A quiet seven game Monday night slate tonight with nothing before 7:05 pm.
WEATHER
[spacer height=”10px”]
I try to identify the pitchers I am going to want to consider using before I look at the model to allow it to influence me that much. But tonight it was pretty straight forward as I had these three guys listed in this order and all pretty close to each other.
Which as of this morning, is how their ratings were aligned as well. So it’s a don’t get too cute night on pitching, but obviously one which will give you some leverage if you decide to fade these pitchers by using hitters on the other side.
BLAKE SNELL
A season ago we liked the Giants vs LHP but not now. After getting swept in Los Angeles, I expect the Padres to come home and do the same to the Giants who are really bad and with Snell being at home he is much more trust worthy. He should finish as the top scoring pitcher tonight and I have no problem using him everywhere.
CHRIS BASSITT
I love the talent pitcher on the other side in this game, but Justin Dunn making his first start isn’t going to warrant any consideration in Queens. Bassitt in Citi Field has been our cheat code all season long and his form is back after a little bumpy stretch around the all-star break.
ZAC GALLEN
Gallen grades slightly below Bassitt. There’s a couple Pirates who should be able to put solid contact vs him but he’ll strand them and finish around 16-20 points most likely tonight. The alternative for a third option is Keegan Thompson who just doesn’t have any upside vs Nationals.
[spacer height=”10px”]
BLUE JAYS
Death. Taxes. Jays in Camden even though the wall is moved back. Our good pal Cavan Biggio should have himself a nice start to the week hitting it out to right field and Hernandez/Bichette form nice middle of the lineup plays too.
DIAMONDBACKS
Got to watch Tyler Beede pitch against the Brewers a week ago and the Pirates think they can roll him out again? Sign me up for some Diamondbacks as he doesn’t miss any bats and should give up lots of gap hits tonight in this big park.
METS
Very warm again in Citi Field and the Mets are a team not to ignore every single night while they are at home. Once they can chase Justin Dunn out of the game they should get a Reds bullpen which is overdue for giving up a 10 spot.
[spacer height=”10px”]
CATCHER
None of the catchers on this slate are red hot right now outside of Sean Murphy and he’s not in a game I like that much.
- Jose Trevino
- James McCann
- Jason Delay
[spacer height=”10px”]
FIRST BASE
- Vlad Guerrero Jr
- Pete Alonso
- Christian Walker
[spacer height=”10px”]
SECOND BASE
- Cavan Biggio
- Ramon Urias
- Ketel Marte
[spacer height=”10px”]
THIRD BASE
- Josh Rojas
- Brandon Drury
- Matt Chapman
[spacer height=”10px”]
SHORTSTOP
- Francisco Lindor
- Bo Bichette
- Oneil Cruz
[spacer height=”10px”]
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Teoscar Hernandez
- Austin Hays
- Brandon Nimmo
- Mitch Haniger
[spacer height=”10px”]
OUTFIELD – Second Tier
- Jesse Winker
- Starling Marte
- Lourdes Gurriel
- Aaron Judge
[spacer height=”10px”]
OUTFIELD – Value
- Alek Thomas
- Ryan McKenna
- Victor Robles
- Chad Pinder
- Wil Myers
[spacer height=”10px”]
[spacer height=”12px”]
- Mitch Haniger – OF – Mariners – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Austin Hays – OF – Orioles
- Cavan Biggio – 2B – Blue Jays
- Josh Rojas – 3B – Diamondbacks
- Francisco Lindor – SS – Mets
- Christian Walker – 1B – Diamondbacks
- Wil Myers – OF – Padres
- Jose Trevino – C – Yankees
- BONUS …….. Chad Pinder – OF – Athletics
[spacer height=”12px”]
CORE PLAYS
Blake Snell
Cavan Biggio
Josh Rojas
Francisco Lindor
Mitch Haniger
Austin Hays
[spacer height=”10px”]
BETTING PLAYS
Parlay: Padres ML, Mets -1.5