MLB Game Preview - Daily Ambush

Reds

Cubs

10:10 pm · T-Mobile Park

Pittsburgh

Pirates

136

7.0

Seattle

Mariners

-162

7.0

Temp: 76°

Humidity: 46%

DewPoint: 53°

Wind: 0mph -

Umpire: John Tumpane

Player Info				Stats in Split				xStats vs Pitcher Profile				zone Stats				Game Logs
Player	DK	FD	R	WOBA	ISO	K%	BB%	DCPA	wOBA	SLG	K%	IZ-C	IZ-W	OZ-C	OZ-W	Last 5
1 1 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
2 2 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
3 3 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
4 4 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
5 5 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
6 6 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
7 7 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
8 8 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
9 9 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%

Lineup Status: Not Confirmed

Player Info				Stats in Split				xStats vs Pitcher Profile				zone Stats				Game Logs
Player	DK	FD	R	WOBA	ISO	K%	BB%	DCPA	wOBA	SLG	K%	IZ-C	IZ-W	OZ-C	OZ-W	Last 5
1 1 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
2 2 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
3 3 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
4 4 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
5 5 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
6 6 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
7 7 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
8 8 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%
9 9 H	0.0k	0.0k	0.0			0%	0%	0			0%	%	%	%	%

Lineup Status: Not Confirmed

Mitch Keller
RHP • 8 GS, 1-4, 4.40 ERA

DraftKings
10100

FanDuel
11400

78.2 Rating

17.6 K%

.363 xWOBA

26.2 CSW%

.462 xSLG

Split	xBAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	ISO	K%	BB%	HR	EV
L	.367	.422	.558	.150	13.7%	7.7%	3	91.6
R	.208	.279	.320	.055	23.2%	7.3%	0	83.8

Pitch	Usg%	xBAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	ISO	K%	Whiff%
4-Seam Fastball	35%	.365	.440	.508	.143	13.50%	12%
Sweeper	18%	.186	.253	.272	.086	19.40%	20%
Slider	16%	.312	.348	.412	.100	24.20%	32%
Sinker	12%	.309	.346	.476	.167	15.00%	13%
Changeup	11%	.327	.350	.438	.111	15.80%	19%
Curveball	9%	.262	.319	.262	.000	23.50%	19%

Date	Opp	R	IP	BF	H	ER	K	BB	Pit	LD	CSW%	DK
May 7th	@STL	58	6.0	26	7	3	6	3	94	13	29.8%	13.50
May 2nd	SD	58	5.0	24	8	4	3	1	88	10	26.1%	3.85
Apr 26th	@LAD	87	6.0	25	5	2	6	1	89	13	30.3%	17.90
Apr 20th	CLE	77	5.0	22	5	2	3	2	101	9	24.8%	9.05
Apr 15th	WSH	73	6.0	27	6	3	3	2	105	13	23.8%	8.70
Apr 9th	STL	87	7.1	27	4	0	6	1	96	11	25.0%	25.50
Apr 4th	NYY	59	3.2	25	8	7	4	4	97	8	22.7%	-4.95
Mar 28th	@MIA	77	6.0	23	5	1	4	1	86	11	27.9%	19.90

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2023	26.1%	0.177	0.166	0.280	43.30%	30.20%	25.80	19.4	90.2	41.2%	48.5%	12.4%	0.60
2022	33.2%	0.219	0.145	0.305	25.00%	23.90%	17.00	12.3	86.4	29.3%	35.0%	8.9%	0.10
2021	56.7%	0.282	0.191	0.368	19.80%	17.70%	17.60	15.1	91.4	46.5%	44.1%	7.6%	0.30

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2024	12.3%	0.304	0.224	0.389	9.60%	19.40%	23.70	12.7	87.2	38.2%	38.2%	7.9%	-1.00
2023	24.2%	0.308	0.152	0.354	14.10%	23.60%	23.10	11.5	86.8	30.7%	31.3%	7.3%	-0.60
2021	24.0%	0.238	0.120	0.301	24.80%	30.50%	19.00	9.3	91.4	47.7%	29.1%	5.8%	0.70

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2025	12.3%	0.309	0.090	0.346	15.00%	12.50%	15.00	9.9	93.8	53.3%	20.0%	0.0%	-1.50
2024	21.8%	0.215	0.133	0.292	19.60%	12.50%	23.30	8.3	89.3	43.7%	31.1%	5.2%	-0.20
2023	22.7%	0.237	0.105	0.285	18.10%	10.50%	25.90	4.2	87.0	35.1%	31.8%	5.4%	1.60

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2025	17.5%	0.186	0.204	0.253	19.40%	20.30%	14.60	26.3	88.4	42.9%	28.6%	10.7%	2.40
2024	15.5%	0.196	0.107	0.263	30.80%	25.00%	21.60	14.8	85.1	25.0%	32.3%	6.3%	0.60
2023	16.1%	0.258	0.135	0.307	27.90%	27.20%	16.30	14.0	84.9	30.2%	40.6%	5.2%	-0.40

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2025	9.1%	0.262	0.165	0.319	23.50%	18.50%	19.00	13.5	86.2	16.7%	50.0%	16.7%	0.90
2024	9.6%	0.292	0.138	0.337	17.40%	29.30%	17.00	5.6	88.4	34.3%	34.3%	2.9%	-0.10
2023	8.0%	0.315	0.338	0.424	22.90%	23.50%	17.20	7.1	92.2	52.9%	38.2%	23.5%	-1.30

Season	Usage	xAVG	xISO	xWOBA	K%	Whiff%	PutAway	LA	EV	HH%	SwSp%	Bar%	RV
2025	10.6%	0.327	0.111	0.350	15.80%	18.90%	13.00	-1.7	91.1	53.3%	33.3%	0.0%	-0.70
2024	1.0%	0.446	0.399	0.548	0.00%	7.10%	0.00	14.0	94.4	57.1%	57.1%	28.6%	-10.40
2023	2.9%	0.368	0.184	0.395	8.00%	21.10%	12.50	-6.1	91.7	43.5%	30.4%	13.0%	-2.50

Split	xBAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	ISO	K%	BB%	HR	EV
Home	.238	.294	.409	.177	24.5%	4.2%	12	88.8
L	.238	.294	.409	.177	24.5%	4.2%	12	88.8
R	.234	.282	.387	.126	21.6%	1.9%	10	88.1
Home	.217	.254	.315	.093	25.0%	3.0%	5	86.3

Pitch	Usg%	xBAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	ISO	K%	Whiff%
4-Seam Fastball	35%	.220	.294	.457	.237	30.60%	29%
Slider	24%	.235	.286	.325	.090	22.70%	27%
Sinker	23%	.260	.297	.348	.088	11.80%	10%
Split-Finger	10%	.230	.284	.390	.160	24.70%	30%
Curveball	8%	.239	.259	.344	.105	23.70%	29%

Date	Opp	R	IP	BF	H	ER	K	BB	Pit	LD	CSW%	DK
Sep 25th	@HOU	62	6.0	24	4	1	6	1	96	5	25.0%	24.50
Sep 20th	@TEX	64	6.0	22	5	2	4	0	85	12	23.5%	18.50
Sep 15th	TEX	64	7.0	21	1	0	3	0	85	7	23.5%	25.15
Sep 10th	SD	48	5.0	22	7	5	4	1	97	12	30.9%	4.45
Sep 4th	@OAK	65	6.0	23	6	2	9	0	85	7	34.1%	27.90
Aug 30th	@LAA	93	5.2	24	5	5	2	1	82	13	20.7%	7.15
Aug 24th	SF	77	4.2	25	9	3	3	1	95	13	21.1%	4.50
Aug 18th	@PIT	67	6.0	24	4	2	5	2	97	10	24.7%	19.90

Projected Pitchers available out of Bullpen

Pitcher Info		Usage								Season Stats					vs LHB				vs RHB
Pitcher	Hand	Last 7 Games Pitch Counts							L7 Total PC	TBF	xERA	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	K%	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	K%
Caleb Ferguson	L	13	0	0	0	19	0	15	47						0.228	0.308	0.320	20.5	0.181	0.256	0.269	28.6
Chase Shugart	R	0	0	0	10	14	0	20	44
Colin Holderman	R	7	0	21	0	24	0	0	52						0.218	0.286	0.313	22.9	0.206	0.301	0.319	18.8
Ryan Borucki	L	10	0	0	0	28	0	16	54						0.207	0.277	0.290	23.2	0.355	0.463	0.658	14.5
David Bednar	R	0	15	0	18	0	0	11	44						0.214	0.280	0.338	34.1	0.231	0.280	0.357	32.5
Dennis Santana	R	0	14	8	0	0	0	0	22						0.238	0.317	0.362	19.4	0.249	0.299	0.329	22.4
Joey Wentz	L	0	0	11	0	0	17	0	28						0.173	0.215	0.225	14.3	0.228	0.324	0.387	22.0
Tanner Rainey	R	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	16						0.184	0.262	0.309	33.3	0.251	0.346	0.471	23.9

Who has followed today's starter recently?

Date	Loc	Opp	SP IP	Colin Holderman	Ryan Borucki	Dennis Santana	Kyle Nicolas	Joey Wentz	Caleb Ferguson	Justin Lawrence	Tim Mayza	Chase Shugart
May 07	Road	STL	6.0	0.1 IP 0 R 7 PC	1.0 IP 0 R 10 PC				0.2 IP 2 R 13 PC
May 02	Home	SD	5.0	1.1 IP 1 R 24 PC	1.1 IP 0 R 28 PC				0.1 IP 3 R 19 PC			1.0 IP 0 R 14 PC
Apr 26	Road	LAD	6.0	0.0 IP 3 R 14 PC				0.2 IP 1 R 33 PC	1.0 IP 1 R 21 PC			0.1 IP 0 R 4 PC
Apr 20	Home	CLE	5.0			1.0 IP 1 R 8 PC		1.0 IP 2 R 16 PC		1.0 IP 0 R 12 PC		2.0 IP 0 R 23 PC
Apr 15	Home	WSH	6.0		1.0 IP 0 R 17 PC		1.0 IP 0 R 19 PC				1.0 IP 0 R 17 PC

Projected Pitchers available out of Bullpen

Pitcher Info		Usage								Season Stats					vs LHB				vs RHB
Pitcher	Hand	Last 7 Games Pitch Counts							L7 Total PC	TBF	xERA	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	K%	xAVG	xWOBA	xSLG	K%
Trent Thornton	R	0	0	0	0	18	0	0	18						0.277	0.348	0.382	18.1	0.261	0.348	0.504	20.5
Troy Taylor		0	0	0	0	23	8	0	31
Andres Munoz	R	18	0	0	18	0	0	12	48						0.142	0.193	0.209	41.3	0.185	0.230	0.275	37.0
Gabe Speier	L	4	6	0	12	0	0	9	31						0.199	0.296	0.393	20.7	0.208	0.238	0.297	16.7
Matt Brash	R	0	17	0	14	0	0	0	31						0.251	0.340	0.349	26.6	0.244	0.318	0.358	29.1
Casey Legumina	R	0	0	18	0	0	21	10	49
Eduard Bazardo	R	13	0	27	0	0	11	0	51						0.287	0.327	0.395	15.4	0.216	0.295	0.359	17.9
Carlos Vargas	R	0	19	0	0	0	0	10	29
Collin Snider	R	0	23	0	0	0	0	16	39						0.332	0.454	0.614	20.8	0.286	0.328	0.394	11.2

Who has followed today's starter recently?

Date	Loc	Opp	SP IP	Gabe Speier	Tayler Saucedo	Trent Thornton	Austin Voth	Eduard Bazardo	Collin Snider	Jhonathan Diaz	JT Chargois	Troy Taylor	Sam Aldegheri	Janson Junk	JP Sears	Ross Stripling	Yusei Kikuchi
Sep 25	Road	HOU	6.0	1.0 IP 0 R 12 PC	0.1 IP 0 R 4 PC				0.2 IP 0 R 14 PC		1.0 IP 0 R 6 PC						6.0 IP 2 R 98 PC
Sep 20	Road	TEX	6.0			1.0 IP 0 R 16 PC		1.0 IP 0 R 20 PC			1.0 IP 0 R 10 PC
Sep 10	Home	SD	5.0		0.1 IP 0 R 2 PC		0.2 IP 2 R 22 PC	2.0 IP 0 R 34 PC			1.0 IP 0 R 9 PC
Sep 04	Road	OAK	6.0		0.1 IP 0 R 6 PC			1.0 IP 0 R 15 PC		1.0 IP 0 R 9 PC	0.2 IP 1 R 13 PC			0.0 IP 7 R 33 PC	6.0 IP 5 R 94 PC	3.0 IP 4 R 47 PC
Aug 30	Road	LAA	5.2			1.0 IP 0 R 17 PC	1.0 IP 0 R 17 PC				0.1 IP 0 R 4 PC	1.0 IP 0 R 15 PC	5.0 IP 7 R 79 PC