A twelve game main slate tonight as three games are in the Senior Citizen Sltae window starting at 6PM. If you are involved in that slate then you should lock in Francisco Lindor even though it’s really cold in Detroit and that game does have PPD risk, but I think he has a great game if it plays. WEATHER I expect all 12 games to play, still chilly in most spots with lingering clouds/light rain on the east coast. The overall top 4 SP as of this morning on our projections model include two rookies, a road pitcher in Coors Field and Zac Gallen vs the Rangers. Of which Gallen is tempting as is Freddy Peralta, even in Coors Field, but I find myself not that enthusiastic with any of those options compared to what else we have. I had Mariners rookie Bryce Miller as starting tomorrow with Gilbert today. Looks like I was wrong. I do not like Bryce Miller because we do not start rookies – even against the Athletics, although he is $4,000 on DraftKings which remains just dumb. ZAC GALLEN I had a difficult decision this off-season with my keeper team and I’m starting to regret that decision which was to deal away Gallen and keep a few other guys. I got good value for him but the way he is pitching right now nobody is better. His strikeout rates going on the road might be trending lower but I see no reason to really put much weight into that and Texas has some free swingers as well which should keep his recent trend going strong. TYLER WELLS There’s only $800 difference on DraftKings today between Wells and everyone’s new young darling Tanner Bibee. Both are facing really bad offenses and neither is going to throw 7+ IP, but why not ride Wells here vs the Royals in big Kauffman Stadium? Do we not think the Orioles will win? Do we not think he will strikeout 4+? He’s not gonna win you the slate, but at his price he’s my favorite ‘cheaper’ SP2. FREDDY PERALTA I trust Peralta in Coors to use him on DraftKings for some extra upside and with everyone likely going dirt cheap on SP2, I think this gives you what you might want if you want to be “different” without chopping your genitals off. The key to Coors is missing bats,…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
