DAILY-AMBUSH · July 4, 2022

The Dongers Club – July 4th (1PM)

I am certainly not the person to try and convince you not to be wagering your American Dollars on this fine Holiday of ours today and I certainly am not going to pass up an early 3 game slate with dueling openers and Game 1 of a Guardians/Tigers double-header, no sir-re Bob!

The Three games that we are figuring out include:

Rangers (Dunning) at Orioles (Kremer)

Guardians (Plesac) at Tigers (G.Hill, no relation to Grant – trust me on this one)

Rays (Beeks/Bullpen) at Red Sox (Austin Davis)

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WEATHER

All clear.

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Zach Plesac (CLE)

This is the only pitcher I will be trusting on FanDuel and just eat his chalk there as well as on DraftKings.  You could argue that there is leverage with a mediocre pitcher being so heavily owned but you have almost NO pivots who will do anything else, so besides stacking Tigers (ew) what do you gain?  Nothing.

Drean Kremer (BAL)

The Orioles pitchers do well at home and despite the Rangers being in a good park shift for Seager, Calhoun, Lowe and Smith they will still offer up enough strikeouts (3-4) that keeps Kremer in contention as an SP2.  I like Baltimore a good amount today so ride him over Dunning.

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BALTIMORE ORIOLES

Dane Dunning has been hit hard when he is on the road away from the graveyard in Texas.  The Orioles are very good at home and Cedric Mullins is long overdue for a nice big game which he should have in his friendly Camden Yards.

BOSTON RED SOX

I wrote about Boston yesterday going off today and they have a long history of being a great ballclub when it comes to Holiday games.  Back at home look for Devers to finally get things going again.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

We don’t have a ton of information on Garrett Hill who hasn’t pitched in the big leagues but his minors numbers check out relatively okay.  That said, the Guardians are a pesky team and we could have signs of life from Franmil Reyes which is encouraging as he could jack one out off the Tigers Bullpen today.

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CATCHER

  1. Adley Rutschmann

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FIRST BASE

There is very little to consider here at first base.  Nathaniel Lowe is not a terrible pick for the Rangers but I love me some Mountcastle today.

  1. Ryan Mountcastle

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SECOND BASE

  1. Rougned Odor
  2. Trevor Story

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THIRD BASE

I would double down here on FanDuel with both of these studs, using one of them in the Utility spot.

  1. Rafael Devers
  2. Jose Ramirez

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SHORTSTOP

  1. Corey Seager
  2. Wander Franco

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OUTFIELD

  1. Cedric Mullins
  2. Alex Verdugo
  3. Franmil Reyes
  4. Harold Ramirez

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  1. Cedric Mullins – OF – Orioles – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Franmil Reyes – OF – Guardians
  3. Corey Seager – SS – Rangers
  4. Ryan Mountcastle – 1B – Orioles
  5. Franmil Reyes – OF – Guardians

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CORE PLAYS

Zach Plesac

Ryan Mountcastle

Cedric Mullins

Rafael Devers

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BETTING PLAYS

Orioles ML

Guardians ML

Red Sox ML

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