NFL · December 11, 2023

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 14 MNF Primetime

Honestly I don’t know what to really feel about having a 2 game MNF slate.  On one hand it’s a nice variance from the usual Showdown blind luck spinning wheel, but on the other hand why are we forcing America to decide between two shitty games?

Then again, when you see the CFB Bowl Season coming up you’ll remember this is a nice little pre-cursor for some of the wild Bowl matchups we have coming our way.

From a weather standpoint they should have typical Jersey Winds in the Packers/Giants game, but nothing that’s over the top in terms of concerns.

Titans at Dolphins

I am not expecting the Titans to generate enough through their passing game to touch Hopkins or anyone else, so the Will Levis value is only from the standpoint that maybe you get lucky and he rushes a little bit to save his life, but I doubt it.  The only Titans to consider tonight IMO are Henry and Tyjae Spears.  Derrick Henry is rolling his last two games but the price on Spears with what you would get around him boosts him up.

Look for Miami to do what they have been doing and that’s getting one or two big plays to Tyreek, who on grass is just tearing up every DB he can right now.  Tua, Tyreek, Waddle, next question.  Not using either RB tonight.

Packers at Giants

Can Jordan Love continue his strong play?  At $6000 he should be the highest owned QB tonight and with three straight 20+ point games I would be shocked if he wasnt close to 50-60% with Tua getting the bulk of the rest of the ownership.  Green Bay’s RB usage is tough to pinpoint, but likely the slate winner tonight as Aaron Jones is likely OUT and Patrick Taylor should see a boost in usage.  If this was a showdown only consideration then sure Taylor is viable, but not on the 2-gamer.

Saquon Barkley coming off a BYE MUST touch it 15+ times tonight and that’s even too few.

PLAYER RANKINGS

QB

Tua is throwing 2+ TD in my mind, I wouldn’t play him without BOTH Waddle and Hill though.

  1. Tua Tagovailoa
  2. Jordan Love

RB

I’ll be hitching the wagon to Spears tonight, he’s the better screen/pass game option for Tennessee and should excel in that role tonight as Levis is smart to not try and air it out deep.

  1. Tyjae Spears/Derrick Henry
  2. Saquon Barkley
  3. AJ Dillon

WR

There’s enough cheap value WR3 options and we are punting TE so yeah, you can get both Hill & Waddle today with Spears at RB.

  1. Tyreek Hill
  2. Jaylen Waddle
  3. Jayden Reed
  4. Cedrick Wilson
  5. WanDale Robinson
  6. Darius Slayton

TE

Move one of these games tonight to Tuesday and I bet 3 TE score.  Leave it as a 2 game classic slate and we’re lucky to get 2 catches total.  Just how the NFL DFS God’s seem to work.

  1. Durham Smythe
  2. Daniel Bellinger

DEFENSE

  1. Packers
  2. Dolphins

BETS

None

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