MLB · July 28, 2024

Sunday Dongers Club – July 28th

Ten game MAIN slate today.  Hopefully no trades right before the games today to have to navigate around as teams should be wheeling and dealing more later this evening.

WEATHER

Nationals at Cardinals:  Could get bad storms mid-game.  But should finish.

 

BAILEY OBER (DK: $8500, FD: $9700)

I don’t know what has gotten into Javy Baez (actually, yes.  I do.  The guy is obviously cheating so that he can maybe get a quick trade out of Detroit to a different city.  This is clear as day and I demand a piss test immediately), but if that’s our major concern then I’ll gladly take that risk.

BRYCE MILLER (DK: $9400, FD: $9300)

Too many other pitchers on this slate are high risk of not throwing 5 IP and I hate that scenario.  So we continue to just take shots at Chicago teams because it will continue to work more than it fails

SUNDAY SLEEPER

KYLE TYLER (DK: $6500, FD: $6000)

I love that everyone is seeing Milwaukee for not really being that good and I tried to give them a chance last night but will not here again today.  Both SP in this game are viable but I am betting on the Marlins to finish the sweep.  Tyler gets a ton of ground balls and has yet to really struggle with RHH, which is only good strength the Brewers might have right now.  He is the best upside on the cheaper SP’s.

OTHER PITCHING THOUGHTS

  • Cole Ragans velo was starting to take a dip & he will be matching his 2023 total IP around today.  The Cubs are a favorable match-up for him and he’s still gonna be good but at 10k and with slight rain delay chances I wouldn’t feel like you gotta have him today.

 

This is a 2-2-2 spread it out slate for me.  I can’t trust a single team to put up 10+ runs today but the hitting is deep and spread out quite well.

BRAVES vs METS … A Saturday night under in Citi Field?  System play on the over here.  It’s time for Austin Riley’s new dad HR, first inning, followed by Adam Duvall in the second inning and then of course the Mets who are actually the better team at the moment.

Game Core:  Riley, Duvall, Nimmo, Alonso, McNeil

 

PADRES vs ORIOLES … Do we hammer O-R-I-O-L-E-Sunday’s here?  I kinda think we need too, although they’re clearly in a mental funk all around and maybe it’s just them not being able to beat National League teams.  So I was dead wrong on which day Manny hit his Camden homer, however Ryan O’Hearn, Colton Cowser, Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman out of that grouping should hit 2+ for the Orioles.  Expect some fireworks with a warm Camden today.

Game Core:  Cronenworth, Machado, Merrill, Rutschman, O’Hearn, Cowser

 

GUARDIANS vs PHILLIES … They’ll get the benefit of a rookie making his debut on the road.  The Guardians get the benefit of Kolby Allard, but Cleveland is so cold offensively right now I don’t know where the break out would really come from beyond an expensive Jose Ramirez HR.

Game Core:  J. Ramirez, A.Martinez, Bohm, Turner

 

CATCHER

  1. Adley Rutschman
  2. Jonah Heim
  3. Keibert Ruiz
  4. Cal Raleigh

 

FIRST BASE

  1. Ryan O’Hearn
  2. Pete Alonso
  3. Carlos Santana

 

SECOND BASE

  1. Jake Cronenworth
  2. Gavin Lux
  3. Jeff McNeil

 

THIRD BASE

  1. Austin Riley
  2. Manny Machado
  3. Jose Ramirez

 

SHORTSTOP

  1. Xavier Edwards … Should continue to lead off with Jazz gone and is producing very well
  2. Corey Seager
  3. Francisco Lindor

 

OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore

  1. Yordan Alvarez
  2. Adam Duvall
  3. Jackson Merrill
  4. Brandon Nimmo

 

OUTFIELD – Tier II

  1. George Springer
  2. Colton Cowser
  3. Angel Martinez
  4. Harold Ramirez
  5. Teoscar Hernnadez

 

  1. Austin Riley – 3B – Braves – Chairman of The Dongers Club
  2. Ryan O’Hearn – 1B – Orioles
  3. Jake Cronenworth – 2B – Padres
  4. Jonah Heim – C – Rangers
  5. Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros
  6. Francisco Lindor – SS – Mets
  7. Harold Ramirez – OF – Nationals
  8. Adam Duvall – OF – Braves
  9. BONUS …. Pete Alonso – 1B – Mets

 

TOP BETS

  • Padres/Orioles OVER 9.5
  • Braves/Mets OVER 8
  • Twins/Royals ML Parlay
  • Marlins ML

 

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