WEATHER
No issues tonight. There’s a little extra wind out to RF in Coors Field.
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SHOHEI OHTANI
Ohtani at home and with a RH heavy lineup and if you want to fade him then play Kopech instead with a little leverage given the likely chances that he strikes out 30% of the Angels tonight (high chance of that so a game stack is ok). Ohtani is very good at home and has 34%+ strikeout rate vs RH himself. While the White Sox hammered the Angels pen last night I would not bank on them having another 11 run game tonight.
MICHAEL KOPECH
Copy and paste what I wrote about him above here. For $7,600 Kopech has to be popular on DraftKings tonight I would assume. This is too good of a boost for someone who does well with missing bats — including up in the zone. He’s in play on both sites.
ANDRE PALLANTE
Pallante has used his slider heavily against righties so far in his stay in the bigs and opponents are slugging just .395 off it thus far. Meanwhile the Marlins could be without their only batter who hits sliders well in Jazz Chisholm Jr tonight. After that, they have 32, 37, 25, 28, 31 and 30% strikeout rates on at bats that end with sliders. If Jazz is out, expect a good swing and miss game for Pallante as tonights sleeper cheap SP on DraftKings.
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OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS …
Kyle Wright … This is the only other SP I would consider today.
Hunter Greene … Too much of a roller coaster for me to buy into him today. If this was a 4 or 5 year veteran then alright, but no thank you on a rookie who is this volatile.
Sandy Alcantara … This is the poorest match-up Sandy has graded out all year.
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TWINS
Today we begin our DFS journey behind Max Kepler and Jose Ramirez in this game and I would trust Byron Buxton is not leaving Cleveland without a HR, so that would be tonight or tomorrow for sure.
BRAVES
Atlanta remains an elite offense against LHP even without Ozzie Albies. Nice weather in Philadelphia against Ranger Suarez who has struggled at home this year.
RED SOX
I believe Boston will touch up Manoah today. If you have been following along we saw Manoah go through a slight dip and then he was more controlled against the Brewers in his last start and now I think he’s gonna be too lose and give up 5 ER. Back to the lefites vs Manoah tonight.
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Today’s BOOST+ Players …
Kyle Farmer, Juan Yepez, Dansby Swanson, William Contreras, Josh Naylor, Nico Hoerner
Adam Duvall, Alex Kiriloff, Aramis Garcia
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CATCHER
- William Contreras
- Alejandro Kirk
- Gary Sanchez
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FIRST BASE
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr
- Josh Naylor
- Matt Olson
- CJ Cron
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SECOND BASE
- Jorge Polanco … Very cheap for his talent level now that he is back in the lineup. $3700 on DK is a steal.
- Max Muncy … I dont think the Dodgers win but no active player has more HR per PA in Coors than Max Muncy.
- David Bote
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THIRD BASE
Don’t even think about playing anyone other than these three guys tonight.
- Jose Ramirez
- Austin Riley
- Rafael Devers
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SHORTSTOP
- Amed Rosario
- Didi Gregorius
- Nico Hoernier than Ron Jeremy
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OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Max Kepler
- Adam Duvall
- Alex Verdugo
- Byron Buxton
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OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Ronald Acuna Jr – Much better FD play where he costs 3900 vs 5900
- JD Martinez
- Steven Kwan
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OUTFIELD – Value
- Randal Grichuk
- Alex Kiriloff (FD)
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The Dongers Club
- Max Kepler – OF – Twins – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Jose Ramirez – 3B – Guardians
- Adam Duvall – OF – Braves
- Nico Hoerner – SS – Cubs
- Alejandro Kirk – C – Blue Jays
- Max Muncy – 2B – Dodgers
- Josh Naylor – 1B – Guardians
- Byron Buxton – OF – Twins
- BONUS …………. Rafael Devers – 3B – Red Sox
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CORE PLAYS
Shohei Ohtani
Max Kepler
Adam Duvall
Jose Ramirez (DK), play two 3B on FanDuel
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BETTING PLAYS
Braves/Phillies OVER 8.5
Boston ML
Twins/Guardians OVER 9
Cubs ML -138
Rockies ML +168
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