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DAILY-AMBUSH · April 30, 2022

The Dongers Club – April 30th (Main)

WEATHER

No issues tonight.

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That loud humming sound you hear is me snoring as I write up the pitching tonight, it is a three headed monster and then absolutely NOBODY I want any part of.

MLB rumors: Clayton Kershaw returning to Dodgers on one-year deal | RSNCLAYTON KERSHAW

Kershaw has gone back to ‘normal’ after his near perfect game vs the Twins.  Tonight he should be show some flashes of what he did on that cold afternoon vs another AL Central team tonight and one who has 6+ hitters that are extremely bad against Sliders, a pitch Kershaw is using very well right now.

NATHAN EOVALDI

Eovaldi is stout vs RHB, which is the heavy bulk of the Orioles lineup and he is usually a challenge for Big Cedric Mullins at the top of the order.  Eovaldi went 7 innings on just 72 pitches in his last start and comes in with no restrictions tonight.

GERRIT COLE

Cole will be my personal fade tonight because I am 100% on the two guys above, but he is viable to play as the third of the big three.  I just don’t see the other two faltering and will ride them 100%.

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Boston Red Sox

Raffy Devers, Trevor Story, Alex Verdugo

The Red Sox have strong “we are going to drop 10 runs tonight” vibes coming out of this match-up against Spenser Watkins.  He’s not been up in the bigs for very long obviously and this year through 13Innings has been a little more lucky with a big jump in Ground Ball rate to 52%.  But the underlying stuff is weak and RH hitters have hit him extremely hard.  Even with Mt. Baltimore in left field I like Boston’s lineup a ton.

Texas Rangers

Calhoun, Semien, Seager

If Texas does not get to Bryce Elder out of the gates then they will go quietly into the night.  The Braves pen is very good so we want to focus on the top of the order.

Cincinnati Reds

Naquin, Garcia, Votto

The Reds will hit Chad Kuhl tonight.  Some of them know him well and I see no reason to mess around with SP tonight so we want some cheap bats in good spots.  That would be the Reds.

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CATCHER

  1. Aramis Garcia
  2. Mitch Garver
  3. Will Smith

FIRST BASE

  1. Freddie Freeman
  2. Joey Votto
  3. Anthony Rizzo

SECOND BASE

  1. Trevor Story
  2. Marcus Semien
  3. Nick Madrigal

THIRD BASE

  1. Rafael Devers
  2. Austin Riley

SHORTSTOP

  1. Corey Seager
  2. Trea Turner

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Hunter Renfroe
  2. Tommy Pham
  3. Bryce Harper
  4. Andrew Benintendi

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Christian Yelich
  2. JD Martinez
  3. Brandon Nimmo

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Alex Verdugo
  2. Andrew McCutchen

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  1. Tyler Naquin – OF – Reds – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Trevor Story – 2B – Red Sox
  3. Alex Verdugo – OF – Red Sox
  4. Freddie Freeman – 1B – Dodgers
  5. Hunter Renfroe – OF – Brewers
  6. Bryce Harper – OF – Phillies
  7. Aramis Garcia – C – Reds
  8. Corey Seager – SS – Rangers

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Core Plays

Pay up on the pitching guys tonight who are going to do their thing as they should against weak offenses.  Combined with my favorite three cheap bats (Aramis Garcia, Tyler Naquin and Alex Verdugo) and we have an easy way to build a CORE that includes one of the stacks.

Expected Chalk

Rockies … No thank you personally.

Dodgers … Dodgers can definitely go off here, but my limit is on Freeman/Turner and that’s really all.

Yankees … Carlos Hernandez will limit them in an UNDER game tonight.

Best Low Owned Offense(s)

Rangers

Favorite Bets

Royals/Yankees UNDER 8.5

Rangers/Red Sox/Dodgers ML Parlay

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