DAILY-AMBUSH · July 3, 2021

The Dongers Club – July 3rd (Main)

Seven main slate games tonight and none have weather issues but Boston vs Oakland is a 4PM start out in Oakland.

 

Clayton Kershaw

Kershaw has long been someone who turns it on after Memorial Day and his last 8 inning, 13 K start against the Cubs is going to draw some onto him as the must own play tonight and I can’t argue with it.  The Nationals are questionable up top now with Schwarber likely out and Turner still ailing as well.

Garrett Richards

Richards hates the heat and is back on the west coast in really comfortable conditions in a big park with likely some shadows coming into play.   This is one of those completely contrarian plays that we trust more on shorter slates which

Marco Gonzales

A much better pitcher at home, but it’ll remain warm out in Seattle with the roof likely open so he ranks third for me today but Marco has enough junk in him to strike out 7 or more Rangers tonight which should wind up as a great pivot off Kershaw to pay down on pitching.

 

Cards / Rockies

We have yet to really have that massive Coors out of control weekend this season which is very interesting to say the least and a lot of that has to do with the fact that the Rockies (and tonight their opponent the Cardinals) are bad offenses.  But Wade LeBlanc and Kyle Freeland should do wonders for fixing a lot of ailments and 100% we lock in Arenado and Story and move along again.

Giants

Giants blow up at 2% ownership tonight against Jake Diarriah.   Wade-Posey-Dickerson-Crawford

Orioles

Hey, former Oriole Alex Cobb gets to face his team in warm Anaheim with the wind blowing out.  Orioles will drop 3 HR tonight from the Mullins-Hays 1-5 part of the order with Mullins/Santander being the two core guys in the Orioles stack.

 

Overblown Chalk

Houston Astros – If Alvarez and Tucker are OUT then I am OUT on the Astros too.  I think Eli Morgan is terrible for the Indians but this is a spot where all the ownership will go to Houston because of their implied run total and I like the Indians to hit Odorizzi quite a bit in this game and expect the Tribe to win it.

 

CATCHER

  1. Jason Castro – Here is your Astro today
  2. Buster Posey

FIRST BASE

  1. Paul Goldschmidt
  2. CJ Cron

SECOND BASE

  1. Cesar Hernandez
  2. Tommy Edman
  3. Dylan Moore

THIRD BASE

  1. Nolan Arenado
  2. Jose Ramirez
  3. Kyle Seager

SHORTSTOP

  1. Trevor Story
  2. Brandon Crawford

OUTFIELD – Mt Rushmore

  1. Cody Bellinger
  2. Alex Dickerson
  3. Cedric Mullins
  4. Kyle Tucker – If he plays

OUTFIELD – Tier 2

  1. Charlie Blackmon
  2. Franmil Reyes

OUTFIELD – Value

  1. Harrison Bader
  2. Dylan Carlson
  3. Anthony Santander

 

The Dongers Club

  1. Cody Bellinger – OF – Dodgers – Chairman of the Dongers Club
  2. Jason Castro – C – Astros
  3. CJ Cron – 1B – Rockies
  4. Nolan Arenado – 3B – Cardinals
  5. Trevor Story – SS – Rockies
  6. Anthony Santander – OF – Orioles
  7. Franmil Reyes – OF – Indians
  8. Cesar Hernandez – 2B – Indians
  9. BONUS ……………………….. Alex Dickerson – OF – Giants

 

HR PARLAY

Bellinger, Story, Tucker

 

LINEUP CONSTRUCTION THOUGHTS

THE HIGHEST CHALK STACK(S)

Astros, Cardinals, Rockies

LOW(er) OWNED GOOD TEAMS

Giants

LEVERAGE STACKS/PLAYS

Orioles

DK PITCHERS

Kershaw + Richards

FD PITCHERS

Kershaw

CORE HITTERS

Cody Bellinger

Nolan Arenado

Trevor Story

 

 

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