The AMBUSH – NFL Week 3

WEATHER It’s mostly rain, there is some wind in the Titans/Browns game, but not enough for me to be overly concerned about changing thoughts on that game.  Most of the rain spots are going to appear bad given the Saturday rain in the same areas, but they all should be tapering off around game time. […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 23rd (Night)

A seven game Saturday Night slate today, kinda quiet, but every game is REALLY good. ARKANSAS vs LSU KJ Jefferson is going to give LSU problems and on the flip side, it’s kinda hard to not look at either Brian Thomas or Jayden Daniels by themselves.  Not sure we go full stack here, but this […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 23rd

9:30 am Update:  Well, looks like I hadn’t hit save on my late edits before the article auto-published, so if you read this before 9:30 then you probably saw just some names without full context.  I apologize for that, but not much has changed other than me adding in some information here. WEATHER There is […]

The Dongers Club – 9/22

The plan remains that today would be the final Dongers Club for 2023 Regular Season, with full plans to do the usual Post-Season analysis and DFS when we have good slates in October.  It should be a fantastic post-season this year, especially in the American League. For those playing through the final week, the Dashboard/Model will continue to update and for those going into this weekend enjoy all the rain issues that are gonna pop up.   WEATHER All 11 games on the MAIN slate should get through tonight.  I think the rain holds off in DC to let Atlanta/Washington get tonight in & honestly they should have adjusted to start early and play 2, but hey, what do I know. Same too for Mets/Phillies   The top options today: Pablo Lopez (DK: $10,700) … Challenge for the Angels tonight.  Get a hit.  Let’s see if they can do that. Brandon Pfaadt (DK: $6800) … Do not use Pfaadt on FanDuel.  Arizona needs to keep winning and there’s no reason for them to let him pitch out of a jam come the 4th or 5th inning.  But if he can avoid that then at $6800 on DraftKings he should be viable against a Yankee Lineup already working on their fall vacation plans.  Shit, they’ve already done the fall ones, they’re working on Christmas plans.  What do you think Aaron Judge gets his wife for Christmas?  No doubt he gets her a full sized poster of himself getting thrown out of games, right?  What a douche. The other pool of options Charlie Morton, Chris Sale and even Cole Ragans were all tempting, but expecting a huge must own game from any of them is a stretch.  Sale makes some sense against his now way former team the WHite Sox, but $9200 for Sale is uneasy when we are locking in on Lopez as SP1. I gave some consideration to Ken Waldichuck at $7100, hell even a little thought on Touki Toussaint hoping for strikeouts against the Red Sox but no thanks. It’s ugly…   The Mariners and Rangers begin a HUGE serires in Texas and tonight should be a good back and forth 7-6 type final where the lead changes 4 or 5 times. The Royals always rake in Houston, they should hit Framber Valdez too.  The $3700 price on Maikel Garcia makes him a nice pair with Texas boy Bobby […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Sep 22nd

A good FOUR game slate on this Friday evening, setting us up for a big CFB Saturday slate. Wisconsin at Purdue N.C. State at Virginia Boise State at San Diego State Air Force at San Jose State   Not any specific game which is a ‘gotta have it’ spot tonight, so this allows us to […]

The Dongers Club – 9/21

WEATHER Seven games to compete with NFL Thursday Night Football today with zero weather issues.   The top options today: Tarik Skubal (DK: $9600, FD: $10300) Grayson Rodriguez (DK: $8100, FD: $9000) Kyle Hendricks (DK: $7600, FD: $8400)   Orioles (Lefties) Mets Phillies   CATCHER Francisco Alvarez Adley Rutschman JT Realmuto   FIRST BASE Ryan O’Hearn Pete Alonso   SECOND BASE Ji hwan Bae Jordan Westburg Michael Chavis   THIRD BASE Gunnar Henderson Carter Kieboom Christopher Morel   SHORTSTOP Trea Turner Francisco Lindor   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Joc Pederson Anthony Santander Ian Happ Kerry Carpenter   Ryan O’Hearn – 1B – Baltimore Orioles – Chairman of The Dongers Club  

The Dongers Club – 9/20

Do not ask me what FanDuel was thinking today, because they just weren’t thinking.  Job well done by DraftKings making the afternoon set of games today the ‘main’ slate for us to dive into.   WEATHER All games are clear and the roof is closed in Arizona   My top options today: Josiah Gray ($6500) … If the ‘optimizer’ chalk doesn’t land folks on Gray today then we win all the money.  The kid has talent and there is zero pressure pitching this late in the year against Anderson, Benintendi and Moncada.  A chilly afternoon in DC and coming off a great start we can expect another good one today as the White Sox aren’t hitting RHP exceptionally well right now (.187 over the last week with 27% strikeout rate) and well, they’re the White Sox. Merrill Kelly ($9600) … Facing Logan Day game Webb (shocker).  Kelly is great at home & worth paying a little extra for.  The Giants probably will throw 6 lefties at him but Kelly’s concerns are more so with his command which is normally better at home. George Kirby / Lucas Giolito best third options…   Other pitching thoughts Aaron Nola ($10,000) … Normally we would just look here and say Nola day game (bad), Nola road (bad), Nola vs Braves (bad).  But after a couple high scoring games and with Nola having 3 bad starts in a row, this is where you dive into him having a better outing. I expect some offense in the Rockies/Padres game, so I wouldn’t touch Seth Lugo   Baltimore (Henderson, O’Hearn) … The Orioles are LOVING life in Houston right now and after clinching they have gone on fire, which is the mark of a hungry  young team who is going to be playing deep into October. San Diego (Kim/Tatis/Soto) … Padres should drop 8-9 on Colorado today.  Gotta smash Chase Anderson Pads. Texas (Lowe/Seager)   CATCHER Bo Naylor Jonah Heim JT Realmuto   FIRST BASE Ryan O’Hearn / Ryan Mountcastle … Can pair both by using ROH in the OF.  Wouldn’t be shocked if they went B2B today… This of course assumes Mountcastle returns to the lineup, but RvR against Javier in Houston could not be a better way to heal. Nathaniel Lowe Dominic Smith   SECOND BASE Ha-Seong Kim Jorge Polanco Andres Gimenez   THIRD BASE Royce Lewis … If he comes up with the bases loaded […]

The Dongers Club – 9/19

12 games on the MAIN slate(s) tonight   WEATHER I see no major issues with regards to precip. Wind blowing out to LF in Wrigley for the Pirates/Cubs Wind blowing out to LF in Kauffman for the Guardians/Royals CHASE FIELD ROOF IS OPEN   My top options today: Blake Snell (DK: $10,600, FD: $11,300)… There are some who think the Padres are technically still alive and as someone who believed in them at one point, I want no part of that witchcraft.  But Blake Snell for the Cy Young definitely is strong and he’s going to continue to pitch well against Colorado, and if he doesnt, then he should be excluded from the ballot.  Yes, fellow candidate Spencer Strider is going as well and he dominated Philly last week — which is exactly why you DO NOT use Strider tonight. Yusei Kikuchi (DK: $8700, FD: $9700) … Death. Taxes.  Kikuchi throwing a GEM vs the Yankees Ryan Pepiot (DK: $9100, FD: $9900)   Other pitching thoughts Drew Berrymore … (a.k.a Drew RomCom) … Best value dart. Jackson Rutledge (DK: $5500) might look tempting vs the White Sox, and he did throw 90 pitches vs the Pirates on 9.13, but I wouldn’t trust it here tonight.   Top games/teams today: Guardians (Naylor/Calhoun/Kwan) … Royals will bring up RHP Steven Cruz tonight to open for Alec Marsh, who Cleveland beat up earlier this year and the R-R combo tonight should be just appetizing for the Guardians. Diamondbacks (Marte-Gurriel-Walker) … Roof is open, load up on Chase Field folks. Pirates/Cubs (Reynolds / Morel-Suzuki) … Monitor the wind close to game time.  If it looks like it’s staying 10+ mph and out to LF then we definitely buy into this game even though it’s not your summer time 80-90 degree temps.   CATCHER Patrick Bailey Bo Baylor Adley Rutschman   FIRST BASE Christian Walker Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Josh Naylor   SECOND BASE Ketel Marte Ozzie Albies Andres Gimenez   THIRD BASE Max Muncy J.D. Davis Jose Ramirez   SHORTSTOP CJ Abrams Dansby Swanson Tim Anderson … Hey, look who decided to show upf or the season.   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Christopher Morel … The Cubs will NOT go off without Morel having a HUGE game tonight.  He’s smashing LHP and should smash Falter. Kyle Tucker Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Joc Pederson   OUTFIELD – Tier 2 Jack Suwinski / Bryan Reynolds … $1800 difference […]

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 2 – Primetime Special

We have a MNF double header special, which considering my team is playing is quite annoying for me, but as I am getting older I do appreciate the earlier night start time of 7PM so I can pass out in comfort before the night is over. Both spots are divisional battles and ones which probably […]