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MLB · April 3, 2023

The Dongers Club – April 3rd

SLATE NOTES

Eleven Monday games and all of the home teams on the MAIN slate tonight are teams who were home over the weekend as MLB made it so that most teams home Opening Day is going to be a weekday/afternoon type game later in the week.

So yes, we begin one of the Dongers Club theories which is the teams who were home on Sunday and home on Monday usually do well to start their series, but it is early in the season so the impact of travel on the road teams probably isn’t as strong.

WEATHER

No, PPD risk tonight, a few games with notable weather spots however.

  • PHI at NYY – Wind out to LF
  • PIT at BOS – Wind out to LF
  • TOR at KC – Wind IN
  • DET at HOU – Guess they close roof here, but WIND out to LF
  • ARI at SD – Heavy winds IN from left
  • COL at LAD – Same

 

Drew Rasmussen

After Jeffrey Springs went off on the Tigers yesterday another Rays pitcher with his stock rising gets to face a bottom 5 offense today.  Rasmussen is good vs LHB and should see a fair amount of them, although I honestly don’t know if we can really consider the Nationals ‘batters’.  This is a single-A lineup which as long as you don’t walk them will have a hard time scoring this season and Ras usually doesn’t walk guys.

Reid Detmers

Most remember his no hitter from a season ago, and that was the good with Detmers, but at times the bad was also a negative number and less than 2 full IP.  Detmers now has 30 full career starts under his belt and enters as one of the bright young arms in the game.  I will continue to say that Seattle’s lineup is just average until they prove otherwise because I don’t believe in France and Suarez long term which leaves Julio and every 4th day Teoscar as the main hitters here vs a LHP.  So if you wanna ride Geno, go ahead, I’ll take Detmers.

Hunter Brown

There’s some risk here.  Historically the Tigers hit well in Houston, but this lineup is just so damn awful.  Brown was scratched in his final spring start with back tightness, but appears all clear for tonight.  He easily can hit 8+ strikeouts against this lineup even in limited work.

 

BRAVES

Austin Riley (3B), Ozzie Albies (2B), Michael Harris (OF)

Facing a pitcher with limited starts under his belt and without strong whiff potential I would lean on a correlated Braves stack in the heart of the order to string together hits and RBI.  Look for Atlanta to run some more today, so I like Harris a good amount from that perspective.

RANGERS

Nathaniel Lowe (1B), Corey Seager (SS), Adolis Garcia (OF)

Gotta like the Baltimore side here too.  Baltimore has been run heavy so far and that should bode well against Jon Gray who has never been great holding runners on.  But for a good stack, Lowe-Garcia leads the way.

  • OS Stack:  Rutschman, Henderson, Santander, Mountcastle

DODGERS

Freddie Freeman (1B), Mookie Betts (OF), Max Muncy (3B)

The Dodgers at home vs a bad fastball pitcher is something that has been as profitable as they come over the years.  It’s still not that warm out in LA and the wind wont help things out, but I like them anytime they get a bad fastball SP and Feltner has proven his FB isn’t Major League quality.

 

CATCHER

  1. Adley Rutschman
  2. Sean Murphy
  3. Logan O’Hoppe

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Nathaniel Lowe
  2. Jose Abreu
  3. Freddie Freeman

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Ozzie Albies
  2. Ketel Marte
  3. Whit Merrifield … Whit vs his good buddy Singer should be a treat today.  If Whit gets on, he will 20000% be stealing.

 

THIRD BASE

The hot corner is your deepest IF position today and the spot to use in UTIL on FanDuel

  1. Austin Riley
  2. Gunnar Henderson
  3. Rafael Devers
  4. Max Muncy

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Xander Bogaerts
  2. Javier Baez
  3. Jorge Mateo

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Mike Trout
  2. Adolis Garcia
  3. Mookie Betts
  4. Marcell Ozuna

 

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Giancarlo Stanton
  2. Yordan Alvarez
  3. Bryan Reynolds

 

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Michael Harris
  2. Steven Kwan
  3. Kyle Isbel

 

  1. Nathaniel Lowe – 1B – Rangers – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Max Muncy – 3B – Dodgers
  3. Logan O’Hoppe – C – Angels
  4. Mike Trout – OF – Angels
  5. Giancarlo Stanton – OF – Yankees
  6. Bryan Reynolds – OF – Pirates
  7. Ozzie Albies – 2B – Braves
  8. Javier Baez – SS – Tigers
  9. BONUS …………. Jose Abreu – 1B – Astros

 

FAVORITE BET(s)

  • KC Royals ML
  • Orioles/Rangers over 8

Dogs … PARLAY(s) OF THE DAY

  • PIT + KC + ARI + LAA

TOP PROP(s) OF THE DAY

  • Whit Merrifield over 0.5 Stolen Bases
  • Charlie Morton u5.5 strikeouts
  • Reid Detmers o5.5 strikeouts

 

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