Articles
NFL
Oct 11, 2026
The AMBUSH – Week 5
Every week I write down my plays, then I go look at what the model says, and every…
Oct 10, 2026
Sim Desk: Tuten runs over the Eagles as Jacksonville wins 27-18 in Sim #34 (Jaguars win 78% of 10,000)
We played Eagles at Jaguars 10,000 times before kickoff: Jacksonville wins 78% of them, Bhayshul Tuten leads the…
Oct 8, 2026
The Audit – AMBUSH Week 4
I have reviewed the file. The AMBUSH, Week 4. Twelve games. One centerpiece. Five bets, two stacks, a…
Oct 8, 2026
Sim Desk: Javonte Williams’ late TD holds off the Bucs, 28-20, in Sim #20 (Dallas wins 75% of 10,000)
We played Buccaneers at Cowboys 10,000 times before kickoff: Dallas wins three in four, and the touchdown sims…
Oct 8, 2026
Thursday Night Showdown: Buccaneers at Cowboys
One thumb moved this spread five points and the total five more, but Dallas still can't stop a…
Oct 5, 2026
Monday Night Showdown: Falcons at Saints
The Superdome hosts the Falcons on a Monday night again: we back the Saints at -1.5, captain Chris…
Oct 4, 2026
Sunday Night Showdown: Lions at Panthers
Detroit's secondary, not Carolina's, is the one leaking downfield, and the field has left the Panthers' best players…
Oct 4, 2026
The AMBUSH – Week 4
TOP GAME OF THE WEEK Broncos at 49ers: I love that this game slips right under the radar…
Oct 3, 2026
Sunday Morning Showdown: Colts at Commanders
Jonathan Taylor gets his carries in London, but the touchdown price runs ahead of our model and the…
Oct 1, 2026
Thursday Night Showdown: Steelers at Browns
Pittsburgh's offense got heavier and the field followed the wrong tight end; our simulations make Rodgers the leverage…