The Dongers Club – 8/28

Hey, welcome to a Monday in late August where the Braves are in Coors Field. Okay, see ya!   WEATHER All games will play   This is more of a decision on if you are itching to play say $7000 Ronald Acuna in Coors Field and how much $ you can justify spending on pitching tonight.  I see three guys who I think are worth their price up top. Gausman is the one who has the best chance to ‘go off’ but he really has to go 7 IP and 10+ strikeouts against a Nationals lineup which isn’t garbage, so if Gausman is contrarian he’s worth the flier IMO though. GrayRod and Jon Gray are both facing offenses that they should be able to handle fine and are priced very affordrable Grayson Rodriguez (DK: $7500, FD: $8700) Jon Gray (DK: $8100, FD: $9400) Kevin Gausman (DK: $11.2k, FD: $10.9k)   The Cheap / Punt Options None of these options are going to post a 20 and break the slate for you.  But I don’t see them getting blown up. Kyle Harrison (DK: $6500) … Reds coming into town, usually young does hit young but it’s a bad park shift and Harrison should pitch well at home. Michael Kopech (DK $6300) … Baltimore has gone cold Zack Greinke (DK: $6000) … The Royals arent extending Greinke because they want to get other guys some work in, but I see a 5 IP and a Win for Greinke tonight     ROYALS Maikel Garcia, Drew Waters, Michael Massey Royals get to come back home after slowing down in Seattle as expected.  Look for them to have a big week against the Pirates pitching, which also carries a 4.63 ERA over the last 10 days and too many walks.  Nice value spot here. BRAVES Austin Riley, Marcell Ozuna Everyone hits Austin Gomber, so naturally the Braves should hit him too, right?  Marcell Ozuna probably is one of the highest owned guys, he’s been hot in the second half and is only $5100 here.  Really though I don’t see how Austin Riley doesn’t have a big game tonight. ASTROS Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Jeremy Pena High $ pivot off Atlanta.  Seeing Sale twice in a week’s span and Houston always smashes Boston in Fenway.     CATCHER Martin Maldanado Salvador Perez (Can use at 1B also here to save $ at C) Danny Jansen […]

Sunday Dongers Club – 8/27

Down to just two Sunday’s remaining for MLB DFS content as the prize pools go away once NFL officially returns on Sunday’s and next weekend is of course over a Holiday weekend. Meanwhile, over at FanDuel, they have already given up on Sunday’s with today’s MAIN slate featuring everything through the 4PM games. This is an 11 game Main Slate on DraftKings. For the FanDuel crowd, the Mariners/Royals game is going to be 2-1 and the Reds probably are worth consideration but there’s plenty of other hitting options so I would just ignore the 4PM window games all together.   WEATHER All clear   I’m just going to go completely off the gut here today, and there are four pitchers total who I would go with. Justin Verlander Yusei Kikuchi Mike Clevinger Carlos Rodon Yes, you are reading that correctly.  Obviously Verlander going back into Detroit is going to be the #1 spot for us today.  Even with the Astros being smart and keeping him under 100 pitches each outing he has shown that he can produce enough swings and misses & now see’s a Detroit team that should produce another high K% spot. Kikuchi is always a gamble, if his command is off then its nighty night against a patient Cleveland lineup, however, the Oscar Gonzalez, Ramon Laureano and bottom part of the order AB’s should result in him getting strikeouts up in the zone with his fastball.  Nobody will trust him at that price against Cleveland, nobody except me. Clevinger and Rodon fall into the real ‘sleeper’ category, although Clevinger vs Oakland likely draws some relative ownership.  Rodon wont, but Rodon is your real K% upside sleeper today.  I don’t trust Tampa at all.   I would spread out hitting exposure today with the heavier slate of games and I doubt we see a ton of explosive offensive outbursts today.  The Orioles and Blue Jays are top end CORE teams to load up with.  Toronto seeing Thor should be able to get on base, run and also touch him in up in their hitter friendly park. The Orioles against Ty Blach are also in one of the better humid/heat games today & always hit well at home on Sunday’s. Orioles (Hays/Mountcastle/Rutschman) Blue Jays (Merrifield/Bichette) Going with the GUT feel today, the Astros will hit 2 HR off Faedo and one of them is Yordan Alvarez.  He is the […]

The Dongers Club – 8/26 (Main)

MAIN SLATE   WEATHER All clear   Bradish is pitching better than most pitchers right now, gets the Rockies and should have plenty of run support.  Lock and load. Kyle Bradish Max Scherzer Chase Silseth (Value)   Phillies:  Harper vs Hudson is not a fair match-up.  Not one bit.  Neither is Realmuto when he comes up with the bases loaded and drills a Grand Slam.  Yes, I just called a Grand Slam.  Deal with it. Reds / Diamondbacks:  Both teams finally woke up last night, so lets plug in Ben Lively back into the DFS world and face him vs Zach Davies.  I am sure that will be the perfect addition after an 18 run game Orioles:  You would normally see me stack against Flexen as the #1 spot and if you full stack Orioles you cannot skip Ryan O’Hearn and Anthony Santander’s value.  If Mullins can get 2 AB vs Flexen that means Flexen made it through a few innings, but he won’t make it to Mullins 3rd AB   CATCHER JT Realmuto Gary Sanchez Mitch Garver   FIRST BASE Bryce Harper Ryan O’Hearn Ryan Noda   SECOND BASE Jeff McNeil Ketel Marte Matt McLain   THIRD BASE Manny Machado Gunnar Henderson Alec Bohm   SHORTSTOP Elly De La Cruz Willy Adames   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Jack Suwinski Cedric Mullins Corbin Carroll Anthony Santander     Bryce Harper – 1B – Phillies – Chairman of The Dongers Club Cedric Mullins – OF – Orioles Manny Machado – 3B – Padres Elly De La Cruz – SS – Reds Corbin Carroll – OF – Diamondbacks    

CFB DFS Tailgate: Aug 26

We are officially back for the start of another College Football Season and this one is taking us up to the official end of an era as there will be a lot of conference changes after this season and also the expansion of the CFB Playoff (finally!). As usual, we have a light Week 0 […]

The Dongers Club – 8/26 (Early)

The early slate(s) today are almost the same.  But, they’re not sadly.  FanDuel has the Jays and Guardians, DraftKings excluded that and made it into a showdown spots.  Failure on the part of DraftKings here.   WEATHER All clear   Max Fried will bounce back today out in San Francisco and he will 100% get you over 20 DraftKings points.  I am not positive anyone else can do that, but Eury Perez would be the most logical second choice SP2. I like Glasnow, but everything about the Rays worries me so proceed witih caution about him leaving early due to some random injury. Max Fried Eury Perez Tyler Glasnow   Who else wants to roll a Marlins stack?  Jake Irvin was good early and has been good his last two starts, but this looks like a wheels fall off spot against Miami today.  The Dodgers and Sox won’t go to the moon but Mookie Betts for sure homers and Trevor Story is hot right now at a weak position on this slate. I expect Seattle to be chalky vs Jordan Lyles, but wouldn’t have more than 1-2 Mariners. Marlins Dodgers Mariners Blue Jays (FD)   CATCHER Not worth paying for Mr. Smith or Mr. Murphy because that $ should go towards pitching, but I do like Sean Murphy today if you squeeze him in. Sean Murphy Nick Fortes   FIRST BASE Josh Bell Ty France   SECOND BASE Mookie Betts Brandon Lowe Michael Massey   THIRD BASE Matt Chapman (FD) Jake Burger Jose Ramirez (FD)   SHORTSTOP Trevor Story Enrique Hernandez Osleivis Basabe   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Jazz Chisholm Jr Teoscar Hernandez Josh Lowe Jorge Soler     Jazz Chisholm Jr – OF – Marlins – Chairman of The Dongers Club Sean Murphy – C – Braves Trevor Story – SS – Red Sox Mookie Betts – 2B – Dodgers  

The Dongers Club – 8/25

WEATHER Dodgers at Red Sox — Rain here will be increasing throughout the game.  Dodgers could run into another ‘suspended’ mid game scenario since MLB loves to do that now.   KODAI SENGA Well there’s no Trout and while Ohtani says he is playing as a DH I don’t know that Senga will make a mistake to his friend here today. MITCH KELLER I expect Keller to finish the season strong like he started it.  His SwStr% has gone back up over 10% each of the last three starts with a 38.8% CSW against the Twins in his last outing.   Velocity and command both being good will do that & the Cubs aren’t a team that has seen him all season long — which is unusual given the divisional correlation. DYLAN CEASE Last night’s chalk Oakland which went off late is probably the most reliable option to attack as a third choice.  Cease will have big time success with his slider tonight.   CARDINALS / PHILLIES Arenado, Goldy Turner, Stott The Phillies are playing GREAT baseball now with Schwarber back alive, Turner hitting well and Harper delivering when they need him too.  But it’s Arenado/Goldschmidt who really stand out to me in this game.  Goldy will do it off Sanchez, Arenado does it mid-game. ORIOLES Rutschman, Hays, Westburg RHH are slugging .528 off Freeland, he doesn’t project to have a strikeout advantage over 7 of the hitters and Baltimore likely rolls out a few crooked numbers early here. GUARDIANS Ramirez, Gimenez, Calhoun   Also good spots Dodgers vs Red Sox:  Rain is the biggest fear here.  Hey, Mookie!  How about that.  Hey Verdugo!  hey Turner!  Adam Duvall is on one of his little heaters at the moment.  LHH rock Lynn the most historically so couple those two with the rest of this lineup and I can see this being a 6-3 game when they suspend it in the third inning. Padres:   Soto, Machado Diamondbacks:   Very under the radar, more of a late slate donkey spot but I don’t trust Hunter Greene vs this team.   CATCHER Tyler Stephenson Adley Rutschman Willson Contreras   FIRST BASE Paul Goldschmidt Ryan Mountcastle Justin Turner Kole Calhoun (DK)   SECOND BASE Jordan Westburg Andres Gimenez Bryson Stott   THIRD BASE Nolan Arenado Jose Ramirez Rafael Devers Yoan Moncada   SHORTSTOP Bobby Witt Jr. Trea Turner Tommy Edman   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Juan Soto […]

The Dongers Club – 8/24

WEATHER TOR at BAL:  Lingering Rain CHC at PIT:  Lingering Rain All in all, I expect all five games to play.   Only two pitchers I feel very comfortable with tonight: Justin Steele (DK: $9800, FD: $10,400) Ken Waldichuck (DK: $5300, FD: $6700) We can make a good argument for Pablo Lopez, but I just don’t see why you would venture down that path against Texas, who is a ticking time bomb every slate.  Merrill Kelly is someone I am attacking tonight, but I would expect him to be a little popular. Kyle Gibson and Andrew Heaney honestly scare me more than Waldichuk.  Heaney between the two has a higher probability to come out and shove though.   REDS TJ Friedl, Stephenson, De La Cruz, Votto Could be a little crazy here and pluck some bottom lineup value like Benson or Marte to go with Stephenson and Elly as a one off.  Elly in this park should have a field day. ATHLETICS Butler, Gelof, Noda, Rooker, Brown Who else totally see’s Oakland jacking 5 HR’s tonight on the South Side in 90+ degree temps?  I sure as hell do. CUBS Happ, Tauchman, Bellinger     CATCHER Tyler Stephenson Shea Langeliers Mitch Garver   FIRST BASE Vlad Guerrero Jr. Seth Brown / Ryan Noda Joey Votto   SECOND BASE Ketel Marte Matt McLain Zack Gelof   THIRD BASE Spencer Steer Ezequiel Duran Royce Lewis   SHORTSTOP Elly De La Cruz Corey Seager   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Thomas Pham Daulton Varsho Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TJ Friedl   OUTFIELD – Value Lawrence Butler Jordan Luplow   Tyler Stephenson – C – Reds – Chairman of The Dongers Club  

The Dongers Club – 8/23 (Main)

Tonight’s Slate: Rockies at Rays is on FanDuel Only Reds at Angels is on DraftKings Only   WEATHER No issues   Kevin Gausman … Returning to Camden Yards, the wall in left field probably pisses him off because with that change he may have never left Baltimore in the first place. Clayton Kershaw … Lower risk than Gore, higher K% upside. MacKenzie Gore … See above re Kershaw     ASTROS Altuve and Bregman DODGERS Freeman and Muncy BRAVES Acuna and Riley   CATCHER Keibert Ruiz Luke Maile Sean Murphy   FIRST BASE Freddie Freeman Pete Alonso Daniel Vogelbach   SECOND BASE Jose Altuve   THIRD BASE Austin Riley Alex Bregman Max Muncy   SHORTSTOP Vaughn Grissom – Value Bo Bichette Amed Rosario   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Alex Verdugo Marcell Ozuna Ronald Acuna Jr. Kyle Tucker     Jose Altuve – 2B – Astros – Chairman of The Dongers Club Amed Rosario – SS – Dodgers Austin Riley – 3B – Braves  

The Dongers Club – 8/23 (Early)

Early Slate with 7 games on DraftKings and … well, FanDuel is just gonna FanDuel.  Basically DraftKings skipped the Cardinals/Pirates game, making that a showdown 12:35 spot start for those who are starting their afternoon lunch early and want to load up on a Cardinals Stack. FanDuel included that game but only with the 1pm/2pm games on their ‘Very Early’ slate. This article is going to cover the DraftKings 1PM slate which includes Cubs/Tigers, Mariners/White Sox, Twins/Brewers, Royals/Athletics, Giants/Phillies, Marlins/Padres and Reds/Angels G1 of their double-header. Shohei Ohtani is PITCHING in that early game, so that’s how DK has him labeled.   WEATHER Cubs at Tigers — Thunderstorms could disrupt the game, but they will finish it. Mariners at White Sox — It’s gonna feel like 100 degrees in Chicago today, closer to 140 if you factor in the temperature of the Mariners offense right now.  Oh and the wind is blowing out to left field.  Oh and Michael Kopech is pitching.  LOL.  Fun times my friends, fun times.   This 1-2 combination I have listed below could wind up being a highly chalky spot given their pricing, but I am not worried much about the ownership on either. Shohei Ohtani:  Day game in Anaheim yes, but no concerns as Ohtani at home always cruises along to get through 6 innings. Cole Ragans:   Very cheap and pitching well enough to trust.  The Royals have no limitations on him at the moment and the consistent 30%+ CSW rate against a young Oakland lineup should continue here today. I think that Burnes will pitch well enough to not burn you (no pun intended) and Sandy Alcantara has another very SOLID outing as well.  They both make for fine secondary options but I have no concerns with Ohtani/Ragans at all today.   MARINERS Hernandez, France, Rodriguez, Rojas Kopech has shown zero signs of life that would warrant thinking the Mariners high K% comes back today and he capitalizes on that.  Happy Ty France day. TIGERS Greene, Torkelson, Carpenter Torkelson and Carpenter are playing out of their minds right now, both hitting everything well and hard.  The player I really like to have a big game though is Riley Greene, he’s $4600 compared to Akil Baddoo for 3100, but if you go Tigers, Greene is the guy to have a 3-5 day with a triple and 3 runs scored.   Also expect to produce […]

The Dongers Club – 8/22

Wake up, it’s Yusei Kikuchi vs the Orioles on a Tuesday night day!   WEATHER Looks all clear.   LUCAS GIOLITO DK: $9100, FD: $9100 Anaheim is a decent spot for LHH, but really we’re just dealing with Votto and EDLC.  A young Reds lineup mostly and a sharp Giolito who is pitching well for Anaheim, has plenty of rest and you can be assured he will go 100+ pitches and likely 6+ innings.  One of the more safer options out there tonight. GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ DK:  $6100, FD: $8200 If the game was in Toronto then I can justify passing on Rodriguez, who is graded lower than he should be and priced lower than he should be as well.  Lefties have been able to handle the young kid, but the Jays have really just Varsho and Belt in that regard.  The righties in Camden should not be able to take him deep, outside of maybe Bichette going opposite field for a double but that’s hard to do in Camden unless you hit the fence where the grounds crew sits just right. BRYAN WOO DK:  $7600, FD: $7900 After Luis Castillo threw nothing but fastballs last night, in comes Bryan Woo who throws his 4-seamer 49% of the time and his 2-seamer 26% of the time.  Gee, I wonder what he’s gonna do here.  And I wonder what the White Sox are gonna do in return? OTHER PITCHING NOTES Graham Ashcraft … was someone I had on my Monday radar before they PPD the game, but that was when we had a very limited menu of pitching selections.  I can’t say I don’t like him now, I just don’t have him in the top 3 anymore. Jesus Luzardo … We don’t use Jesus on the west coast.  That aint no holy land out there. Josiah Gray … Should carve up the little league Yankees.  He should.  I repeat….  He should.  Go right ahead and do that yourself, something smells fishy here and it’s not Anthony Rizzo   TWINS / BREWERS Jorge Polanco, Carlos Correa … Christian Yelich, Rowdy Tellez, Sal Frelick I fucking love this spot for both teams.  Gimme 15+ runs through the first 5 innings, lots of homers, plenty of doubles from the Twins and a 4-6 night from Jorge Polanco. ORIOLES Ryan Mountcastle, Anthony Santander Kikuchi has been pitching very well of late.  Enter Ryan Mountcastle and the Orioles.  You […]