Late night Thursday CBB DFS action as we have our typical dose of PAC-12 action on this Thursday as well as exposure to the Zags, a Purdue/Indiana battle in the Big 10 and everyone’s favorite the Mustangs of SMU vs the Tigers of Memphis.
Let’s dive in …
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SMU vs Memphis
- Kendric Davis (SMU) is expensive but this sets up for a perfect 2&1 gamestack with him as the primary option for the Mustangs. He is playing 35+ minutes, has a 27%+ usage rate and PG have done well when facing the fast Tigers.
- Michael and Marcus Weathers both are priced where they can have 5x return games for the Mustangs and I like them a good deal.
- Memphis is a bit harder to lock in on one player but Josh Minott and Emoni Bates are guys that I just cannot see failing to hit value at pretty affordable prices. We want bigs vs SMU, so Jalen Duran figures to have a chance for a ceiling game here as well. You will need 2 Tigers in any lineup built today.
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Washington vs Oregon State
- Also a good late night stack game, high total with a close spread and two defenses that are soft enough to exploit.
- Huskies: Daejon Davis, Emmitt Matthews
- Beavers: Warith Alatishe, Jarod Lucas
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UCLA vs Utah
- I like this game a good amount today and think it’s a favorable game stack.
- UCLA is back in a good rhythm winning 3 of 4 after the New Year and scoring 80+ in their last two. Johnny Juzang and Cody Riley would be the primary players but I don’t mind Tyger Campbell either.
- UTAH is where the slate winners could come from, Rollie Worster and Lazar Stefanovic
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Purdue vs Indiana
- This has Zach Edey foul trouble all over it tonight. If he can avoid the fouls then he will continue to be a 4x machine inside for Purdue.
- I believe that if a team wants to beat Purdue they actually have to go small on them and out run/score the Boilermakers, that would have to come through Xavier Johnson and Rob Phinisee but they really aren’t good enough in my mind to get it done.
- Purdue has turned the corner and is back on track. I know this is a Big 10 home dog scenario, but I will lay the three with Purdue and avoid a heavy stack in DFS.
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HIGH END
Kendric Davis – SMU
This tier is not where the juice is today, but if we have a core centered around that SMU/Memphis game then I would prefer to take the Alpha for the Mustangs in Kendric Davis.
- Johnny Juzang – UCLA
- Trayce Jackson-Davis – Indiana
- Adama Sanogo – UCONN
MID RANGE
Jarod Lucas – Oregon State
Second favorite game stack is the OrSt/Washington game late tonight. Should remain close with both teams offering favorable stacks. Jarod Lucas is the top play on the model and it’s a tough 3point match-up but if he can hit 2 of them as per his average then we’ll be good getting him into the 20’s again.
- Khalil Shabazz – San Francisco
- Daejon Davis – Washington … High steal rate should factor into things today, he along with Lucas and Shabazz are my overall 3 top CORE plays.
- Emmitt Matthews – Washington
- Boogie Elliss – USC
- Rollie Worster – Utah
- Marcus Weathers – SMU
VALUE
Emoni Bates – Memphis
- Josh Minott – Memphis
- Cody Riley – UCLA
- Justin Kier – Arizona
- Nate Roberts – Washington
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Khalil Shabazz – San Francisco – $6,200
Shabazz is averaging over 32 fantasy points per game the past month, he is carrying a 26% usage rate for the Dons and as I mentioned above takes a ton of 3 pointers, so in a game where the Dons should get more possessions than usual he figures to find a way to 30 points yet again.
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CORE PLAYS
Daejon Davis, Jarod Lucas, Khalil Shabazz
TOP BETS
Tulsa/Cincinnati UNDER 133.5
UCLA/Utah OVER 145.5
Purdue -3.5
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