Monday kicks off a solid week with seven games on the MAIN slate, and a BUNCH of great games on the Turbo slate. We’re gonna miss out on Paul DeJong going off in Cincinnati along with the rest of the Cardinals there and we also miss out on Rays-Jays sadly.
WEATHER
LAD at ATL – Scattered Thunderstorms, should be able to play the game just fine though.
Fantastic hitting weather in Target Field
TOP ARM
Brady Singer (DK: $7000, FD: $7400)
This is me calling my shot ladies and gentlemen. I am not locking on Singer because he is in a comfortable price range or because he is facing the Tigers.
Okay, a lot of it has to do with the Tigers and him having made comments about them not taking him in the draft and thus dominating them. But also, they’re just not that good and Singer was showing signs before his last start of turning the corner, lowing that massive hard contact rate he had early in the season before the start in PETCO. Beyond that, the numbers won’t tell you to play Singer, but my gut does.
SP2 OPTIONS
Luis Castillo (DK: $9200, FD: $10.5k)
The Mariners are back at home, which means Castillo should pitch well again. Oh, and much like Singer, they’re facing a shit offense in Oakland, so whatever steps on the mound to pitch tonight is gonna be good. Castillo’s last 3 have been versus Boston, Texas and Houston — much more potent lineups than Oaklands where he has to navigate Ryan Noda and Ramon Laureano.
OTHER PITCHING NOTES
The only other arms worthy of giving a shot tonight are Cristian Javier and Corbin Burnes against each other. Many will consider Burnes a fade since Houston still is a relatively low K team but you can never go wrong with a low owned Burnes for only $9,000.
Players listed with each team are the primary options to build around.
TOP STACK
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Marlins (Soler, Cooper, De La Cruz) in Coors! … Last year the Fish and Rockies played basically the highest scoring series of the season and I got no reason to not expect more ridiculous donkey offense tonight.
Beyond that though, Chase Anderson on the bump for the Rockies, this should end just fine friends. And by fine, I mean 7 ER incoming.
SECONDARY STACKS
Twins (Buxton, Correa, Kiriloff)
I would rather have Minnesota than Seattle when it comes to home teams facing a bad pitching staff/bullpen today. This is a more pricing friendly lineup to stack and it is VERY warm in Minnesota, the people up there might not know what to do with their pants today. The Giants are very favorable here too.
Braves (Riley, Murphy)
We can mix in Matt Olson to homer with the ex-1B in town tonight, but the two mainstays in a Braves stack should be the RH power guys who smash change-ups.
Red Sox (Devers, Verdugo)
After basically not showing up on Sunday Boston goes up the coast-line in California to a park which has a short porch in RF and they have plenty of lefties to exploit it.
CATCHER
- Sean Murphy … We have limited data to weigh with Stone for the Dodgers, but we do know his plan of attack and it bodes very well for Murphy and Riley.
- Nick Fortes … Coors, $2800, top stack. Donkey.
- Christian Vazquez
FIRST BASE
- Freddie Freeman … When a guy first returns back to somewhere that was so emotional for him I think he’s a fade. But that second season he comes back? This is going to be a smash fest series for Freddie.
- Garrett Cooper
- Alex Kiriloff
- LaMonte Wade Jr … Nice salary relief at $3200 if leading off.
SECOND BASE
Unforutnately per DraftKings and FanDuel rules, you must roster someone who is 2B eligible today, of which Mookie Betts thankfully is not anymore on DK as they trim down position eligibility there.
- Edouard Julien
- Miguel Vargas
- Owen Miller
THIRD BASE
We have two guys I love at this spot today. Austin Riley feels like the obvious one and we’re playing him to HR, but do not sleep on Alex Bregman delivering some HUGE hits in this mini series up in Milwaukee for Houston. You could tell me prime George Brett, Mike Schmidt and Aramis Ramirez were on this slate tonight and I’d say who cares, we’re using these two…
Hey, don’t knock A-Ram on a warm windy day in Chicago!
- Austin Riley
- Alex Bregman
SHORTSTOP
- Bobby Witt Jr
- Carlos Correa
- Garrett Hampson
OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore
- Bryan De La Cruz … I would use him for $5600 at home in Miami against Chase Anderson and now you tell me I can have him for 3700 in Coors Field against Chase Anderson????
- Michael Conforto … Haniger/Conforto/Yaz. All three present a strong case for being used as nice value spots here in warm Target Field. Once lineups come out we’ll see how they shake out but if Conforto is batting third, he gets the nod to likely have the best full box score stat line (RBI+Runs+Hits)
- Byron Buxton
- Mookie Betts
OUTFIELD – Tier 2
- Ronald Acuna Jr
- Shohei Ohtani
- Alex Verdugo
- James Outman
OUTFIELD – Value
- Trevor Larnach
- Mitch Haniger
- Teoscar Hernandez
- Bryan De La Cruz – OF – Marlins – Chairman of The Dongers Club
- Austin Riley – 3B – Braves
- Sean Murphy – C – Braves
- Freddie Freeman – 1B – Dodgers
- Bobby Witt Jr – SS – Royals
- Edouard Julien – 2B – Twins
- Michael Conforto – OF – Giants
- Teoscar Hernandez – OF – Mariners
- BONUS …………. Rafael Devers – 3B – Red Sox
TODAY’S TOP BET(s)
K Props
- Brady Singer – over 4.5 strikeouts
- Charlie Morton – under 6.5 strikeouts
Batter Props
- Sean Murphy over 1.5 total bases – Can do Riley as well in SGP
- PARLAY: Edouard Julien over 0.5 hits + Vinnie Pasquantino over 0.5 hits + Raffy Devers over 0.5 hits
Best Dog ML:
None really. I don’t hate the idea of taking a shot on Oakland to win a low scoring game late vs the Mariners who seem to do nothing but lose 1 run games this season, but elsewhere we have some close lines today, so we’re gonna do a regular winners only parlay:
- Royals ML + Twins ML
Best Totals:
- Giants/Twins over 9