Lets. Fucking. Go. A nice 11-5 start on Day 1 with the bets log to go along with some parlay hits and the top 4 bets all sweeping.
Montana State vs Kansas State
If Nowell isn’t going off for Kansas State then it means Desi Sills is, but I don’t see Montana State being able to slow down Nowell enough. Montana State has four guys below 5500 who are going to see significant minutes and are among their top usage players. This is a nice 3 man core stack game.
- Mont St: Raequan Battle, Jurbrile Belo
- Kansas St: Markquis Nowell
Grand Canyon vs Gonzaga
Highest total on the slate and a great chance that it hits the over with 7 minutes to go. This is similar to the Howard/Kansas game yesterday as we find value on GC and look for maybe the 2nd top option on Gonzaga
- GCU: Chance McMillian, Rayshon Harrison
- Gonzaga: Julian Strawther, Rasir Bolton
Kennesaw State vs Xavier
I have gotten Xavier wrong a TON this year, so this is a tricky one for me, I can see the love for a game stack with Terrell Burden, Desmond Robinson and Chris Youngblood all being good options for the Owls. If you are going to beat the Xavier defense though, you’ll get a solid projection from your PG, so Terrell Burden is the play along with Jack Nunge for Xavier.
U.C. Santa Barbara vs Baylor
One of my upset calls today, we ride the Gaucho’s who have a good offense and are facing a very down Baylor team this season.
- UCSB: Ajay Mitchell, Miles Norris
- Baylor: Adam Flagler
Key Three
G – RaeQuan Battle – Montana State – 5400
A late night hammer and a top game overall for me today, this is one of the most likely chalk plays today that we should just take and move on with.
F – Miles Norris – UCSB – 6200
Cannot pick this upset without having a core Gaucho in our lineup today. Norris gets the nod for me, he has length that can help him on the boards and if anyone is going to win the game from 3 for the Gaucho’s it has to be him. They don’t take a ton of 3’s, but he leads them in that category.
G – Markquis Nowell – Kansas State – 9800
Too many DFS studs on this slate to ignore them all, we have to spend up above the 9k spot and mix in value around it so I am putting my flag in the sand with Nowell to carve up one of the worst teams defending PG.
Additional Guards
- Terrell Burden – Kennesaw State – 6500
- Rayshon Harrison – Grand Canyon – 6900
- Trey Alexander – Creighton – 6900
- Jordan Miller – Miami – 8400
- Ajay Mitchell – UCSB – 7600
Additional Forwards
Edey is a no for me, he can score 45 but there’s so many good options today I won’t pigeon hole my lineup(s) with his 11.2k salary in it. Same is true for TJD and Drew Timme, but we are also not going very deep at FWD today and likely not using any forwards in the UTIL spots
- Jack Nunge – Xavier – 8300 … Should have no problems dominating the glass today
- Warren Washington – ASU – 6800
- Miryne Thomas – Kent State – 6200
- Alex Karaban – UCONN – 6100
- Ryan Kalkbrenner – Creighton – 8600
- Andre Kelly – UCSB – 5700
VALUE OPTIONS
There’s good depth here.
- Chance McMillian – Grand Canyon – 5000 … See note above, this is much like the Howard/Kansas game where you want the loser sides value.
- Rasir Bolton – Gonzaga – 5200
- Jubrile Belo (F) – Montana State – 5500 … Would prefer to use in game stacks with Nowell on the other side.
- Guillermo Diaz-Graham (F) – Pitt – 4500 … This one is simple. If Federiko is OUT he is going to see another solid boost but if Federiko is in he is worthless. Good news this is an earlier game today so we might get final confirmation early enough to adjust your whole lineup.
VALUE PUNT OPTIONS
Below 4k only …
- Walter Ellis – Grand Canyon – 3700
- Shahada Wells – TCU – 3800
- Caleb Furst – Purdue – 3500
TOP BETS
Once again I will be doing the Big 67 as we pick all 67 games of the NCAA tournament. It will be logged like last year when we had a great run in the NCAA tournament with betting picks.
View Tournament Pick Tracker Here
Here are my top four bets for today
- Michigan State -1.5
- UC Santa Barb +10.5
- Miami -1.5
- NC State ML
Parlays
- NC State ML + Kansas State ML Parlay
- Miami ML + Kansas State ML + Kent State +4.5