The Dongers Club, September 15th

I went longer with MLB DFS articles in September than I had originally anticipated, but this week will be the final week for regular season content.   WEATHER No issues tonight.   ZACK LITTELL (DK: $7000 – FD: $7900) Pretty safe option here for a 7k price as SP2 to pair with either top end guy below. RANGER SUAREZ (DK: $9000 – FD: $10,300) Kinda lean Ranger over on FanDuel as a nice SP1 late hammer when there’s a chance other optimizers wont be pushing up his ownership KYLE BRADISH (DK: $9200 – FD: $9800) Bradish has quietly been back and healthy and dominant for Baltimore.  He’s definitely their SP1 going into next season.  PC should get into mid 80’s and is viable to use at the limited PC against the White Sox – who are hitting well yes, but still the White Sox.   RAYS … Tampa is at home & facing a rookie making his debut in Trey Yesavage. RANGERS DIAMONDBACKS ORIOLES   CATCHER JT Realmuto Samuel Basallo Gabriel Moreno   FIRST BASE Yandy Diaz Christian Walker Spencer Steer   SECOND BASE Josh J. Smith Jackson Holliday Brandon Lowe   THIRD BASE Junior Caminero Addison Barger Ryan McMahon   SHORTSTOP Willy Adames Gunnar Henderson Carson Williams   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Giancarlo Stanton Josh Lowe Brandon Marsh Byron Buxton   Giancarlo Stanton – OF – New York Yankees – Chairman of The Dongers Club Jackson Holliday – 2B – Orioles Willy Adames – SS – Giants Ryan McMahon – 3B – Yankees Brandon Marsh – OF – Phillies BETS Rays ML

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 2

Week two, when the corrections occur  and you know they are going to occur, but the trigger is very hard to pull on them.  As I go through the games this week it just feels like the road team is the better team in a bunch of scenarios, but one where you do not want […]

CFB DFS Tailgate – Week 3

This is a very top heavy slate, which is more saying that we just have a bunch of lopsided spreads and they all kinda seem to be legit as well.  This slate also gives us value at QB, RB and WR, with RB and WR being the likely spots everyone runs too for their punt […]

The Dongers Club, September 12th

WEATHER No issues tonight.   Jacob deGrom (DK: $9500, FD: $9800) A marquee game tonight will be the return of Jacob deGrom to Citi Field and he comes in against the Mets newest toy in Jonah Tong.  The real story here though is the Rangers back in the AL Playoff race, quickly chasing on the tails of the Wild Card race while the Mets continue their free fall out of the race as one of the worst teams in the second half of the season.  That, right there, is the main reason we are on deGrom today. Sandy Alcantara (DK: $6000, FD: $8500) The Tigers just went through the Yankees pitching like it was nothing – but prior to that had been kinda mediocre themselves.  Sandy’s just priced way wrong here as I assume they factored in his low win % against Skubal on the other side.  Not only should we take Sandy, but we should also back the Marlins ML. OTHER GUYS I LIKE TONIGHT INCLUDE … Brandon Pfaadt, JP Sears   ANGELS / MARINERS Yusei Kikuchi and Luis Castillo walk into T-Mobile park on a Friday night….  End of analysis. ASTROS / BRAVES Yordan Alvarez has to either carry Houston to the playoffs or they are gonna fade fast.  Sanchez seems like a nice play as well on the Houston side and Atlanta draws Jayden Murray, not a basketball player, but a RHP who will open and then they go to the pen.  Nice random acts of homers spot for the BRaves, so good luck picking among Baldwin, Harris, Ozuna and Acuna.  Gotta see what BLooper decides to do with the Braves lineup these days. ATHLETICS Boy I know a bad Singer start when I see one.  Not sure if Tito will let him go long and the Reds bullpen has been great of late, so the long term upside in this game could be limited.     CATCHER Drake Baldwin Mitch Garver Shea Langeliers   FIRST BASE Ryan Mountcastle … Mr. Toronto Nick Kurtz Matt Olson   SECOND BASE Ketel Marte Ozzie Albies Jazz Chisholm Jr.   THIRD BASE Nolan Gorman Miguel Vargas Manny Machado   SHORTSTOP Jacob Wilson Elly De La Cruz Jackson Holliday   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Brent Rooker Julio Rodriguez Mike Trout Yordan Alvarez   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Shohei Ohtani     Ryan Mountcastle – 1B – Baltimore Orioles – Chairman of […]

The Dongers Club, September 10th

WEATHER No issues tonight.  We have a little split slate between FD & DK with Fanduel locking early and a few good games not being on the main DK slate.   FANDUEL Paul Skenes (FD Only) … Love Skenes tonight to have a big 7 IP dominant start vs Baltimore. Logan Gilbert   DRAFTKINGS Logan Gilbert (DK: $9700, FD: $10,200) … Gilbert becomes our DK #1 option.  He was mediocre on the road last start but should be elite back at home tonight. Jose Berrios (DK: $7200, FD: $8100) … The wild roller coaster that is Jose Berrios, I feel like I have been on the right side of it all season long and am feeling a solid outing today against Houston. Nick Pivetta (DK: $9000) … If you are scared of Berrios   BLUE JAYS RAYS PADRES DODGERS     CATCHER Will Smith Agustin Ramirez (FD) Hunter Feduccia   FIRST BASE Vladimir Guerrero Jr … Mr September is about as consistent as they come right now Matt Olson Josh Naylor   SECOND BASE Brandon Lowe Tyler Freeman Miguel Rojas   THIRD BASE Manny Machado Eugenio Suarez Addison Barger   SHORTSTOP Colson Montgomery Mookie Betts   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Fernando Tatis Jr. Josh Lowe Michael Harris II George Springer     George Springer – OF – Toronto Blue Jays – Chairman of The Dongers Club Manny Machado – 3B – Padres

The Dongers Club, September 9th

WEATHER No issues forecasted.   GEORGE KIRBY (DK: $10,000, FD: $10,000) CASEY MIZE (DK: $7100, FD: $8400) CHAD PATRICK (DK: $7000, FD: $8800)   BEST GAME Astros at Blue Jays:  This one is just standing out like a game that has a ton of juice to it.  We’re basically in the real cooler temps again so finding a spot with good hitting conditions is a little harder, but the small park here is good & really think Toronto is going to nuke SECOND TIER STACKS WHITE SOX – Tauchman, Quero, Montgomery TIGERS – Carpenter, Greene, Torres ATHLETICS – Kurtz, Soderstrom, Butler   CATCHER Edgar Querero Alejandro Kirk Yainer Diaz   FIRST BASE Nick Kurtz Vlad Guerrero Jr. Lenyn Sosa   SECOND BASE Gleyber Torres Brandon Lowe Brice Turang   THIRD BASE Alex Bregman Junior Caminero Yoan Moncada   SHORTSTOP Colson Montgomery Bo Bichette Dansby Swanson Ha-Seong Kim   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Kerry Carpenter Yordan Alvarez Daulton Varsho Lawrence Butler   OUTFIELD – Tier II Riley Greene Jesus Sanchez Nathan Lukes   Edgar Quero – Catcher -Chicago White Sox – Chairman of The Dongers Club Kerry Carpenter – OF – Tigers Nick Kurtz – 1B – Athletics Brice Turang – 2B – Brewers Yordan Alvarez – OF – Astros Dansby Swanson – SS – Braves Junior Caminero – 3B – Rays Lawrence Butler – OF – Athletics BONUS … Colson Montgomery – White Sox   BETS Brewers ML Athletics ML Astros/Jays OVER 8.5

The Dongers Club, September 8th

WEATHER All clear   TYLER GLASNOW (DK: $8700, FD: $10,300) Glasnow is once again on extra rest and in three of his last five starts they have pushed him over 90+ pitches.  That usage at home against the Rockies is more than enough for us to use him today. LOGAN WEBB (DK: $10k, FD: $10.6k) Webb vs Woo for the 10k other best arm to look at tonight.  The Arizona young kids aren’t as good as other teams young kids. BRYAN WOO (DK: $10,200, FD: $10,500) The Cardinals offense didn’t have much fun against the Giants & likely shouldn’t do much in Seattle either. BEST ‘VALUE’ OPTION JOSE QUINTANA (DK: $7200, FD: $7900)     TWINS Absolutely love the Twins tonight. CUBS Best ‘Park’ for a road team outside of Boston in Sacramento. BREWERS On the road in Texas, but no more reliable team the second half of the season.   CATCHER Carlos Narvaez Carson Kelly Sean Murphy   FIRST BASE Kody Clemens Andrwe Vaughn Michael Busch   SECOND BASE Luke Keaschall Matt McLain Brice Turang   THIRD BASE Alex Bregman Eugenio Suarez Max Muncy   SHORTSTOP Trevor Story Elly De La Cruz Brooks Lee   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Matt Wallner Jackson Chourio Seiya Suzuki Michael Conforto   Kody Clemens – 1B – Minnesota Twins – Chairman of The Dongers Club Byron Buxton – OF – Twins Seiya Suzuki – OF – Cubs

The AMBUSH – NFL Week 1

And just like that … we’re back to playing NFL DFS.  I have been making some significant improvements to the Dashboard, unveiling a ‘Command Center’ view for NFL that I ultimately want to use for other sports too.  By week 2, 3 or 4 I would think you are going to see some major new […]

CFB DFS Tailgate – Week 2

Quick Analysis:  This slate is a good reminder that sometimes you can just stack a team and forget about the whole game script/game stack aspect.  There are often scenarios where we just ride that one team who will drop 40 points by halftime in a scenario where they’re just getting themselves right.  Today you can […]

The Dongers Club, September 5th

WEATHER Storms to monitor in Atlanta and Tampa.  Two of the more interesting games on the slate tonight.   Merrill Kelly (DK: $8000, FD: $8700) … Could be wishful thinking of me hoping the Astros implode in September.  Texas sweeping them could be a start to that. Cristopher Sanchez (DK: $9700, FD: $10,200) Michael McGreevy (DK: $5800, FD: $7500)   Both of the bad weather games have some pitchers who shouldn’t get run out in the first three innings, but also are very vulnerable to HR or short outings.  I think the Mariners & Guardians are likely the two I would focus on the most from those four with the two home teams Atlanta/Tampa not being bad either. After them we look at the Padres going into Coors against Kyle Freeland along with the Diamondbacks at home versus Boston as two good spots today, but the overall best game?  Fuck yeah, lets go to Athletics and Angels.  The Athletics are a very contrarian spot against Soriano, but one I like. Overall rankings Guardians Athletics Mariners Padres Diamondbacks   CATCHER Dalton Rushing Gabriel Moreno Mitch Garver   FIRST BASE Matt Olson Nick Kurtz   SECOND BASE Brandon Lowe Ketel Marte Jorge Polanco   THIRD BASE Manny Machado Junior Caminero Jose Ramirez   SHORTSTOP Mookie Betts Trevor Story Carson Williams   OUTFIELD – Mt. Rushmore Lawrence Butler Aaron Judge Fernando Tatis Jr. Nolan Jones   Nolan Jones – OF – Cleveland Guardians – Chairman of The Dongers Club