Friday, May 12th – Dongers Club Main Slate We got ourselves a nice big 13 game slate tonight, almost a full 15 gamer but the Tigers and Marlins wanna get their games over even faster and are on the Turbo slate. Some bad weather unfortunately tonight as well WEATHER Angels at Guardians – Rain, early PPD possible Astros at White Sox – Rain, early PPD possible Cubs at Twins – Rain, likely plays Roof open in Chase Field, but will be closed on Saturday/Sunday. The weather really puts a wrinkle in some cheap options tonight. CORBIN BURNES Yes, the Royals going into Milwaukee could prove to be a solid spot for a team who ranks top 5 in almost every hitting statistical category in the month of May. And then you kinda pause and realize that this still young lineup might be above their heads right now after facing the Athletics and White Sox and will come into this spot vs Burnes ready to swing and swing and swing and miss and miss and miss. This smells like the long awaited 12 strikeout game which people have thought Burnes would have this season. Should the Royals be chalk? No, but they should be a good value team that people look at, and yes I firmly believe Pasquantino can take Burnes yard, but they’re still gonna rack up the strikeouts today. Book it. JOHAN OVIEDO The legend of Johan has the most upside among the cheap SP. Baltimore has a 30% strikeout rate vs RHP in the last week and in this park he needs to handle the lefties, which he has done just fine this season. MARTIN PEREZ Someone on this very website wrote about the Athletics going back down offensively and folks back home in a Friday night game this has all the makings of “they’re not gonna get a hit”. Now, it is Martin Perez, so the strikeouts could remain low here, but at $8300 if Perez can give you 7 innings of 0 ER ball? You take it. Other SP Thoughts Dustin May … Some risk with both May and Snell since they literally just met 6 days ago, this time they’ll be in LA and I trust the home SP who has no doubt had better stuff in 2023 (which is no disrespect to Snell, May has just been on point). Just 1 HR…...
Keep reading — and get the full war room.
The rest of this breakdown is for members. A subscription unlocks the entire Daily Ambush platform:
- Command Center — your entire slate on one screen
- Tier-graded stacks (A/B/C) with heatmap and pair analysis
- Ambush Intel — named AI agents tracking live P/L, every sport
- Batter vs. pitcher pitch arsenals, xwOBA splits, BvP history
- Lineup optimizer with pro stack rules and exposure controls
- SIM Matrix — Monte Carlo simulation engine
