Pay Up Studs

Reece Beekman – Virginia – 7200

Averages 37 MPG and has three 30+ point games over his last four, Beekman will benefit from the tempo boost of the Carolina Offense as well as the lack of actually playing Defense on the UNC side.  I expect Virginia to win this game with Beekman and Kihei Clark being the main reasons why.

Chalk I like: 

• Isaiah Mobley – USC
• Scotty Pippen Jr – Vanderbilt
• Justin Moore – Villanova
• Armando Bacot – UNC

Contrarian:

• Kihei Clark – Virginia

Fades:

• Mississippi State / South Carolina Players

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Middle Range

Collin Gillespie – Villanova – $6,800

With the tempo and favorable defense of St. John’s as the competition there’s no reason to not have Villanova’s best players on your build today.  Both Gillespie and Moore should be fairly popular plays for good reasons and I expect Villanova to win this one with a 30+ point game from Gillespie for sure.

Justyn Mutts – VT – $6,800

Much like the early slate, I am starting with two guys in the mid-range.  VT won on the buzzer beater yesterday and Mutts should be right back at it vs Notre Dame.

Chalk I like:

• Blake Wesley – Notre Dame – 6900
• Paul Atkinson – Notre Dame – 6000
• Jermaine Samuels – Villanova – 6400
• Jamal Bey – Washington – 6200

Contrarian:

• RJ Cole – UCONN
• Jahvon Quinerly – Alabama

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Sub 5500 Value

Gabe Brown – Michigan State – 5300

Not a player that I am in love with but when he projects to have a 3pt advantage he is worthy of considering.  Maryland & Michigan State is a scenario where they met in the season finale and are playing a B2B spot today.  I would expect Michigan State to win once again and Brown had 20 last game, shoots 5+ three’s per game and the Terps allow 41% rate from the arc.

Other:   

• Tyson Walker – Michigan State – 5600 … I’m cheating on my Tiers here, but I consider him down in the value range.
• Charles Bediako – Alabama – 4900
• Daejon Davis – Washington

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St Johns vs Villanova

• SJ:    Posh Alexander
• Nova:   Gillespie, Moore, Samuels

Virginia vs UNC

• Virginia:   Reece Beekman, Kihei Clark
• Carolina:   Armando Bacot

Washington vs USC

• Washington:    Jamal Bey, Emmitt Matthews
• USC:   Isaiah Mobley, Boogie Ellis

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The Onions! play is my favorite play on the slate to have a 6x or better game.

Reece Beekman – Virginia

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CORE PLAYS

G:  Collin Gillespie

F:  Justyn Mutts

UTIL:   Reece Beekman

Value:   Gabe Brown

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TOP BETS

Mississippi State / South Carolina – Under 137.5

Washington / USC – Over 141.5

Virginia ML

Iowa State +8.5

UCONN -4

Michigan State -2.5

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