SNF Showdown – Week 5 – Cowboys/Niners

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers Spread:   Niners -3.5 Total:  45   GAME THEORY PREDICTION The Cowboys really struggled in the playoff meeting a year ago to move the ball against a very familiar San Francisco defense and I would be shocked to see much of a change here tonight.  This is the 49ers third […]

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 5

WEATHER Nothing significant. LATE INJURY NEWS Tee Higgins, Jahmyr Gibbs both OUT Cooper Kupp IN, Jonathan Taylor … IN Javonte Williams, Saquon Barkley GTD The Saints team plane did not crash on their way to New England.  The Patriots team hotel did not burn down.  This game is expected to play, with TV broadcasts, commercial […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Oct 7th (Night)

  Arkansas vs Ole Miss   KJ Jefferson – Arkansas – $7300 Sam Hartman – Notre Dame – $8900 Jaxson Dart – Ole Miss – $9000   Quinshon Judkins – Ole Miss – $6400 Tahj Brooks – Texas Tech – $5600 Ray Davis – Kentucky – $6500   Roman Wilson – Michigan – $6000 Andrew […]

NFL DFS: The Sunday Stacks – Week 5

Stacks That I Have My Eye On Below I’ll break down the particular stacks I’m interested and delve into it based on matchup, ability, predicted game script, and collective salary while picking an opposing player or two to run that stack back with if appropriate. *Note: All pricing is DraftKings focused Kansas City Chiefs vs. […]

CFB DFS Tailgate: Oct 7th

Twelve (12) main slate DraftKings games this week and your lowest totals on the board are Rutgers/Wisconsin at 44 and Purdue/Iowa at 38.5.  It’s a pretty decent top heavy week with some high scoring games between UCF/Kansas, LSU/Mizzou and of course Oklahoma/Texas. The undercard from those three is very good as well, featuring Syracuse/UNC, Washington […]

The Dongers Club – Division Series Preview & 10/7 DFS

On to the Divisional round and the only team I didn’t think would make it is the Twins but then when we realize the Jays are totally incompetent it all makes sense.  Honestly, once Toronto dropped game 1, they were dead. Now onto the bold calls of the playoffs and I have already stated this publicly so it might be repetative for some of you, but here are my Divisional Series predictions. — UPDATE:  No major changes with Heaney (TEX) and Ober (MIN) starting — RANGERS vs ORIOLES This is going to be the best series of the Divisional round, not the two N.L ones – although they’ll be pretty good themselves.  Baltimore remains my pick to make the World Series from the American League, but if they lose this then I’ll switch that to Texas.  The key difference in a fifth game is Baltimore has deeper options in terms of arms they can utilize even without Bautista on the backend and I think they can find some holes in that Texas lineup to get out of big jams. Look for the home team to win every game. Prediction:  Orioles in 5 TWINS vs ASTROS Minnesota is going to have to out hit the Astros to try and steal this series & I don’t hate their chances of putting up some offense in the first two games, but I really hate their chances of their starting pitching being good enough two win a game in Houston.  So when it shifts back to Minnesota and it’s 2-0, you’ll see Houston finish them off.  That said, I do like the over in the first game on Saturday and if that happens, Minnesota has a chance to steal one. Prediction:  Astros in 3 PHILLIES vs BRAVES Philly is just simply a better team.  That isn’t always the correct measurable for picking a winner in a short 5 game series, but it’s a fact.  They have equal the healthy pitching of Atlanta, they have equal the lineup and I actually trust their defense for the first time ever.   Advantage Philly as well in terms of Atlanta having been off all week and allowing the Phils to roll out Suarez in game one to steal it. Prediction:  Phillies in 4 DIAMONDBACKS vs DODGERS Now for my real upset.  When you get a divisional matchup in the playoffs the advantage should go to the underdog because […]

The Dongers Club – 10/4

We had a decent start yesterday, going 3-1 on the game predictions and the Diamondbacks came through fairly well offensively.   WEATHER After being warmer yesterday in Minnesota, it’s down into the mid 60’s today and another mid-afternoon start time so I expect the ball to be a little dead there. On the slip side, warmer up in Philly.   I do appreciate that DraftKings has made the pricing a little more flat here which does’t auto-force everyone into a single play or two. Nathan Eovaldi (DK: $7800, FD: $8400) … The only question is how long does Eovaldi go.  He hasn’t thrown over 86 pitches in September and the Rangers could be short on the leash here if they have a nice lead. Zac Gallen (DK: $9200, FD: $10,200) … I see Freddy Peralta coming out hot for Milwaukee with a fast start and then Arizona gets to him mid game.  Gallen is more likely to get into a rhythm mid game and with Arizona in a series winning spot and having their ace on the mound they should let him go as long as humanly possible tonight. Zach Eflin (DK: $8800, FD: $9100) … Fine as a game stack option with Eovaldi, but the Texas lineup is definitely a dangerous one.   DECENT BUT NOT PERFECT Aaron Nola (DK: $8000, FD: $8700) … Nola might give up 2 HR tonight (Soler is one, Sanchez another), but he also should get through 7 innings, have 6-7 strikeouts and is likely going to win.  If you want to fade one of these two, it should be Nola, not Eovaldi, and it should be with a mini Marlins stack.   I don’t see a TON of stack offense type spots tonight, which opens the door for us to get a little contrarian seeking some one off homers if we can get lucky there. I didn’t write up either Berrios or Gray in the TOR/MIN game, but I don’t anticipate a TON of offense output there.  It’s just that neither pitcher is going to give you the full line score to warrant using. Texas/Tampa is a game I expect to be relatively tame as well. Arizona/Milwaukee won’t be quite what it was last night, but the Diamondbacks lineup is so potent and fits that park so well that we have to consider them as a stack. This leads us all down to […]

MLB Wild Card Preview & 10/3 DFS

The MLB playoffs are here, the best time of the year, but we do not have the best format of schedule on the calendar.  The way it used to be, we had a Friday in October where we had 4 games that went all day and I could go out on a nice autumn day, […]