BEST GAME
- Alabama at Tennessee
ALSO OKAY BUT NOT ALABAMA AT TENNESSEE
- Auburn at Ole Miss
- Arkansas at BYU
- Oklahoma State at TCU
- Ohio at Western Michigan
SNEAKY GAMES
- Penn State at Michigan
- Iowa State at Texas
- NC State at Syracuse
OVERRATED GAMES
- Kansas at Oklahoma
- Maryland at Indiana
WORST GAMES
- Wisconsin at Michigan State
- Minnesota at Illinois
- Miami at Virginia Tech
[spacer height=”20px”]
Alabama vs Tennessee
This is the game of the day, this is the game of the week and this is the game of the year. It’s not just that the Vols are going to be big time up for Alabama coming into Knoxville, but I honestly think that Alabama has been looking forward to this game as well.
- Hendon Hooker (Tenn)
- Jahmyr Gibbs (Bama)
- Bru McCoy (Tenn)
[spacer height=”20px”]
Maryland at Indiana
The Terps to me are a terrible team to stack on the road in DFS, they just always seem to disappoint and I would back Indiana with the points at home from a betting perspective. But in this game we have two teams that really haven’t defended the pass all that well and some receivers that are cheap and should thrive. Which could ultimately bring into play a very affordable game stack around the passing attacks here.
- Baby Tua (MD)
- Rakim Jarrett (MD)
- Cam Camper (IU)
[spacer height=”20px”]
Oklahoma State at TCU
Buyer beware of this turning into an automatic 45-41 shootout right out of the gate. Oklahoma State should be better on defense than they have been of late and the same can be true for TCU. That said, the way these two QB can do damage with their legs and are playing overall has to make this a viable game. But it’s kinda stuck in no mans land for DFS pricing.
When these two teams met last year, the Cowboys grabbed the Frogs by their horns and just rammed it down … oh, I’m sorry, we try to keep it a little PG-13 here sometimes. Yeah, they fucking murdered them with 8 rushing touchdowns. TCU has been good this year defending the run and being at home they should control that better, however Dominic Richardson is someone we gotta consider long and hard from Oklahoma State.
- Dominic Richardson (OK St)
- Max Duggan (TCU)
- Quentin Johnston (TCU)
[spacer height=”20px”]
MY GUYS
Hendon Hooker – Tennessee – $7,700
The Vols have no shot if Hooker does not play well and I believe that he will play well. This isn’t one of those dominant Alabama defenses and they can give up big plays still which is music to the Volunteers ears.
Kurtis Rourke – Ohio – $6,200
Rourke should lead one of the better passing days today. He has completed 70% of his passes and draws a Western Michigan Defense which allows almost 60% of their TD through the air. With the Bobcats on the road here I like them to lean on the QB to get them going offensively in a spot that should have good tempo and offensive output.
[spacer height=”20px”]
Also worth using:
Max Duggan – TCU
Taulia Tagovailoa – Maryland
Spencer Sanders – Oklahoma State
[spacer height=”20px”]
MY GUYS
Jahmyr Gibbs – Alabama – $7,900
The irony here as Gibbs has been compared to the next Alvin Kamara, and he is playing for Alvin’s former school against Alvin’s other former school. Obviously Kamara played far more at Tennessee, but technically he was with both. The comparison factor is that Gibbs is so good catching the ball out of the backfield and always seems to manage to get positive yards every time he touches it. With the Vols defending the pass well this is where I think the Bama game plan is going to focus on.
Dominic Richardson, Oklahoma State – $7,000
… I am literally leaving exactly what I wrote last week about Richardson in here this week. Because it’s literally the same logic, only his price dropped $100.
This is the reason why Sanders isn’t higher for me. Okie State should have a good rushing game and Richardson is our chalk home RB to consider at a good price point.
Sean Tucker – Syracuse – $7,300
A great RB at home against a good team who I think is coming into a trap. N.C. State’s last two games included a tough loss at Clemson and a close win at home vs Florida State. They bring in a very good defense into an environment that smells like a sleeper game to go off and if Syracuse is going to go off it has to be through Tucker or Oronde Gadsen but I’d rather attack the Wolfpack rush defense than their pass defense. The low total should keep Tucker down around 2% ownership today.
Sean Tyler – Western Michigan – $6,400
Usage in the WMU backfield is a little spread out but it’s worth taking a shot on Tyler at this price and he is a method to avoid picking the wrong WMU receiver as well, granted you could also get the wrong WMU RB here.
[spacer height=”20px”]
Value:
Henry Parrish – Miami – $4800
[spacer height=”20px”]
This is not the best WR slate in the history of College Football DFS. In fact, it’s just downright weird. I love Quinten Johnston and tout him maybe more than I should sometimes but I rarely like to go to him two weeks in a row after he had a massive game. He’s going to get all the attention from Oklahoma State and should be faded IMO although yes he is still a little too cheap.
In general, we have Xavier Hutchinson once again up at the top but at 8300 he’s gotta score twice because volume alone won’t make him a must own. It’s a week to be in the 6500 and below tier.
That and let me know when you notice the theme of the week at WR for your builds. I’ll give the answer away at the bottom of the article…
MY GUYS
Rakim Jarrett – Maryland – $6,200
If we are going to expect anything from the Terps it should be via the pass and Jarrett feels like a nice 7 for 85 and a touchdown pick today.
Cam Camper – Indiana – $5,800
Obviously correlates fantastic with Jarrett for a common build that always works in pairing 2 mid range WR from the same game and throwing them with a stack elsewhere. Camper is the heavy target option for the Hoosiers and the most likely to punch one into the box.
Corey Crooms – Western Mich – $6,600
Everything on Western Michigan is coming up green against Ohio’s pass defense allowing 386 YPG and a 72% completion rate. Crooms leads the way and should not break the bank.
Sam Wiglusz – Ohio – $5,000
Wiglusz is an Ohio State transfer, which is wild because he managed to stay on the Ohio State roster for a few years but obviously was buried behind some really talented guys. He’s averaging 7 targets a game and with the pace Ohio should play at in this game is probably the good chalk for the Bobcats to pair in O’Rourke builds.
Luke Grimm – Kansas – $5200
As you see below the Sooners/Jayhawks game has my eye for some sleepers on the Sooners side, which presents us with going to the Jayhawks once again and for a dirt cheap price with the volume that Grimm should have no matter who is at QB he is a very good CORE play this week.
[spacer height=”20px”]
WILD CARD WR
Theo Wease Jr – Oklahoma – $6,300
Hey. Look at me. Over here. Yeah, I’m that guy.
I’m that guy who had Kansas over win total and now I’m waiting for that shoe to fall off. Well, it’s not gonna completely fall off but one thing Kansas has proven from day one is that their defense is NOT gonna shut anyone down all game long.
The Boomer Sooners are going to get a game to make them feel good enough about finishing out their own disaster of a season and you can exploit Kansas through the air and on the ground but I love a contrarian big WR against the Jayhawks and Wease is my sleeper this week.
You may regret not having him or Marvin Mims because one of them is gonna pop off here.
Bru McCoy – Tennessee – $5800
Another game where the Vols are without Cedric Tillman and that brings us back to McCoy as the weapon that the Bama defense will not be able to take away while they are trying to slow the rushing threat on the Vols and Jalin Hyatt over the middle.
[spacer height=”20px”]
VALUE
Anthony Sambucci – Western Michigan – $3500
Will Mallory – Miami – $3500
Savion Williams – TCU – $4200
[spacer height=”20px”]
RANKING THE POSITION DEPTH
- QB
- RB
- WR … Alright so the theme of the week at WR is to pick 1 guy from each team in the same game who is mid range and then move on. My lone exception to this is Mr. Bru McCoy in Bama/Tennessee builds but we can justify him as being the man opposite of Jahmyr Gibbs.
[spacer height=”20px”]
[spacer height=”20px”]
CORE BUILD
QB – Kurtis O’Rourke or Hendon Hooker. I am torn honestly.
RB – Jahmyr Gibbs
WR – Cam Camper
WR – Bru McCoy
[spacer height=”20px”]
BETS
I have a gut feeling this is an upsets week in College Football, but that even means some road dogs covering too.
Penn State +7
Illinois +6.5
Virginia Tech ML
Iowa State +15.5
Indiana +11.5
NC State / Syracuse OVER 42
Oklahoma State / TCU UNDER 68
BYU ML
Tennessee ML