Monday brings to us an 11 game MAIN slate with a lot of balance on it. [spacer height=”10px”] WEATHER Some games will have storm/delay potential tonight but all are VERY low on the risk scale Braves at Phillies – The one game with SP that are in consideration Rays at Orioles Angels at Royals [spacer height=”10px”] There is no ‘free square’ or easy button SP today against a bad opponent. Yes, Tony Gonsolin and the Dodgers are going to be chalk given that they are heavy favorites vs the poor Nationals (who just won) but this doesn’t feel like a game where you must have Gonsolin given the Nationals lack of strikeout upside and also that the Dodgers probably shouldn’t push Gonsolin too far. SEAN MANAEA The only reason on avoiding Manaea today is that the Tigers are staying home from Sunday to Monday while the Padres were in New York for the late game last night, but that shouldn’t be an impact on his performance specifically because no sane team would have kept him in New York last night, right? I certainly hope they aren’t that dumb. Anyways, that’s the only risk here, the Tigers are an otherwise middle of the road opponent for Manaea who can get deeper than normal given their low walk rates. JT BRUBAKER With the wind blowing in at Wrigley we go there to see who wants to play Pirates/Cubs pitcher roulette tonight and I am on the Buccos arm. Everything about these two is very similar except when Brubaker is on he can have 20-30% strike-out rates while Sampson at best is going to K 4 maybe 5 Pirates if he is pitching long enough. Gimme the J.T. Brubaker law offices to steal this traffic court case of a game. [spacer height=”10px”] Update – Merrill Kelly will now start for Arizona. We’ll need to see how the Giants react to this but he’s just like everyone else on this slate which is Blah, but I would give him the nod as the third best option. [spacer height=”10px”] Other Options Max Fried and Nick Pivetta were all in consideration for me today but Fried at 10.5 with some weather challenges – and since he can’t get Realmuto out – should not top Manaea today and I can’t trust a single thing related to Boston right now so no thank you on Pivetta. If you…...
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