DAILY-AMBUSH · August 22, 2022

The Dongers Club – Aug 22nd

Eight Monday night games to start this week off.

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WEATHER

Reds at Phillies – Rain that eventually moves out.  This is a case where I expect them to have a delay followed by them playing the game.  But I am not using Noah Syndergaard (PHI) or Luis Cessa (CIN) as pitching options so it’s only a matter of trusting the game plays for hitters.  Worth the risk.

All other games look fine

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A fairly blah and boring pitching slate but not one where you just blindly pick anyone.  Max Scherzer vs the Yankees is the headliner and since he is Max he will still garner ownership, but isn’t someone I believe is a must own at a high price point today.

I am not going to be using Scherzer tonight.  If he drops his nuts on the Yankees then so be it.

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JULIO URIAS

The Brewers struggled with lefty Justin Steele in Chicago yesterday and now go into a park which helps lefty hitters more, so facing a lefty on the mound probably won’t play into their favor much and in this case, Jose Urias, is seeing them the second time in a row after going just 5 IP but not allowing a run in Milwaukee.

He should get through 6 tonight and that puts him over 20 DK FPTS.

EDWARD CABRERA

The Marlins and Athletics series is going to be a fun one….  Things, nobody ever said.  I think that Cabrera’s nasty stuff can play well in Oakland tonight, the A’s obviously haven’t seen him and will probably chase a fair amount allowing him to have a 6+ strikeout game.

Adam Oller (FANDUEL)

The more I check out FanDuel for building a lineup today the less I like the idea of forcing in a pay up pitcher.  Another case where you might as well take the top dog in Scherzer if you are paying up there but I don’t think he is going past 42 fantasy points tonight and nobody in the mid range looks well either.  So I trim down to a cheaper option with Contreras/Odorizzi having potential strike out upside but also both are giving up 4 ER and that’s still a negative thing so common sense says no.

How about a pitcher in a great pitchers park?  How about a guy vs a bad offense?  How about Adam Olly Olly Oxen Free!  We dont need strikeouts here, we just need outs, and getting 18 of them is likely going to result in a quality start with a few K’s along the way.

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Here are other SP who can do decent but I see no reason to go off Urias & Cabrera

Jeffrey Springs – Angels aren’t good vs LHP, but just by having Trout in the lineup and Rengifo hitting well I can see Springs ceiling being no higher than Cabrera’s.

Sonny Gray – Gray is one of the more predictable pitchers when it comes to projecting his outings using ratings and he doesn’t grade well enough to use today.  I do like the Twins to win though.

Eric Lauer – A viable pivot off Urias

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Braves vs Pirates

ATL – Acuna, Olson, Grissom, Harris

PIT – Newman, Reynolds, Cruz

In the last 10 games played at PNC Park the Pirates and the team visiting have combined to score 8+ runs in all 10 games.  The Pirates don’t pitch very well in America, but in Pittsburgh they seem to have even more problems keeping opposing teams from scoring, but they also hit better here as well which makes sense with a younger lineup.  With Odorizzi and Roansy going tonight we should see some early innings with men on base and it’s just a matter of do we get the clutch 2-run doubles from both sides to bring men around & keep the trend going.

METS

Marte, Lindor, Alonso

The Mets are going to love hitting in Yankee Stadium, that’s all I gotta say about that.

TWINS

Correa, Buxton, Miranda

Right back to the well tonight.  They get a soft tossing style lefty that they should be able to beat up with Buxton back in the lineup.

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CATCHER

Happy Catcher Monday night.  Kurt Suzuki is your out of nowhere cheap punt catcher to homer call of the night.

  1. Kurt Suzuki
  2. Travis d’Arnaud
  3. Francisco Mejia

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FIRST BASE

  1. Pete Alonso
  2. Matt Olson
  3. Dan Vogelbach – FD Value

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SECOND BASE

  1. Vaughn Grissom – His value makes him as good of a play as anyone tonight.  And by value I mean he is f’n free.
  2. Luis Rengifo
  3. Brad Miller

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THIRD BASE

  1. Nolan Arenado
  2. Austin Riley
  3. Jose Miranda

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SHORTSTOP

  1. Francisco Lindor
  2. Oneil Cruz
  3. Carlos Correa

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OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

Poor Starling Marte has spent his career mostly playing in Pittsburgh, Oakland, Miami and Citi Field.  Guy is to feel like a 13 year old boy walking into Victoria’s Secret for the first time tonight when he steps into Yankee Stadium.

  1. Starling Marte
  2. Michael Harris II
  3. Byron Buxton
  4. Harold Ramirez

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OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Nick Castellanos
  2. Chris Taylor
  3. Bryan Reynolds
  4. Ronnie Acuna Jr

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OUTFIELD – Value

  1. JJ Bleday
  2. Nick Senzel
  3. Nick Gordon

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  1. Starling Marte – OF – New York Mets – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Jose Miranda – 3B – Twins
  3. Pete Alonso – 1B – Mets
  4. Chris Taylor – OF – Dodgers
  5. Michael Harris II – OF – Braves
  6. Travis d’Arnaud – C – Braves
  7. Brad Miller – 2B – Rangers
  8. Oneil Cruz – SS – Pirates
  9. BONUS ………… Kurt Suzuki – C – Angels

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CORE PLAYS

Vaughn Grissom (DK) / Luis Rengifo (FD)

Jose Miranda

Starling Marte

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BETTING PLAYS

Twins ML

Mets/Yankees OVER 7.5

Phillies + Rays ML Parlay

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