The Dongers Club – June 25th (Early)

← The Dongers Club hub  ·  Daily MLB home run picks & DFS, since August 2020. Browse the archive or see how DCPA works.

Two MLB articles today as we cover a good afternoon set of games and then the main slate in the 7pm window later on today.  Look for that second article around 4 PM EST at the latest. The early slate today is made up of eight (8) games on DraftKings while FanDuel is back to their splitting things up with a 1PM slate and then the 4PM slate.  Good luck navigating the sea’s on Fanduel with their Lobby on a Saturday as usual. [spacer height=”20px”] WEATHER Looks like no issues with any weather although the roof in Milwaukee should be closed due to potential rain. Roof should also be closed in Texas and Miami [spacer height=”20px”] CORBIN BURNES You know that meme where the dude is offering you a trade that seems unfair to his favor?  Well, how about I give you the field and I receive Corbin Burnes with his 12 strike out game.  Burnes has gone 19, 26 and 37 over his last three games. We jumped on that 26 and had slight consideration for the 37 but now against the Blue Jays I would project him to match it again as he had 10 strikeouts with a 35% called strike whiff rate and this is an even better match-up being that they are a RH heavy lineup. LANCE LYNN – DK Another Right on Right scenario as Lance Lynn is also building up to a good start today making his third outing on the season and coming off a 28.3 CSW rate game. The wind in Chicago will be a non factor on the South Side and my god the White Sox just have to win a game don’t they?  I think they do it behind a 7 inning outing from Lynn who is under-priced still due to his late start on the season. J.T. BRUBAKER – DK/FD This is a tip of the cap to the model which is banking on Wander Franco being out for one more day and the Rays having the highest DCPA strikeout rate on the board.  Brubaker generally isn’t going to produce a ton of whiffs so we are also banking on the Rays lineup just remaining bad against Sinkers which he throws 37% of the time. Only Ji-Man Choi figures to do any damage off Brubaker. [spacer height=”20px”] CARDINALS Edman, Donovan, Gorman, Carlson Adrian Sampson has not had much luck…...

Keep reading — and get the full war room.

The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:

  • Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
  • Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
  • Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
  • Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
  • Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
  • SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine

View Membership Options Already a member? Log in