MLB · May 13, 2024

The Dongers Club – May 13th

Now this is what I call a nice Monday slate.  There are 12 games on the Main DFS slate tonight, and that doesn’t include two early Turbo slate games as 28 teams are in action all total today.

In case you are itching to get an early start tonight, those two 6PM EST early window games are Blue Jays at Orioles and Marlins at Tigers.  I mention this, because it’s trending that we will miss Ryan Mountcastle week, specifically Ryan Mountcastle vs Yusei Kikuchi on Wednesday this week.  I for one, cannot fucking wait.

WEATHER

  • Nats at White Sox:  PPD risk.  Rain.
  • Cubs at Braves:  Similar, but less PPD risk

 

ZACH EFLIN (DK: $8200, FD: $8900) … There is just one hitter which is a slight concern and that is Tyler O’Neill, who if you are into doing a SGP with some props on this game probably gets a 2 out double at some point tonight.  The 5-9 portion of the Boston lineup should not be able to have much luck against Eflin and is likely going to be in a bunch of 0-1, 1-2 type counts tonight, allowing him to control the game.

BRADY SINGER(DK: $8800, FD: $9300) & GEORGE KIRBY (DK: $9000, FD: $9400) … This is a very tough call between Kirby and Singer.  The upside for Singer is that the Royals will let him go up to 100+ pitches, while Kirby still seems to have some training wheels on him when he gets into trouble.  So you certainly have greater reward with Kirby here but I trust Singer to continue with a very good form that he has right now.  The Royals pitching staff is taking notes with the proper coaching they’re getting and the starters should thrive here in what has been a very pitcher friendly park in recent years (for whatever reason).

Other Pitching Thoughts …

  • Both the Eflin/Crawford and Singer/Kirby games could be ones you can legit consider SP game stacks on.
  • Im hesitant to trust Mitch Keller in B2B good starts and the Brewers have plenty of experience facing him.  Expect him to not make it through 6 IP.
  • Sean Manaea will pitch decent vs the Phillies, but no K and no need for that tonight.  Similar scene for Christopher Sanchez.

 

ATHLETICS

Rooker, Toro, Brown

I think I like Oakland WAY too much for a Monday, but they should smash Arrighetti and are dirt cheap, a perfect full team to build around as they go into a better park for offense and until Spencer proves he can dominate, I would pick on him.  Over the last couple of weeks the Toro-Bleday-Rooker trio has been getting on base a ton and I trust Brown/Langaleirs behind them to get going offensively.  Oakland’s gonna score 4+ tonight with good late inning upside against Houston’s pen.

PIRATES

McCutchen, Reynolds, Cruz, Tellez, Suwinski

The Pirates always hit well up in Milwaukee, it’s as if they enjoy being inside and out of their city.  Go figure.  Nobody is hitting it harder right now than Oneil Cruz, who for some reason is just $4500 in this LvR matchup against Colin Rea — not a good pitcher at limiting hook power.

REDS

India, DLC, Stephenson, Steer

Jonathan India and Elly are the keys here.  If they can simply get on base they will be a great 1-2 combination and allow the Reds to get into the Arizona bullpen earlier — which is w here the gold is.

 

CATCHER

  1. Shea Langeliers
  2. Tyler Stephenson
  3. William Contreras

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Rowdy Tellez
  2. Nathaniel Lowe
  3. Kyle Manzardo

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Abraham Toro
  2. Jose Altuve
  3. Jonathan India
  4. Nolan Gorman … I would love to see him bat higher up in the lineup, but who the hell knows what the random wheel of the Cardinals lineup will be tonight.

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Matt Chapman
  2. Max Muncy
  3. Jeimer Candelario
  4. Josh Rojas

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Oneil Cruz
  2. Elly De La Cruz
  3. Willy Adames

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Andrew McCutchen
  2. Spencer Steer
  3. Seiya Suzuki
  4. Brent Rooker

 

OUTFIELD – Tier II

  1. Yordan Alvarez
  2. Bryan Reynolds

 

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Gavin Sheets
  2. Jack Suwinski
  3. Tyler Freeman
  4. Seth Brown

 

  1. Andrew McCutchen – OF – Pittsburgh Pirates – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Max Muncy – 3B – Dodgers
  3. Jose Altuve – 2B – Astros
  4. Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds – Inside the Parker
  5. Jack Suwinski – OF – Pirates
  6. Nate Lowe – 1B – Rangers
  7. Shea Langaleirs – C – Athletics
  8. Brent Rooker – OF – Athletics
  9. BONUS ……. Spencer Steer – OF – Reds

 

TOP BETS

  • Reds/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5
  • Rays/Red Sox under 8
  • Pirates/Brewers OVER 8

 

HITS PARLAY

  • Josh Rojas over 0.5 hits (-220)
  • Ketel Marte over 0.5 hits (-270)
  • Oneil Cruz over 0.5 hits (-255)
  • Abraham Toro over 0.5 hits (-220)

All four together +303

 

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