Congrats to Wiserman on winning the August contest. His award is that he is going to get to do Sunday’s article as tomorrow is my last before vacation. Don’t suck Wise.
Thirteen game Friday slate with 2 games starting before the 7pm lock.
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WEATHER
We have no anticipated weather issues.
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NICK PIVETTA
We gotta trust the data here as the Rangers 3-9 projected hitters are horrific vs Sliders and Knuckle Curves in 2022. Pivetta also has the benefit of Fenway Park in September which cools off, has low humidity and the wind is also blowing in slightly tonight. This could be a 7 or 8 inning spot for Pivetta if he avoids walks.
KYLE GIBSON
Not many guys are pitching better than Kyle Gibson at the moment but when you can say you faced the Nationals, Marlins, Reds and Pirates in that stretch then sure you can pretend to be a fancy Lobster Dinner at a not so fancy restaurant. It’s still a Lobster dinner so we gotta acknowledge it. Tonight that trend should continue vs the Giants, who are as bad if not worse than those other teams.
DEAN KREMER
The Dean of Baltimore has been good in Camden Yards, like many Orioles pitchers in 2022. He allows a low 0.097 ISO, has a 21% strikeout rate and overall hitters xWOBA is .304. Yada, yada, yada. Dude, he’s facing Oakland and no I am not using Dermis Garcia or Shea Langeliers so give me Kremer as a nice value arm tonight.
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MINNESOTA TWINS
Kepler, Arraez, Correa, Polanco
When the Twins go on the road in the AL Central they hit well and facing Davis Martin – who isn’t quite a long shutdown arm – is even more reason to load up on Kepler and the Twins.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Renfroe, Adames, Tellez, Mitchell (2k punt), Narvaez
Zach Davies has been okay in Chase Field but this is still a scenario where Milwaukee should be able to hit him around quite a bit tonight. I don’t see them striking out much for a change either.
SEATTLE MARINERS
Winker, Haniger, Frazier
We have a scratch here as Zach Plesac realized he was going to balloon his ERA and said, here you take it kid. Cody Morris is a tall RHP who will start tonight and I have loaded some long term projections on him into the model based on what I found on him. With this info, Haniger/Winker should be on our radar again with Winker likely breaking out of a slump.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Ramirez, Naylor, Gonzalez
This game has two very good bullpens in it, so we’re either going to get it early or not get it at all. I encourage you to not overlook the Luis Castillo on a Friday factor here and trust that both teams needing to win right now will come out focused and put together good AB.
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Other teams to look at
Houston – Altuve/Tucker
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CATCHER
- Omar Narvaez
- Austin Hedges
- Eric Haase
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FIRST BASE
- Josh Naylor
- Dan Vogelbach
- Rowdy Tellez
- Nick Pratto – He is still 2,000 on DK and is facing Hutch’s Son… Cmon.
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SECOND BASE
- Jose Altuve – Very streaky and looks to be turning it on right now.
- Trevor Story
- Tommy Edman
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THIRD BASE
- Jose Ramirez
- Alex Bregman – Better on FD at 3600
- Joey Wendle
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SHORTSTOP
- Willy Adames
- Francisco Lindor
- Carlos Correa
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OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Max Kepler
- Jesse Winker
- Kyle Tucker
- Hunter Renfroe
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OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Mitch Haniger
- Manny Margot
- Bryce Harper
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OUTFIELD – Value
- JJ Bleday
- Garrett Mitchell
- Oscar Gonzalez
- Franmil Reyes
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- Jesse Winker – OF – Seattle Mariners – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Daniel Vogelbach – 1B – Mets
- Hunter Renfroe – OF – Brewers
- Max Kepler – OF – Twins
- Jose Ramirez – 3B – Guardians
- Willy Adames – SS – Brewers
- Eric Haase – C – Tigers
- Jose Altuve – 2B – Astros
- BONUS …. Kyle Tucker – OF – Astros
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CORE PLAYS
Nick Pivetta
Omar Narvaez
Jose Altuve
Jesse Winker
Max Kepler
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BETTING PLAYS
Orioles ML
Rangers/Red Sox UNDER 10
Mariners/Guardians OVER 7.5
Rays & Jays ML Parlay (Jays start at 6pm)
Twins ML
Phillies ML
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