due to volume and a touchdown.  New England losing, not shocked if they cover.
• If you believe in the spread you gotta like Damien Harris.

• Gotta like Miami defense.
• Hold up.  New England had back to back in LA and then third road game in Miami?  What the fuck kind of scheduling nightmare is that.  My goodness.
• Miami Defense.  Thats all.
• Check the spread on this game.
• Smells off.

at Ravens

OU:  46.5

• If Baltimore is going to win this game its JK Dobbins/Gus Edwards
• If they want to lose this game, Lamar passes.
• Wouldn’t be shocked if Robinson has a good game.  Catches one out of the backfield for a touchdown.
• DJ Chark is definitely going to score.
• Two touchdowns for Minshew.
• Ceiling target on Minshew.
• Chark definitely scores.  TD of the week.

• Mark Ingram, where art thou?
• Hey Hollywood Brown lock touchdown of the week.
• Lock it in.  Hollywood catches a touchdown.  Durvernay catches a touchdown.
• Lamar does it through the air not on the ground.  The RB do it on the ground.
• Everything spread around, but in the end the game just dies.  27-13 final score.
• Minshew is starting so Ravens D has to be considered.

at Falcons

OU:  51.5

• Right back to the Ronald Jones well again.
• Definitely going back there again, they punted on Fournette.
• Godwin scores on a 14 yard in route.  Left to right on your screen.
• Tampa is in control the whole way here.
• Not feeling oh my god about this game.  Not like WAS-SEA.
• Maybe Atlanta plays better defensively, they haven’t been involved in shootouts.

• Chris Godwin, 7 catches, 135 yards and a touchdown in a pear tree
• Game heavily leans on Julio Jones playing.  If Julio plays then Ryan can sustain drives for Atlanta and they can move the ball making this a nice early game.
• You want this to be a shootout.  Dont know that Atlanta will have time to throw and they sure as hell aren’t going to run the ball well.
• If Atlanta can sustain a drive Hayden Hurst catches a 17 yard touchdown up the seam.
• If Julio Jones plays, I can see Ryan having a decent statistical day.
• But you gotta like Chris Godwin.  A ton.  Not Mike Evans, sorry.  I know physical WR do well against Atlanta, but this is an exception.
• Godwin is an elite play this week.

at Cowboys

OU:  45.5

• Nugget in this game.  Raheem Moestert’s knees trucking down the field.
• Moestert.  Moestert.  Moestert.
• Game could have a little pew-pew… pew-pew…
• CeeDee finally score?
• Aiyuk will score, don’t need him.

• FREE TEVIN COLEMAN GOD DAMNIT
• San Francisco ground game.  Can you trust someone?  Moestert maybe?  McKinnon?
• San Francisco runs it all over them, left and right, right and left, up and down, north and south, south and north.  40 carries, 300 yards, thats the SF rushing game today.  But uh, not sure anyone can be trusted in DFS?
• Moestert

at Cardinals

OU:  48

• All going to come down to Darius Slay?
• If Slay is in, they have a shot to win.
• Dallas Goeddert every week.
• Philly is overdue for a 3 or 4 touchdown performance.
• Eagles are due for a 24-31 point output.  Too much talent to not put that up.
• If he is doing something for real they should be north of 21 points in this game.
• Something off with this game.
• Dallas Goeddert.

• Ha …. Ha ha …..
• Haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa…. Hahahah.
• High catch game for Hopkins again?
• Jalen Reagor scores, not sure its on a pass though.  Reagor scores.

at Rams

OU:  44.5

• You cant pick one of the running backs and call it a day.
• Wiping this off and not even looking at.
• Dont trust the Rams RB and Jets run defense is really good.

The Jets initially planned on staying on the West Coast in-between their games against the Seahawks and Rams, but that changed because of COVID-19 protocols. Adam Gase also said that he doesn’t want his players trapped in a hotel for a week without seeing their families.

• Well that solves that.
• Next

at Saints

OU:  51.5

• Not sure this is full gamestack game.
• Lock buttoning in Alvin Kamara.  Lock button.
• Really like Kelce on the other side.
• Not sure I see the Tyreek Hill giving Saints fits.  Not a ceiling game.
• Like Kelce and Kamara.
• Guess I can be bought into Taysom as well.
• If Brees is playing.  NO will do to KC what teams have done to NO for years and that is control the clock and Murray could be a factor in this game.
• Kamara & Kelce.

• Type of game that I wish had 70k screaming fans at it.
• Mecole Hardman catches a 67 yard touchdown.  Probably on a busted play of some sorts.
• This game will feature lots of circus events.  It has fireworks.  It lives up to the hype.
• This is all about how the Saints decide to play it.  If they go zone and rush the front 4, Travis Kelce will have 15 catches.  Remember what Darren Waller did to the Saints?
• So early in the season folks thought TE killed New Orleans, but it wasn’t necessarily just any ole TE’s….
• The Packers did it with bootlegs and the Saints couldnt handle bootlegs at all in the first month of the season.  Rodgers is great at bootlegs.
• The Raiders and Chargers then beat them up with Waller and Henry, but it was mostly Waller and it was Waller matched up on Jenkins a lot.  Malcolm is great, but not with a big physical TE like that.
• So if the Saints go zone or some type of matchup zone or they bracket Tyreek then Kelce should have jump ball after jump ball after jump ball that he can win.  He’s gonna catch a shit ton of balls.
• Circus game.  OVER 2 players who throw touchdown passes in this game.  OVER 3 players who attempt passes in this game.  The Chiefs will have a gimmick play or three.  As will the Saints.
• Just lock in Michael Thomas right now for 8 catches, 140 yards and a Tuddy.
• Just lock in Alvin Kamara right now for a 30 point DFS game.  75 yards rushing, 90 yards receiving and 9 catches.  Hopefully he scores twice and gets into the upper 30’s…
• You wanna stack?  Lets go naked QB.  There are enough QB early that we can try that and Mahomes is too much to force a full stack here.  Brees considerable, but … its too early in the week for me to know to what extent the Brees game plan is.
• Kamara-Thomas-Kelce-Mecole
• I cannot get Thomas with a huge catch out of my mind.  We’re talking a big catch and run, something I know he doesn’t do, but the Saints are going to go vertical.
• This is a stack spot.  Duh.

 PRIMETIME

DOM

STEVE

at Giants (SNF)

at Bengals (MNF)